We are favored, depending in the site, anywhere between 2.5 to 3 points. Taking into account the home field advantage, Canes would be favored anywhere from 5.5 to 6 points if the game were played in Miami or a true neutral field. I know that is very simplistic read of home field.advantage, but the money believes Miami is better.
The issue is that it's the first game of the season. Neither team will have a practice game against lower competition to work out kinks, etc. We know Mario's issues, but I'm nit going to over blow them as well. He was able to go win at OSU, he should be able to win in Gainesville. Upsets, especially early season ones,.revolve around turnovers. Don't turn the ball over. Florida will force Miami to pass and get away from the run, so Cam needs to be on point. I would also lime to see motion and have Cam roll out, giving him the ability to run if necessary or find open receivers. Best case scenario is we go up early.