Had a nice win with Bears -4 to cap a perfect NFL weekend.
Moving on to week 4 some lines to discuss and keep an eye on:
Miami -26.5 vs. FIU.I was really hoping it was going to be 23.4/24 range. But with JJ banged up and Big Play Knowles probably out there as well as our tendency to play down, I’m just not sure we win by 4 TDs.
Mich State -4.5 @ Indiana. I’m waiting for Sparty to get it together. I think they figure it out and win by at least a TD.
NIU +10 @ FSU. It’s comical at this point. Will FSU even score 10? NIU ML might be a play for a low risk/high reward.
Clemson -17 @ GT. GT’s defense looked awful against USF. I see Clemson in a blow out here.
ND -7.5 @ Wake. I’d buy the .5 point here just to be sure.
Rutgers +6 vs Buffalo. No P5 team has any business losing to Buffalo at home. I see Rutgers willing themselves to a close victory. Possible ML play as well.
My thoughts on your picks:
I try to not bet on the canes, so will sit this one out. But I think they cover easy.
Indiana has been playing really solid Defense, and MSU is not the MSU of years past. You have 78% of public money on MSU with the line holding tight at 4.5. I think IU could win this outright.
Like this NIU D-Line vs the FSU offense. Not sure where the NIU points come from, but +10 is a lot of chalk.
A word of caution here on Clemson/GT. Look at the series history and games are rarely decided by more than 17 points, mostly due to GT triple option clock chewing. Also, if USF wouldn't have returned two kickoffs for touchdowns they would have lost to GT. GT at home. Maybe it's a blow out Clemson is clearly athletically superior, but I hate giving triple option teams a bunch of points.
ND/Wake - All I'll say is that Wake play pretty well at home, hung in there with a tough BC team, and Brandon Wimbush does not throw the football very well. I think Wake and Vanderbilt are about on par with each other. I like the 7.5 a lot better than the 7.
I disagree here on Buffalo STRONGLY. Buffalo is a good team (I mean relative to their conference) and Rutgers is flat out bad. Never bet on bad football teams, regardless of name brand. That team just can't play well.
Posting my picks shortly let me know what you think!
