Gamblers. Miami -2....

Would you bet >$500 ON MIAMI -2 VS FSU?

  • Conservative. <$200

  • Moderately frisky In the $400-500 range

  • $1000 with the risk of major disappointment


Results are only viewable after voting.
I would definitely wait until after Pitt UNC game. Somebody on Twitter said FSU might be down a good amount of players
 
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I’m saying that not every casino offers the same line for the same game. And if you’re in Vegas, you can walk another casino or two down the Strip to the one offering the best odds. If you want to get Miami, why lay -2.5 when some outs offer -2? Will it matter? Likely not. But why risk it if you’re getting hundreds/thousands on the game?

Pinnacle updated its odds and the vig or “juice” is higher on FSU +2.5 (-110) than it is on Miami -2.5 (-106). This indicates the line is more likely to drop to -2 than rise to -3. It’s like using Level II software to see the asks versus bids and you see most pending action is on one side to tip you off what to expect.
Whonare the sharps?

They are pros?
 
70%+ Public on Canes
-2.5 pretty much a dead number
In conference rivalry game on the road


Not a lot of value there. You are better off trying to bet it live, maybe FSU scores first.

Also Miami's Team Total is 30.5. That OVER looks TASTY!!!!
 
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No-lose situation to me. If UM wins, I'm excited for another victory over FSU. If we lose, it will be such an epic failure (losing to a horrible FSU squad) that it guarantees Diaz and James will be fired.

IMO, the impact of a loss on in-state recruiting would significant. Despite their struggles, the media still hypes FSU as a scrappy squad that is on the upswing, while UM is viewed as a massive disappointment with a HC on the brink of getting fired. A loss only cements the view that UM is trending down and FSU is trending up. Diaz has got to go immediately after the game if UM takes an L.
 
I'm gonna be in Vegas next weekend.

I feel good about this spread. (like it is good we didn't blowout GT)

But I am a koolaid drinking, Cane slurper. I would appreciate the input of more level headed sport book guys

Go big or play conservative.

I typically bet in the $50-200 range

If you think Miami is the better team and is going to win the game, a two-point spread shouldn't be that daunting. -3.5 a different ball game, but -2 is good if you're confident.

The only x-factor would be TVD having a rough outing (which we haven't seen yet) or another onslaught of turnovers like Miami had early against a bad Georgia Tech team.

Travis and FSU will put up some points, but their defense is abysmal and the Canes should score on them.

Could easily see the Canes getting in the 34-38 range and the Noles somewhere between 24-27 if both teams do what they're expected to do and there are no surprises.
 
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So our line hasn’t really budged. Very odd. Been -2.5 all week and at least the vig is higher on -2.5 than +2.5, but just odd that a Miami/FSU game line doesn’t move even half a point.
 
The over is a sure thing. Miami is the bet if you have to make it. It will go over 100%
If you knew what I know, you’d bet the house on the over. I don’t gamble fwiw
 
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