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Gamblers. Miami -2....

Would you bet >$500 ON MIAMI -2 VS FSU?

  • Conservative. <$200

  • Moderately frisky In the $400-500 range

  • $1000 with the risk of major disappointment

Results are only viewable after voting.
The over seems to be the play here . I don’t like betting on or against Miami

I see us winning they won’t stop TVD but our defense sucks so

Take the over
 
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Poptimus said:
The vig at Pinnacle is moving in FSU’s favor ever so slightly (now +2.5 -111). If Miami was the side the sharps liked, they wouldn’t marinate on this line and run the risk it moves to -3 before they bet. They’d have hit it already.

I’d wait and see if the consensus line falls before laying points with a Manny Diaz team on the road. I have a feeling the line drops, but if you can already snag Miami -2 when it’s -2.5 most spots that’s a good price.
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“Dead numbers” aren’t as talked about as they used to be bc of the overtime rules and the analytics that say go for two down 8. And all these other things that happen now. But 2 is essentially still a dead number. 2 to 2.5 isn’t anything that would keep you away from a bet. It depends on what the juice is, whether they wait or go ahead and play it.
 
Canedog said:
Frend, wat due yu think about Notre Dame/Virginia?
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Im in wait and see with that one. I haven’t looked to see if Armstrong is healthy for UVA. Coming off a bye, ill assume he is. If Hamilton is still out for ND and Armstrong is back, I’ll play the over 65. If Hamilton is back I’ll probably play ND up to -6.5.
 
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xbobdog said:
I'm gonna be in Vegas next weekend.

I feel good about this spread. (like it is good we didn't blowout GT)

But I am a koolaid drinking, Cane slurper. I would appreciate the input of more level headed sport book guys

Go big or play conservative.

I typically bet in the $50-200 range
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I would put a little on the Canes, brother.

My eyes are on TCU against OSU. Will they start the new kid at QB???
 
I really thought the line was going to tick up to 4/4.5 once the bets started rolling in. Im surprised. Both teams have some pluses and minuses. The big differentiator on paper is TVD and he is starting to get some love/attention outside of our UM bubble, so thought that was going to drive the bets towards UM more than it has. The line is holding and begging for some UM bets. But still have some time before the game. My advice: Dont bet on your team, stay away from rivalry games, only bet what you are willing to lose, and never bet on a Manny Diaz Defense :)
 
NC_Canes_11 said:
“Dead numbers” aren’t as talked about as they used to be bc of the overtime rules and the analytics that say go for two down 8. And all these other things that happen now. But 2 is essentially still a dead number. 2 to 2.5 isn’t anything that would keep you away from a bet. It depends on what the juice is, whether they wait or go ahead and play it.
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If I’m in Vegas I’d make sure I check the odds at vegasinsider.com and get down at -2 at some casino rather than -2.5. Could be a 30-28 game and I’d be ****ed if I lost several hundred by laying -2.5. It almost never ends up a 2 point game. Until it does.
 
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xbobdog said:
I'm gonna be in Vegas next weekend.

I feel good about this spread. (like it is good we didn't blowout GT)

But I am a koolaid drinking, Cane slurper. I would appreciate the input of more level headed sport book guys

Go big or play conservative.

I typically bet in the $50-200 range
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Question. How has Miami done against FSU while Manny was calling the defense? That should influence your bet.
 
Poptimus said:
If I’m in Vegas I’d make sure I check the odds at vegasinsider.com and get down at -2 at some casino rather than -2.5. Could be a 30-28 game and I’d be ****ed if I lost several hundred by laying -2.5. It almost never ends up a 2 point game. Until it does.
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I get what you’re saying and yes of the juice is similar, always take the best number you find. But my point here is nobody is gonna wait for -2 when it’s currently at -2.5. Bc all it takes is one group or person to lay a big bet and it goes to 3.
 
If you are in the Gameday t hread you would know i have lost some money on UM this year. The worst part about it...it was always me betting AGAINST UM. smh lol.

This fsu game scares me a bit...we had to squeak out against GA TECH because of poor turnovers.....FSU can run the ball...and can possibly throw short passes mst of th egame to their backs because literally ALL of our backers were terrible trying to cover GA TECHS.
This game i obviously expect to be close...Manny is a corch..and we have some low iq..and alot of young kids playing.

FSU's Super Bowl as well.

Maybe bet FSU to cover the first half we always suck there lmao
 
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I'm going to bet $100 on the tallyhoes. If the semenhoes win, I'm up a c-note. If Miami wins, I paid $100 bucks for my squad to win. I can't lose. Call me crazy, but that's the most logical approach to me. That's a win-win if I've ever seen one. LOL!!!!
 
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xbobdog said:
I'm gonna be in Vegas next weekend.

I feel good about this spread. (like it is good we didn't blowout GT)

But I am a koolaid drinking, Cane slurper. I would appreciate the input of more level headed sport book guys

Go big or play conservative.

I typically bet in the $50-200 range
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You’re looking in the wrong place for gambling advice.
 
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I have a very bad feeling about this game. Just a gut feeling but something tells me to stay away from this one.

Gambling aside I still have a bad feeling about this game. I know we have the firepower to blast these goofs back to the 70s but football is a funny game and then there's that law of averages thing. I'll take another 1 point win and be very happy with it. Heck I'll take a 2 point win after 17 OTs if that's what it takes. Just get out of there with a W.

Then again if we could blow them out.........
 
Canedog said:
Frend, wat due yu think about Notre Dame/Virginia?
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No who u were intending, but ND -the points. Brennan Armstrong is probably out.

I pick 5 games a week against the spread, I’m going pretty well so far. This is one of my 5 this week.

Also Pitt -5.5
Houston -24

Still have a couple more this week to grab. Maybe Purdue @ Ohio State U 66.5
 
Canefancarlos2 said:
Ohio state favored by 19 over purdue thats a surprise to me im looking for an upset
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I’d be a little nervous.
After Purdue beat Ohio State in 2018, they go rolled. After they beat Iowa this year Aiden O’Connell threw 3 picks and they got beaten bad by Wiscy.
I would steer clear in this one.
And I’m a Jeff Brohm fan boy
 
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