I think it breaks down this way for the Committee:
- FSU
- Undefeated
- Conference Champ
- Best Wins: LSU, Clemson, and UL
- Top Ten Defense
- Alabama
- 1 Loss to other CFP Team
- Conference Champ
- Best Wins: Tennessee, Ole Miss, LSU, and UGA
- They have a way better Offense than FSU, Defense can hold up not as statistically good.
Right now, Alabama is the better team. Alabama would beat FSU by 20 on a neutral field. They have better wins than FSU. FSU's best win is against a 9-3 team in Week 1. BUT FSU's undefeated. It's their only argument, but it's a huge one. Does everything Bama's done since the Texas loss make up for that? Also, that FSU offense isn't gonna be much better. The Nole fans are talking about Tate coming back and leveling up that O, but he was awful against a terrible UF team. The O will be better, but not much better. That O looked bad from the Miami game on. FSU is a 17-point dog to Washington or any other team they play in the CFP.
The question is, does being undefeated but looking suspect outweigh Bama ripping off ten wins and beating the #1 team in the country in the toughest conference in the country? It's a tough call. Ultimately, I think the CFP defaults to an undefeated P5 Conference Champ. Don't agree with it, and think FSU will get blown off the field by Penix and Washington, but I don't see them holding them out. Bama SHOULD be in. But FSU having an easier schedule doesn't matter. Ultimately, this will set a precedent where you should just stay in conference and schedule cupcakes for every other out-of-conference game.