It all depends on how they recruit movingforward. If they didn't land Klublick, I would agree 100%. Looking at Clemson's 2019 #7 ranekd class, they had 14 blue chips (3 5-stars) of 29 players. They took an unusually high 14 3-stars. From that class, they have lost 8 of those 14 (6 transfer, 2 NFL) leaving them with a very weak senior class. On the other hand their junior class is very strong. They have 17 of 23 players as blue chips including 5 5-star players. Their 2021 class has 16 blue chips out of 18 players with 3 5-stars. The 2020 and 2021 classes will make or break Clemson's future. The bad part for them is that a lot of 2020 class is going to declare for the 2023 NFL draft.
The whole key for Clemson is whether they can get back to recruiting top 10 classes. I don't think they will. Like you, I think they're sliding. NIL has changed the game. I see them recruiting in the 15-20 range in their future.
We know Mario is going to kill it in recruiting. We should have top 5 and top 10 classes on a regular basis. I don't expect us to ever have a class outside of the top 10.
So, I think Miami and Clemson are two ships in the night passing each other in opposite directions.
I actually hope FSU and Florida can recruit better as long as we get whoever we want. A stronger Big 3 weakens Alabama, UGA, Clemson, and Ohio State.
I think the college football landscape will change in 3-4 years. Texas & Texas A&M are going to keep a lot of their kids home and recruit nationally. The same for USC. This will bring competive balance to college football where Alabama, Georgia, and the rest won't be insanely loaded.