Awsi Dooger
Junior
- Joined
- Jan 20, 2012
- Messages
- 2,662
Vegas has been very wrong before
They don't care about being wrong. There is no subjectivity involved. Well, virtually none...30 seconds worth per game, on average. I have posted that link several times, regarding how the line is actually set.
A handful of guys sit around a desk, each equipped with the latest power ratings...stolen from various reputable sources. Last week those blended power ratings combined with the home field advantage made the Canes a 30 point favorite.
That's it. Nothing else matters. The process is repeated thousands and thousands of times per year. They don't have to do anything else, while taking 11/10 odds. The power rating method is by far the best way to quickly spit out a number that will enable a minor grind edge to the sportsbooks. That's why it is an assembly line process, with no room for all the ridiculous decision making that posters on forums like this thrill to imagine.
This week the game would be closer to Miami -26. Central Michigan's power rating rose a few points based on that game.
Every year there are teams like the current Dolphins, who skew from the norm and might have the pointspread run many points per game. Big deal. The books aren't dependent on Miami Dolphin outcomes as standalone. Fans fixate on one game or one result while those backroom oddsmakers are merely compiling the next set of power ratings for games they have to hang tomorrow.