HurricaneVision
Staff Writer
- Joined
- Nov 16, 2012
- Messages
- 943
I wanted to take some time to review Brad Kaaya and his performance when adversity hit, so I decided to review his performance when trailing at halftime.
The next time Brad Kaaya wins a game after trailing at halftime will be the first. He was 0-13 in such situations in college. To be fair, most teams win when they lead at halftime, but to not come back from a deficit even once in your entire college career is alarming. Teams tend to win ~70% of the time when leading at halftime.
We've established that Brad Kaaya-led teams never came back if they trailed at halftime. We've also established how often the team leading at halftime goes on to win the game is around 70%, but Kaaya was 22-3 when leading at halftime, which is an 88% winning percentage.
I wanted to review if Kaaya played out of his mind in the 4th quarter of those losses, or if perhaps the defense just let him down and his team was just outscored in a duel in the 4th quarter. Here are Kaaya's results in the 4th quarter of losses:
64-124, 51.6%, 812 yards, 6.55 yards/pass, 3 TD, 5 Int, 16 sacks taken. His teams scored five 4th quarter TD's in 14 games (removed from Clemson game and I excluded North Carolina because it was 51-3 or whatever).
You can draw your own conclusions on what this all means, but to see that Kaaya never led the team to a come-from-behind win was alarming, and to see his struggles in the 4th quarter of losses leads me to believe that Kaaya was a QB who could win games against teams he was supposed to, but was more of a function of the talent around him, rather than a guy who will make those around him better and win games he shouldn't be winning.
This isn't intended to be a referendum on the poor play of Kaaya, but rather be an informational post to illuminate the fact that while we are losing experience at the most important position, we really only need marginal play to match what we received over the previous three seasons.
The next time Brad Kaaya wins a game after trailing at halftime will be the first. He was 0-13 in such situations in college. To be fair, most teams win when they lead at halftime, but to not come back from a deficit even once in your entire college career is alarming. Teams tend to win ~70% of the time when leading at halftime.
We've established that Brad Kaaya-led teams never came back if they trailed at halftime. We've also established how often the team leading at halftime goes on to win the game is around 70%, but Kaaya was 22-3 when leading at halftime, which is an 88% winning percentage.
I wanted to review if Kaaya played out of his mind in the 4th quarter of those losses, or if perhaps the defense just let him down and his team was just outscored in a duel in the 4th quarter. Here are Kaaya's results in the 4th quarter of losses:
64-124, 51.6%, 812 yards, 6.55 yards/pass, 3 TD, 5 Int, 16 sacks taken. His teams scored five 4th quarter TD's in 14 games (removed from Clemson game and I excluded North Carolina because it was 51-3 or whatever).
You can draw your own conclusions on what this all means, but to see that Kaaya never led the team to a come-from-behind win was alarming, and to see his struggles in the 4th quarter of losses leads me to believe that Kaaya was a QB who could win games against teams he was supposed to, but was more of a function of the talent around him, rather than a guy who will make those around him better and win games he shouldn't be winning.
This isn't intended to be a referendum on the poor play of Kaaya, but rather be an informational post to illuminate the fact that while we are losing experience at the most important position, we really only need marginal play to match what we received over the previous three seasons.