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Dantonio finished 3rd and 5th in the last 2 years and is in the national title hunt again this year.
He could very easily win a championship if he were to stay at MSU.
And this is all without the benefit of highly ranked classes....
As for Patterson, since he's been at TCU for 15 years, I just don't think he'll be leaving anytime soon....but, for the right price, you never know....
Patterson is currently at $3M. Dantonio at $3.3 with Michigan state income tax. $4M with no state tax, in an easy division with Florida talent is still a great raise and opportunity for either of these guys if they ever want to win a NC.
The only way you're going to get a guy like Patterson or Dantonio is if they're dead set on exploring a new job. If they're already making near the max of what UM is prepared to offer, their current employer will just give the a raise of a few hundred grand. They won't lose those guys to UM over a couple thousand bucks. Only way you'll get guys like that offering $4M is if they've made up their mind they want to test themselves with access to better talent.
How does going from the Big 10 or Big 12, at their respective schools, to the ACC Coastal = testing yourself? Both of those schools have a heavier lift than UM does when it comes to getting to their conference championships and the final 4.
Odds are against them winning NCs at TCU and MSU. How many NCs have TCU and MSU won in the last 30 years? How many has Miami won? If you want to see what you can do with access to much better talent (the caveat you overlooked in my previous post), then you might make that move.
On Dantonio, he won't make the playoff this year. And he's losing his record-setting QB. His defense has taken a dip too.
You're right though. It'd be a major longshot for either guy, but it doesn't hurt to check. I get the feeling Patterson might want to see what he can do with access to great talent.