We're going to need to hold the Noles to 10 to win. I don't trust Mark Richt in rivalry/big games.
Here's what Georgia scored vs. Florida when Richt was calling the plays:
01 - 10
02 - 13
03 - 13
04 - 31
05 - 10
06 - 14
Yikes
Georgia Tech and Auburn should also be considered if you're talking about Georgia's biggest rivalry games. You must've only pointed out Florida because you have an agenda, or you don't really know Georgia's rivals, or both.
I lived in Atlanta for 4 years, and here's my takeaway on how Georgia fans see their rivals:
Florida - this is the game they want to win the most, mostly because Florida historically owns them.
GT - they would hate to lose this game, but always expect to win. They own GT, so it's more like an annoying little brother that they don't take seriously.
Auburn, South Carolina, Tenn - All pretty even in terms of a "rivalry".
Kentucky, Vandy, Missouri - All in the SEC East, but no one would consider these a Georgia "rival".
So lets take a look at these 5 Teams - Auburn, GT, Florida, SC, Tenn. The title of this thread is "20 points", so lets use that as barometer:
- Georgia scored 18 points or less against 3 out 5 of these teams in 01, 02, 04, 05, 06 - 5 out of 6 times.
Look at the 2002 Georgia team that went 13-1 overall, and 4-1 in these games:
SC - Won 13-7
Tenn - Won 18-13
FL - Lost 13-20
Aub - Won 24-21
GT - Won 51-7
My original statement was -
We're going to need to hold the Noles to 10 to win. I don't trust Mark Richt in rivalry/big games.
I think we can beat FSU - but I think it's MUCH more likely we win something like 13-10 than Richt puts a great offensive gameplan together and we win a 31-30 shootout.
IMO - our defense is much more likely to get us the win, not our offense.