Unfortunately I live in Tallahassee and am a lot closer to this program than I want to be, but here are some facts:
1. Willie was a complete and abject failure, yes, much worse than Norvell.
2. His accelerated dismissal was absolutely due to #1, but the color of his skin did not help him AT ALL. Tallahassee is VERY much "in the South", and let's just say if his name was William Taggart and he looked like a frat boy, he'd have almost definitely survived at least through season 2. There were people looking to get rid of him almost before he started. I was at the opening game vs VT, and the place was electric pre-game, but as soon as the game started I was honestly shocked to see the immediate vitriol towards Willie. I didn't hear anything overtly racist, but it was NOT the environment you'd expect for a new coach in his first game. Don't believe me if you'd like, but you'd be completely wrong. He had a very, very small safety net just because of how he looked.
3. They extended Mike because he comes off as competent when he speaks, runs a practice, etc. He's a smart guy and he's been a good HC, so when you look at the surface, he looks like he knows what he's doing. Also, they can pass off his shortcomings thus far as having to clean up the previous guy's mess. But more importantly, they know they're tied to him. Nothing is impossible, but it would be INSANELY difficult to fire him right now, because they're paying Willie Taggart $3.5M per year through 2024 to not coach the team, and they're paying Norvell a little more than that to actually coach at FSU. They simply cannot afford to fire him, pay Willie's buyout, pay Norvell's buyout, and buyout another coach from another school, and pay him $4+ million a year. Again, if something insane happened and Mike went 2-10 this year, people may get so fed-up that they'd beg on street corners and come up with this cash, but it's almost literally impossible. They don't have the money to do all that. So Mike will be the guy at least until Willie's buyout is over.
4. There was a LOT of support for Norvell in the immediate wake of the Miami win. But it was very short-sighted. They had been smacked by us 4 years in a row, and it was almost like a monkey off their back situation in the days after that game. But of course, they quickly came back to reality, and since then squeaked out a win vs a bad BC team, and then lost to a coach-less and hopeless gator team, didn't make a bowl, lost Hunter, got smoked on the trail by their rivals with new coaches, and things are back to "Oh no, we suck again!" status.
5. This year is absolutely gigantic for Norvell, obviously. As I mentioned, I think he has a very small chance to be fired, but there is still some pockets of the fanbase who think he is the right man for the job, the program is progressing, etc. If they have a bad season again, he will have zero support and the program will be in complete shambles, even worse than it is now. He absolutely must win at least 8 and probably 9 games for there to be any momentum at all around the program. 6-6 or 7-5 type seasons won't get him fired, for the reasons I stated above, but if that happens, it will be much like Willie's years when NOBODY will go to the games, support the program, donations will be down, etc. They excused Year 1 because of Covid and Willie's mess. They excused Year 2 because he's still getting his guys, but they did look better than they did in 2020, even though they went 5-7 and lost to a High School team. They did show improvement in a lot of areas (although how could you not after losing 52-10 to Manny Diaz, among several other embarrassments). But there are no more excuses. He has to win this year or the entire fanbase will be at his throat, and with no money to get rid of him, the program will be too toxic to do anything but drown.