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UM-Duke Opening Line

I see a very tough game with Dook bringing out all the stops and treating this like their superbowl as many do.
...we'll need to play our best mistake free ball and run the O conducive to TVD's strengths and hammer them in the air and we can win.
...buncha freelancing, inept scheming or more bad luck injuries and we won't.
 
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edge said:
Duke has 0 pass defense. I mean 0. TVD will rack up 400 yards easy. Can we change things in the red zone and can we stop the read option on D. That will be the difference in a blowout and a close game.
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we can't score points. were halfway through the year. at some point, this is who we are in the RZ. we have a bad play caller, a bad OL, injuries everywhere at the skill positions.
 
hoops156 said:
we can't score points. were halfway through the year. at some point, this is who we are in the RZ. we have a bad play caller, a bad OL, injuries everywhere at the skill positions.
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Like most fans, I am hoping at some point things turn around. Hopefully Clark and Zion are back. If we were ever going to show some signs of life in RZ then this game is the one for it. If not, oh well.
 
This game depends on Steele’s gameplan for Leonard. He can hurt you with his arm and legs. He’s carrying that team.
 
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I learned to stop betting on my sports teams games but shiiddd vegas tryna give me some money so I might take duke with those points lol
 
Great line from Vegas to be honest.

Remember - they don't want to pick the winning side per say; they want as close to 50/50 action as possible. The less exposure the better, and the vig (for those not familiar, the juice you pay on a bet: i.e. -110 or -115 for a spread) is their moneymaker.

-10 Immediately will get bet down as it already has, but you'll most likely see it stop around 7.5, maybe 7. At that point, public will certainly see the names alone and take Miami at home. More seasoned bettors might latch onto these possible narratives:

- Miami finally notched an ACC win and can build some momentum against a team that's severely over-achieved based on various metrics. Miami certainly has the more talented roster and is finally tailoring their play-calling to TVD's strengths.
- Duke lost in heartbreaking fashion to their rival and now is 0-2 in ACC play, tough to rebound the following week.

Miami money most likely comes pouring in later in the week, I bet this is -8.5 or -9 at kickoff. Right where they (Vegas) wants it.
 
Vegas has no pulse on us. They never do. I wish I could only stick to betting Miami games lol
 
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WeBallinBoyz said:
Great line from Vegas to be honest.

Remember - they don't want to pick the winning side per say; they want as close to 50/50 action as possible. The less exposure the better, and the vig (juice you pay on a bet, i.e. -110 for a spread per say) is their moneymaker.

-10 Immediately will get bet down as it already has, but you'll most likely see it stop around 7.5, maybe 7. At that point, public will certainly see the names alone and take Miami at home - particularly with a few narratives.

- Miami finally notched an ACC win and can build some momentum against a team that's severely over-achieved based on various metrics
- Duke lost in heartbreaking fashion to their rival and now is 0-2 in ACC play, tough to rebound the following week.

Miami money comes pouring in, I bet this is -8.5 or -9 at kickoff. Right where they want it.
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This line will probably bring lopsided Duke action imo. I think the old 50/50 thing is outdated. Theres lines all the time they put out they know won’t be getting 50/50 action.
 
JgDaCane said:
This line will probably bring lopsided Duke action imo. I think the old 50/50 thing is outdated. Theres lines all the time they put out they know won’t be getting 50/50 action.
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While that's true, I think it's more accurate for the "squarer" games (NFL, primetime college games, etc.). As we saw today - just a lot more parity in pro sports, even those double digit spreads. We'll certainly see though - if there is lopsided action, I would also think it's in Duke's favor. Could see it closing around a TD, but I don't think it'll cross 7.
 
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