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UM-Duke Opening Line

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E1k said:
I learned to stop betting on my sports teams games but shiiddd vegas tryna give me some money so I might take duke with those points lol
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I had the perfect Saturday: Canes won but I bet they wouldn’t cover and they didn’t. Gonna bet like that more often.
 
Empirical Cane said:
Miami expected...23-ish
Duke expected...30-ish

I want to be wrong, but a model indicates....
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Caught the last few minutes of the Duke UNC game and thought they looked pretty decent. Wish they could've closed out the game.

They seem much improved over last year. Transfer portal? Better coaching/ player development?

Either way, it's Duke so we better win. Hoping to get some of the injured players back cause things are looking rough on that front.
 
LawyerCane said:
Actually there was a line, a huge one, on the Bethune game. I forgot what it was but I found it on a site the morning of the game and made a parlay bet on Miami with the over and won. But you’re correct, other than the Bethune game our Canes are 0-5 against the spread.
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What site did you make the bet with?
 
Refs got a briefcase to stop the dukies from beating the heels in that one. 2 TDs called back for tictac calls in unc's favor.
In the battle of sh*tty helments Saturday night, the refs wanted unc.
 
edge said:
Duke has 0 pass defense. I mean 0. TVD will rack up 400 yards easy. Can we change things in the red zone and can we stop the read option on D. That will be the difference in a blowout and a close game.
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Some food for thought, Duke has a better pass and run defense than UNC.

You are right though we need to be able to actually score in the red zone.
 
edge said:
Duke has 0 pass defense. I mean 0. TVD will rack up 400 yards easy. Can we change things in the red zone and can we stop the read option on D. That will be the difference in a blowout and a close game.
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vegas knew we would handle tech easy. they didn't know we would lose so many key guys which made it a closer game. we should win easily but with mistakes and injuries it becomes a closer game.
 
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itsacanething said:
vegas knew we would handle tech easy. they didn't know we would lose so many key guys which made it a closer game. we should win easily but with mistakes and injuries it becomes a closer game.
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Injuries and penalties were the X factor that affected Miami covering. Even so, Vegas was basically correct with this line. They were only 1-2 points off.
 
WeBallinBoyz said:
Great line from Vegas to be honest.

Remember - they don't want to pick the winning side per say; they want as close to 50/50 action as possible. The less exposure the better, and the vig (for those not familiar, the juice you pay on a bet: i.e. -110 or -115 for a spread) is their moneymaker.

-10 Immediately will get bet down as it already has, but you'll most likely see it stop around 7.5, maybe 7. At that point, public will certainly see the names alone and take Miami at home. More seasoned bettors might latch onto these possible narratives:

- Miami finally notched an ACC win and can build some momentum against a team that's severely over-achieved based on various metrics. Miami certainly has the more talented roster and is finally tailoring their play-calling to TVD's strengths.
- Duke lost in heartbreaking fashion to their rival and now is 0-2 in ACC play, tough to rebound the following week.

Miami money most likely comes pouring in later in the week, I bet this is -8.5 or -9 at kickoff. Right where they (Vegas) wants it.
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You're right. CIS must learn the point spread is Not a power rating..
 
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