forums

UL is a 2.5 point favorite (Updated 9/14)

Advertisement
ScubaCane said:
We're still not very good, 38-17 UL
Click to expand...
What about Louisville's performance against WKU indicates they are so much better than we are?

UAB (9-5 last year, returned most key starters) is fairly equivalent to WKU (9-4 last year)...WKU did beat UAB in a close game last year (20-13).

LVille beat WKU by 14 (35-21)....we beat UAB by 17 (31-14)...despite us having a brand new offense, and LVille having most of the same offensive starting unit as last year.

LVille had 487 yards against WKU, we had 495 against UAB.

LVille gave up 248 against WKU, we gave up 285 against UAB

While LVille had a much better passing game (343 yds, 10.1 yd/attempt) than we did (158 yds, 5.9 yds/attempt) we also focused on the ground game.

Rushing stats, LVille had 144 yds (only 3.8/rush)...we had 337 yds (at 6.5 yds/rush)
 
Last edited:
88 said:
Louisville really had their way with our D last season and our lack of team speed was glaring. Satterfield always had good defenses at App St, so I expect them to improve moving away from the defensive dumpster fire Petrino had there. Miami's going to have to have a ball game. McCloud is going to get shredded by all the speed Louisville has, hopefully it doesn't take until the 3rd quarter to replace him.

One thing that could change is UL doesn't have those tackles anymore and their LT was getting abused vs WKU. We're going to really have to stifle Cunningham any time he tries to pass and sell out on the run and underneath stuff.
Click to expand...
It was 35-14 at halftime last year. Ended 52-27. They never scored more than a TD in any quarter while we had 3 in the first quarter alone. So again who's offense had their way with the other teams D?
 
Last edited:
Advertisement
RightSaidFred said:
Louisville probably will win. Louisville is a good team with a great QB. Let's hope our defense plays lights out.
Click to expand...
Yup that 52-27 beatdown of them last year show's that their a good team. Oh by the way they lost their 2 best OL to the NFL. OOPS
 
It’s going to be 50-60 degrees. Hopefully our players aren’t too cold and bundled up in jackets like they are in Antarctica.

Miami teams seem to struggle once them temperature gets below 75 degrees in the past. Hopefully this team isn’t as soft as those in the past.
 
ScubaCane said:
We're still not very good, 38-17 UL
Click to expand...
LOL. I mean who is the best team that Louisville beat? That is a serious question. Maybe Wake (Cunningham didn't play that game). So with Cunningham as QB their best win is....UVA. That really isn't that impressive. I know we did have a down year but still beat Louisville with a bad QB and horrible OC. We made tremendous upgrades to both positions this year. I'm not saying Louisville is bad by any means. I just they they might be a little overhyped.
 
Last edited:
Advertisement
Poptimus said:
Vegas does not want equal action on both sides. There is a lengthy explanation I posted a year ago here about why mathematically it doesn’t behoove Vegas to call off action and just collect the vig rather than just book all bets. They move the line when certain profiles winners make bets that aren’t necessarily what some rich square bets on the same game. A $5k bet from a sharp could move the line and the same casino doesn’t budge it for a $20k bet from a square.
Click to expand...
The 50% myth is just that (a myth). It might happen in the super bowl (where there are 100 million bets and the game is between two even teams that are relatively easy to handicap) but that’s about it. 70% of the money will always be on Alabama over Arkansas - even when the number gets to 40. It’s impossible to make money off the vig alone. The reason that the vig exists - that books are providing a service, a service that costs money to operate - is at least partially true.

Books eat when dogs cover but they feast when dogs win. And dogs win every day. This whole discussion started because one guy said something along the lines of “Louisville is a 2 point [home] favorite, and Vegas is always right, so we might as well not even get on the plane” - which is just plain stupid, on so many levels.
 
The last time I checked ( Tuesday AM. ) mighty Louisville was ... - 1 1/2. I don't know. Maybe some heavy action went down on mighty Louisville since then and what not.
 
Advertisement
Mandingo said:
They went from 2 wins to 8 wins the very next year because of Scatts coaching. The went from bottom feeders to the 2nd highest scoring offense in the ACC. He felt like they left a lot of points on the field last year. I think the tape will show that. If our LBs stay lost with PA, Boots and Crossing routes, they’re going to get theirs again.

But - I expect us to score against their asses early and often. No excuses. Get the W. We blasted this team last year with a Frosh QB. No reason to take a step back with King under center. We’ll see more of our play-book this game.

We win by 13-17, IMO. BUT, I’m a critical homer. So...
Click to expand...
i get the win prediction but you honestly think that only 30 points going to be scored in this game?
 
Tru C said:
How to shut them up at night on the road


Click to expand...

Forever will be my favorite canes game, nothing else comes close. The way we dominated that game after all the hype they were getting was just incredible. The score could have easily been 70-3
 
Advertisement
canecrazy23 said:
It was 35-14 at halftime last year. Ended 52-27. They never scored more than a TD in any quarter while we had 3 in the first quarter alone. So again who's offense had their way with the other teams D?
Click to expand...

Miami's offense has nothing to do with Louisville's offense, so that's a non-sequiter argument. They had the second most yards anyones put on a Diaz defense since he's been here. You give up 500 most of the time you'll be giving up more TD's. Louisville was running free all game and lucky they had some lapses that cost them points.
 
unless there’s a disastrous performance on defense (I’m talking the worst we’ve seen under manny; VT was bad but some of those points were due to Williams throwing a multitude of INTs in our own territory) we should win this game. Offensively I’m expecting north of 35, honestly 40+.
 
Advertisement
Back
Top