Upside Case: Win out, actually beat Florida State, beat them again in the ACC Title game (I said this was upside), win the ACC, end up 12-2 and ranked in top 10.
Odds: Less than 5%
Outcome: Golden stays, redeemed, and gets into playoffs 2015 and wins it all in 2016. Critics (including this one) get quiet and bow down to Al.
Expected Case: Lose 3 more games (Ga Tech, Va Tech, and FSU) End up 8-5, crappy December bowl game
Odds: 70%
Outcome: Golden finally gets pressured to fire Donofrio and things get a little bit better but still no championship in next 5 years. Butch goes somewhere else... maybe Florida.. Golden gets the boot in 2016. Miami continues to be laughing stock and fans and alumni keep *****ing.
Downside Case (or upside case, depending on how you look at it): Lose 5 more games (Ga Tech, Va Tech, UNC, FSU, Virginia) end up 6-7 assuming we get invited to the Raid ****roach bowl.
Odds: 25%
Outcome: Board of Trustees finally listen. Golden is fired. They hire Butch (Shalala doesn't make a stink since she's leaving anyway). We get a kick-*** recruiting class. We go to the playoffs in 2016, win it all in 2017.
Odds: Less than 5%
Outcome: Golden stays, redeemed, and gets into playoffs 2015 and wins it all in 2016. Critics (including this one) get quiet and bow down to Al.
Expected Case: Lose 3 more games (Ga Tech, Va Tech, and FSU) End up 8-5, crappy December bowl game
Odds: 70%
Outcome: Golden finally gets pressured to fire Donofrio and things get a little bit better but still no championship in next 5 years. Butch goes somewhere else... maybe Florida.. Golden gets the boot in 2016. Miami continues to be laughing stock and fans and alumni keep *****ing.
Downside Case (or upside case, depending on how you look at it): Lose 5 more games (Ga Tech, Va Tech, UNC, FSU, Virginia) end up 6-7 assuming we get invited to the Raid ****roach bowl.
Odds: 25%
Outcome: Board of Trustees finally listen. Golden is fired. They hire Butch (Shalala doesn't make a stink since she's leaving anyway). We get a kick-*** recruiting class. We go to the playoffs in 2016, win it all in 2017.

