forums

MEGA There’s Still Hope for the ACCCG/CFB Playoffs Mega Merge Thread

IMG_6386.jpeg


People are buying it
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
Getting way ahead of myself because I'm bored, but if we do get in, I think it's a lock it'll be as the 10 seed.

So we'd play #7.

As you said, as of now that's A&M. They're probably the favorite to stay there, but I wonder what happens if Bama beats UGA.

IMO Bama goes to the #4 line and gets a bye, and UGA drops a few spots.

I think the perfect scenario is they drop to #6, staying ahead of Ole Miss since they beat them, Ole Miss drops to #7, and we get to go to a Lane-less Oxford for the first round.
Click to expand...
A&M is definitely the worst draw for us as the 7.

I'd rather see Alabama, Georgia, Oklahoma, or even Ole Miss without Lane.

A&M can match up in the trenches and has good skill players. Would be an excellent game.
 
F-MarioCristobal said:
A&M is definitely the worst draw for us as the 7.

I'd rather see Alabama, Georgia, Oklahoma, or even Ole Miss without Lane.

A&M can match up in the trenches and has good skill players. Would be an excellent game.
Click to expand...
We have now reached the "let's complain about Miami's theoretical bracket draw in college football playoffs" stage of grief.

the-matrix-bo-kev-3045736749.jpg
 
RF-4CCane said:
Because half of the BCS computers didn’t include H2H.
Click to expand...
That could be part of it. I believe since the end of the BCS at least some of the computers have readded H2H and MOV measures. Not clear to me whether that account is using the computers as the exist now or adjusting to them for what they would have spit out during the late-BCS era
 
F-MarioCristobal said:
A&M is definitely the worst draw for us as the 7.

I'd rather see Alabama, Georgia, Oklahoma, or even Ole Miss without Lane.

A&M can match up in the trenches and has good skill players. Would be an excellent game.
Click to expand...
Unless we get the version of Marcel Reed that throws 5 picks in a half. Then, its a different story
 
F-MarioCristobal said:
A&M is definitely the worst draw for us as the 7.

I'd rather see Alabama, Georgia, Oklahoma, or even Ole Miss without Lane.

A&M can match up in the trenches and has good skill players. Would be an excellent game.
Click to expand...
A&M hasn't really played anybody tough all year besides ND in week 2 to know how good or bad they are...

They beat:
Arkansas 45-42
South Carolina 31-30
Auburn 16-10
Florida 34-17
MS St 31-9

those are the worst 5 teams in the SEC for a combined conference record of 5-35 in conference record

their "good" conference wins were:
LSU 49-25 (3-5 conference record)
Missouri 38-17 (4-4 conference record)

In other words, A&M didn't beat a single SEC team with a winning conference record..

And they got handled pretty easily by Texas 27-17 (gave up 6+ yards per carry)...
 
F-MarioCristobal said:
Reed throws 5 and Beck throws 4. They’d eliminate both of us regardless of who wins.
Click to expand...
Just don't think that Beck is playing as on and off right now. Who knows though. Think our dline would pressure reed as much, if not more, than Texas did when they played.
 
flips said:
That could be part of it. I believe since the end of the BCS at least some of the computers have readded H2H and MOV measures. Not clear to me whether that account is using the computers as the exist now or adjusting to them for what they would have spit out during the late-BCS era
Click to expand...
That’s the only thing I can see causing those rankings.
 
The lead reporter for 247 sports Notre Dame says this btw:

When I think of where we are now following Tuesday’s vote...​

...This is not a Notre Dame and Miami thing. Miami deserves to be in the 12-team playoff. It goes without saying that Notre Dame clearly is one of the best football teams in the country. They both belong. But both won't be included.

All things being equal, I believe by virtue of the head-to-head game between Notre Dame and Miami that if one is to make it, it should be the Hurricanes. Forget that "but Miami lost two games to unranked teams" nonsense. They lost to SMU, a playoff team last year, and Louisville, which has won 27 games in three years. Both were 8-4 teams this season.

The Hurricanes didn't play as well as they needed to win those two games, but those are not bad losses like so many have depicted. Marshall and Northern Illinois are bad losses. This is not about Notre Dame vs. Miami.

What happened Tuesday night with the final vote cast before the conference championship games, however, was a manipulation of the system. Not so much moving Miami up two spots behind the Irish after a gradual process of bringing Miami up from where it was. But the Hurricanes had lost two of three games and had to drop behind Notre Dame at a certain point as the Irish were stringing together a 10-game winning streak. Miami worked its way back into it by winning the rest of its games.

There is no mathematical equation that serves every head-to-head situation throughout a season. There will be some "injustices" along the way that can't be avoided as it relates to mid-season rankings. It was not a coincidence that BYU was offered as a buffer between Notre Dame and Miami with the knowledge that Texas Tech and BYU will clash this weekend for the Big 12 title, but it kept the committee's words early in the process true to form.
 
Calinative said:
Imagine telling someone in the preseason they could bet $500 to win $50k to pick a team 10-2 at a Major brand to make the playoffs over another 10-2 team that they beat Head2Head to make the playoffs…

If you could bet on that in the preseason a $500 bet would probably win you $550 max
Click to expand...
That bet is to win the whole thing
 
Back
Top