forums

MEGA There’s Still Hope for the ACCCG/CFB Playoffs Mega Merge Thread

Calinative said:
My actual "prediction" for this week is: (I don't think committee in general is putting 2 loss teams ahead of 1 loss teams. Even though I don't think oregon deserves to be rated so highly, they probably will. OU beating Bama really ****ed **** up cause it likely cemented Ole Miss as in, even with a loss. OU is almost certainly in now too. I think 1 of Oregon/USC will definitely be in. And you know the committee will do whatever they need to to keep Bama in.

1. Ohio St
2. Indiana
3. Texas A&M
4. UGA
5. Texas Tech
6. Ole Miss
7. Oklahoma
8. Oregon
9. Alabama
10. Notre Dame
11. BYU
12. Miami
13. Utah
14. USC
15. Vanderbilt
16. GTech
17. Michigan
18. Texas
19. Tennessee
20. Virginia
22. Missouri
23. Illinois
24. Houston
25. Pitt / Some Team from American / JMU
Click to expand...
I'm suspicious that the committee will figure out a way to keep ND and us more than 3 spots apart so they don't have to use the H2H win to put us ahead of them. Meaning either Bama falls below ND or we don't jump Utah/Vandy
 
Advertisement
Unfortunately we just need to play a weak OOC schedule and go at least 11-1 to get in. No other way with the SEC/BIG/ND deep state
 
Calinative said:
The committe needs to evaluate the resume as a whole not week to week.

Other results impact what you thought of Utah. Utah lost to BYU and was killed by TTU at home, and their ONLY "good" win was Cinci who the committe put at 25 to keep them decently highly rated, and they just went ahead and lost. Meanwhile ND is likely moving up which Increases our quality win even more.

Vandy lost to bama and texas and has no good wins, and bama and texas just lost.
Click to expand...
Imo you don’t do that. Yeah, losses can look better or worse, and so can wins. But if Utah steamrolls someone but a team them beat a few weeks ago loses, that doesn’t (and shouldn’t) really matter.

Well fsu won so Miami’s win over fsu looks better. But Florida lost so Miamis win over them doesn’t look as good.

No, they don’t do that
.
 
scrantoncane said:
Imo you don’t do that. Yeah, losses can look better or worse, and so can wins. But if Utah steamrolls someone but a team them beat a few weeks ago loses, that doesn’t (and shouldn’t) really matter.

Well fsu won so Miami’s win over fsu looks better. But Florida lost so Miamis win over them doesn’t look as good.

No, they don’t do that
.
Click to expand...
I very much disagree. It's quite literally why they use strength of resume as one of their ranking factors.
By that logic the first ranking is by far the most important because it sets the stage for all the rankings to follow, even though it is based on the least amount of information of any ranking given every ranking after it has more data. It doesn't need to be a FULL refresh weekly, but it all works together. What seemed like a good win in week 11 rankings maybe just turn out to be an okay win, and not worth as much as you previously though and as the reason you ranked them so highly in the first place.
Them moving teams up and down a lot - especially in first few rankings - is good.
 
IMHO, the current week 13 Canes aren’t playing like the team that lost to SMU and Louisville. I see steady improvement in the Canes over the last couple of weeks. If the Canes continue on this trajectory, they can beat anyone in college football, but they have to continue to improve as they have done. I love the entire defense and the depth. The offense has a bunch of young playmakers who are growing with each rep and each game. The coaches and Beck trust them.

I didn’t feel as good about the 2024 Canes team last season heading into the playoffs . The 2024 defense was too porous and the Canes had too many glaring weaknesses. When Cam and the high powered offensive Canes missed the 2024 CFP playoffs, I wasn’t as disappointed as I would be if the Canes finish this 2025 regular season strong and miss the CFP. If this team continues to improve, this team has a real chance to not just make the CFP, they have a chance to win and advance deep into the CFP playoffs
 
Calinative said:
I very much disagree. It's quite literally why they use strength of resume as one of their ranking factors.
Click to expand...
As I said earlier, Miami shouldn’t have been 18 coming in to yesterday. Our SOR proved that.

But beating unranked nc state while Utah and byu also steamrolled their opponents isn’t enough to justify jumping them this week imo.
 
scrantoncane said:
As I said earlier, Miami shouldn’t have been 18 coming in to yesterday. Our SOR proved that.

But beating unranked nc state while Utah and byu also steamrolled their opponents isn’t enough to justify jumping them this week imo.
Click to expand...
But last week they specifically ranked Cinci 25 to keep Utah (and thus BYUs) resume as higher. Without that anchoring their resume with a top 25 win, it lowers their resume. This is all pretty simple stuff. You can ABSOLUTLEY move us and USC above teams as we get more wins and our opponents play out their schedule. Should Ole miss get more or less credit for their Oklahoma win now? They were looking at a single loss likely eliminating them from CFP. But now that win likely solidifies their CFP slot even with a loss because their resume was strengthened significantly.
 
Advertisement
need 2 of these things to happen, at least

Missouri beats oklahoma, auburn beats bama, byu loses to cincy, a 2 loss team loses a title game (Utah), vandy loses to Tennessee

bama losing yesterday might have been the thing that sealed our fate
 
Last edited:
BishopEli said:
So a sample of 2 is consistent? And yes, I think Miami is better than Utah, byu, Vandy, OU and ND so that would put us in the top 12... probably ole miss and Oregon too
Click to expand...
3 years in a row would be fairly consistent. Miami is not getting in over 1 loss teams where those team's only losses are to top 5 teams. OU has better wins. The head to head over ND should matter more than it does.
 
407cane said:
need 2 of these things to happen, at least

Missouri beats oklahoma, auburn beats bama, byu loses to cinco, a 2 loss team loses a title game (Utah), vandy loses to Tennessee

bama losing yesterday might have been the thing that sealed our fate
Click to expand...
think we may need 3 or 4 of those 5 tbh. what a waste of another season if we win out, smh
 
Calinative said:
But last week they specifically ranked Cinci 25 to keep Utah (and thus BYUs) resume as higher.
Click to expand...
No. The didn’t “specifically” do that. Your conspiracy theory says they did that. I personally don’t believe there is a conspiracy to prop up Utah and byu.
 
Advertisement
We are not getting in, but should over ND. The rude awakening would be us getting in but they will keep us far enough behind ND to avoid head to head debate.
 
Back
Top