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MEGA There’s Still Hope for the ACCCG/CFB Playoffs Mega Merge Thread

IMO the only shot is through the ACCCG for us. We’re going to move up 1 spot, jumping Texas, and still need to climb 4 spots. Think Vandy loses to Tennessee so that makes 3 spots.

Those 3 spots will have to be BYU, Utah, Alabama, or Oklahoma losses. Maybe there’s a path if Oregon loses to USC or Washington. So we’re basically needing to rely on 3 of LSU, Auburn, K State, and Cincinnati to pull off top 10 wins. MAYBE the BIG12 championship loser would drop out with a blowout loss if it’s BYU dropping to TTU again. So would need 2 of those upsets. Can we jump Utah without them losing? Resume says yes but they haven’t done it yet.

ACCCG path is basically just Pitt beating GT and VT beating Virginia. Kind of a long shot but Virginia historically just doesn’t win that game (twice since 2000). There’s still a few ways even if Virginia wins that game. Pitt winning next week is the most important.
 
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the storm said:
Don’t think the committee will want another FSU bruhaha like last year so we’ll see. IF we can win out I'm optimistic.
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FSU was 2 years ago. Last year was Miami. Why would they pick us to back in as the second team from a **** conference vs. teams with better wins late in the year?
 
ALLoverCANE said:
The Big 12 has 3 teams better than the ACC's 2nd best team.

But you're missing the point. Winning the ACC is an easy path. We blew it.
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Utah and BYU arent better than Georgia Tech,Miami,Virginia. My comment has nothing to do with Miami losing games. It’s just saying the Big 12 is the weakest power 4 conference
 
F-MarioCristobal said:
IMO the only shot is through the ACCCG for us. We’re going to move up 1 spot, jumping Texas, and still need to climb 4 spots. Think Vandy loses to Tennessee so that makes 3 spots.

Those 3 spots will have to be BYU, Utah, Alabama, or Oklahoma losses. Maybe there’s a path if Oregon loses to USC or Washington. So we’re basically needing to rely on 3 of LSU, Auburn, K State, and Cincinnati to pull off top 10 wins. MAYBE the BIG12 championship loser would drop out with a blowout loss if it’s BYU dropping to TTU again. So would need 2 of those upsets. Can we jump Utah without them losing? Resume says yes but they haven’t done it yet.

ACCCG path is basically just Pitt beating GT and VT beating Virginia. Kind of a long shot but Virginia historically just doesn’t win that game (twice since 2000). There’s still a few ways even if Virginia wins that game. Pitt winning next week is the most important.
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The new committee spokesman is the Utah AD…..**** will be rigged if it’s us vs. them.
 
TrumpyCane thinks we will be 13 on Tuesday jumping Texas and Vandy who was on a bye

The committee said they needed to see consistency from us when the first rankings came out, and we've throttled Cuse and NC State, they want us in, they know we bring $$$$

Saying that

OU still has Mizz and LSU
BYU has Cinci on the road, next week plus maybe a title game
Utah has no one and not sure if have a chance at the title game, saying that TrumpyCane thinks we jump them if we win out and look good, their best win is freaking Cinci
Oregon still has USC and Washington

Bama still has Auburn who basically has 2 byes before before playing Bama and the game is at Auburn. Last 4 games in Auburn Bama has won by 3, 2, and lost the other 2. Auburn's defense is nasty and DJ Durkin is coaching for that job
 
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Might be feeling overly positive today but OU plays Missouri and LSU? They drop one of those and bama somehow loses the iron bowl we’ll be glad Bama lost to OU
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
ND is in. Leave them out of the conversation. There are 6 teams for 2 spots:

OU
Bama
Vandy
BYU
Utah
Miami
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If Bama stays ahead of ND this week, we can maybe get a leap frog if we get within 3 of ND (the H2H might magnet us up)... but it's a long shot. And we're all assuming Texas ranks behind us after a loss to #5. I'm not sure thats true.
At the end of the day, Vegas has our odds of making it at all at roughly 25%, and that's telling
 
SinisterCane said:
It’s wild to me that Mario is in his 4th year on 3rd stint as a HC and is still learning on the job
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After the SMU game Mario talked about using analytics for his decisions. Throw that **** sheet away and mana? One of the dumbest calls I have ever see. It like the Texas call against OSU last year losing the ball on a pitch/ backward pass. They survived getting a stop on defense.
 
DamnLiesAndStatistics said:
If Bama stays ahead of ND this week, we can maybe get a leap frog if we get within 3 of ND (the H2H might magnet us up)... but it's a long shot. And we're all assuming Texas ranks behind us after a loss to #5. I'm not sure thats true.
At the end of the day, Vegas has our odds of making it at all at roughly 25%, and that's telling
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And ND is -4000 to make the playoff. If you wanna win $100, you have to lay 4 grand. Speaking of telling….
 
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Hurracanes said:
The SEC has its hands wrapped around ESPN and college football. They are going to get the most teams in the playoffs and ***** over teams in other conferences. Miami must leave the ACC immediately. I can’t stress it enough. ****, ACC may not even get a team in playoffs.

Miami screwed itself losing its games, unfortunately.
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We all knew from the start a 2 loss non conference champion ACC team isn’t getting in.

Would be cool to see Jim Philips out there lobbying for Miami, but that would require some level of competence. On second thought, maybe we’re better off without him. Dude comes across like Rain Man, only with less charisma.

If we’re going to take a couple bad losses every season, which we apparently will be, we gotta get outta the ACC.
 
U_Canes said:
1-I’m not sure that we don’t need Vandy to lose to Tennessee. We’ve all just assumed that we’re going leapfrog Vandy. But they’re ahead of us in the rankings and still have a top 25 opponent on the road coming up.

2-I’m not sure what happens to Utah in your scenario. But a lot of this just seems to rely on the committee suddenly ranking us ahead of teams we’re currently behind despite no notable wins by us and no losses on their part and idk why we just expect that to happen.

3-There’s basic zero chance that Notre Dame on a 10 game winning streak is falling behind us. They lost by 4 points combined to an undefeated TAMU and on the road against us. We can cling to that week 1 game all we want. But they’ve simply played better football the last couple months.

4-We got ranked behind a 3 loss Bama team last year, idk why people think we’d leapfrog as 2 loss one this year.
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Overall I believe the OP logic is flawed but in retort to #2 the committee stated the UM offense has been too inconsistent. If we hang 40 on the next two opponents the offensive inconsistency argument is muted.

3. We have played two common opponents NC St who we both drubbed emphatically (Miami more impressively) and we will have Pitt who they just worked so we need to work Pitt more impressively some how. We do that and the "they are playing better football argument is dead." They would be playing the same and we beat them.

4. Again common opponent logic early in the year FSU smooshed Bama then 4 weeks later we went into the same stadium in primetime and smoked FSU for 3 and a half quarters.


Huge caveat is we are the Canes and logic doesnt mean **** if they can **** us they will.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
And ND is -4000 to make the playoff. If you wanna win $100, you have to lay 4 grand. Speaking of telling….
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That is wild. They give us no chance head to head if Miami is at ~12 and ND is at 10.

Honestly, that’s probably mispriced. I know they will almost certainly take ND over us, but -4000 is wild.
 
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