Unfortunately, our dreams probably died when GT came back to beat BC and Oklahoma beat Alabama. Those two really hurt us.
If we win out and look like we did today in the process, we'll easily jump both Utah and Vandy. Neither team has a top 25 win, unless they somehow get Missouri in. We'd still have a win over a top 10 ND team.
From there, even if Texas lose to UGA and BYU loses to (take your pick), that only gets us up to #11.
Since the ACCCG and group of 5 winners both get auto bids, we'd be the first team out.
There's a very real chance it comes to us vs ND for the final spot, and I think we all know they'll pick ND.