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MEGA There’s Still Hope for the ACCCG/CFB Playoffs Mega Merge Thread

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Cribby said:
That’s not how it’ll be spent brother . They’ll even show us throwing with a minute left on all the shows .
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good let them show that TD saying we threw it to make a statement, its what we needed and delivered . yeah it woulda been nice to score more and hold them, under 10 points. that last TD was HUGE
 
scrantoncane said:
I think we need usc to win this game.

If nothing else, it increases the variance. Maybe both are above us, maybe 1 is, maybe neither are.

But at least we get a roll of the dice.
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Oregon is out with 2 home losses and no real good wins.

I maintain ranking us above USC allows the committee to put both us and ND in and avoid the h2h debate.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
I think it’d have happened regardless but you could be right.
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What happened today will be a thing come Tuesday. They’ll show us throwing late and VT having a chance to cut it to 3 until we strip sacked them yet will leave off the injuries and the onside kick . Even the announcers were pushing the eye test and how it looks . I don’t see that when sec teams are struggling lol. Funny we need the eye test though.
 
Cribby said:
What happened today will be a thing come Tuesday. They’ll show us throwing late and VT having a chance to cut it to 3 until we strip sacked them yet will leave off the injuries and the onside kick . Even the announcers were pushing the eye test and how it looks . I don’t see that when sec teams are struggling lol. Funny we need the eye test though.
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Where was the eye test for Notre Dame when they beat a 1 win BC team by only 15 points?
 
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Cribby said:
What happened today will be a thing come Tuesday. They’ll show us throwing late and VT having a chance to cut it to 3 until we strip sacked them yet will leave off the injuries and the onside kick . Even the announcers were pushing the eye test and how it looks . I don’t see that when sec teams are struggling lol. Funny we need the eye test though.
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I don’t buy the eye test ****. I really subscribe to what Adam McClintock and Dave Bartoo do with their modeling. They just plug in data and it spits out the playoff pretty **** close to how the committee does it. I think there’s more pure bias than specifically how teams play, but it probably does tie together. If you’re looking for a reason to leave a team out, then if they struggle at all, oh wow look at that, they stink. If you think highly of a team all they have to do is win. As usual, it’s 80% bull****.

I don’t think today helped or hurt much. But at the end of the day my opinion this whole time has been it doesn’t matter. We need teams to lose or we’re done, whether we win 3-2 or 63-0. They’re not looking for reasons to put us in. They’re looking for reasons to keep us out so they can put 5 SEC teams in. Just my $0.02. We need OU or Bama to lose next week or we’re likely done.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
I don’t buy the eye test ****. I really subscribe to what Adam McClintock and Dave Bartoo do with their modeling. They just plug in data and it spits out the playoff pretty **** close to how the committee does it. I think there’s more pure bias than specifically how teams play, but it probably does tie together. If you’re looking for a reason to leave a team out, then if they struggle at all, oh wow look at that, they stink. If you think highly of a team all they have to do is win. As usual, it’s 80% bull****.

I don’t think today helped or hurt much. But at the end of the day my opinion this whole time has been it doesn’t matter. We need teams to lose or we’re done, whether we win 3-2 or 63-0. They’re not looking for reasons to put us in. They’re looking for reasons to keep us out so they can put 5 SEC teams in. Just my $0.02. We need OU or Bama to lose next week or we’re likely done.
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Cincy and KSU
 
Gru said:
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SMU needs to be ranked in the top 25.

UVA is 19 and had a bye

UTenn is 20 and plays @UF tonight. Hopefully they lose, but doubt it

Illinois is 21 and plays @Wisc tonight. Hopefully they lose, but doubt it

Missouri is 22 and pled OU and lost. Unfortunately they only lost by 10 on the road. And they're SEC. Even though they're like 0-4 against ranked teams, could stick in top 25. Think they drop out though

Houston is 23 and plays TCU. This would be real nice if they lose. They're currently trailing 14-0 too. This is big cause TCU already has 4 losses, but they beat SMU. So because they have 4 losses though, I doubt they'd enter top 25. BUT Houston probably just drops to 25 I think. They REALLY want to elevate the B12 schedule to not push Miami ahead of BYU/UTah. BUT Byu/utah didn't play Houston, so this doesn't matter as much. We'd much prefer ASU to lose.

Tulane is 24 and plays @Temple. Currently winning and probably win.

ASU is 25 and plays @ Colorado. They probably win. TBD but We really want them to lose too. Weakens BYU/Utahs better win.

I think SMU jumps into top 25...
 
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OrangeBowlMagic said:
I don’t buy the eye test ****. I really subscribe to what Adam McClintock and Dave Bartoo do with their modeling. They just plug in data and it spits out the playoff pretty **** close to how the committee does it. I think there’s more pure bias than specifically how teams play, but it probably does tie together. If you’re looking for a reason to leave a team out, then if they struggle at all, oh wow look at that, they stink. If you think highly of a team all they have to do is win. As usual, it’s 80% bull****.

I don’t think today helped or hurt much. But at the end of the day my opinion this whole time has been it doesn’t matter. We need teams to lose or we’re done, whether we win 3-2 or 63-0. They’re not looking for reasons to put us in. They’re looking for reasons to keep us out so they can put 5 SEC teams in. Just my $0.02. We need OU or Bama to lose next week or we’re likely done.
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Cribby said:
Cincy and KSU
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If Cincy and/or KSU win and so does Oregon, we'll move up into the same 9-12 range with ND and within 3 spots of them. By both of their comparison metrics when H2H could be a factor (same cluster of 4 and within 3 rankings), it should come into play. I just can't imagine them realistically putting us 9, ND 10, and Bama 11 on the outside looking in
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
I don’t buy the eye test ****. I really subscribe to what Adam McClintock and Dave Bartoo do with their modeling. They just plug in data and it spits out the playoff pretty **** close to how the committee does it. I think there’s more pure bias than specifically how teams play, but it probably does tie together. If you’re looking for a reason to leave a team out, then if they struggle at all, oh wow look at that, they stink. If you think highly of a team all they have to do is win. As usual, it’s 80% bull****.

I don’t think today helped or hurt much. But at the end of the day my opinion this whole time has been it doesn’t matter. We need teams to lose or we’re done, whether we win 3-2 or 63-0. They’re not looking for reasons to put us in. They’re looking for reasons to keep us out so they can put 5 SEC teams in. Just my $0.02. We need OU or Bama to lose next week or we’re likely done.
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The one difference is that us and UTah actually have a similar ish resume. The differentiator between the two is Game Control. So from that sense we do want to win big and have them lose or at least win close. If we separate from them in SOS (could happen if we beat Pitt who re-enters top 25 with a win against GTech) and are close enough GC, we could straight jump Utah even without them losing. More helpful if their opponents also lose games like ASU. And if BYU loses to Cinci, they'll have beaten Cinci who beat BYU who beat utah... But BYU has a BAD Game Control metric, and bad SOS. They're only ranked highly cause they have 1 loss and beat Utah. But if they drop to 2 losses I think that could singlehandedly drop BOTH Byu and Utah below us. And if that happens the committe will be forced to rank us and ND within 2 or 3 of eachother....
 
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