I’m curios how Day handles the rat poison OSU is being given, there’s NOT much concern about OSUs chances.
Over the course of the year their average opponent FPI was 44.08 and that’s with Indiana included (#1 in FPI and they LOST) this is also with Penn state being ranked #17?!
Miami’s average opponent FPI is 42.16
If we look at opponents in the top 40 of FPI
- OSU wins by an average score of 25-11 against these opponents (stats are including the loss to Indiana) - 6 teams played in the top 40
- Miami wins by an average of 27.3-15.6 (stats include losses to UL & SMU) - 8 teams played in the top 40
- Miami has played 5 top 25 offenses (based on PPG & YPG): ND, USF, Pitt, Texas A&M, FSU
- OSU has played 2. (Indiana & Washington)
- Miami has played 3 teams that are top 25 in passing yards per game
- Ohio state has played 0.
(In fact 6 of Miami’s opponents are ranked higher than OSU’s first opponent pops up) Miami has played 6 of the top 42 passing offenses, OSU’s first opponent is Texas ranked at 43
- Miami has played 5 teams in the top 40 in rushing offense (going 5-0 against them), OSU has played 2 (going 1-1 against them)
- Each team has played 3 top 25 defenses (based on YPG) (each team went 2-1)
- outside of Indiana (who OSU lost to) Miami is the BEST OVERALL team OSU will have faced
- Miami has faced 5 offenses ranked higher than OSU, OSU has played 1 offense ranked higher than Miami’s
- OSU will be the best defense Miami has played, Miami will be the 2nd toughest defense OSU has played.
OSU is TALENTED, but they’ve been getting praise left and right. They will have to manufacture a chip on their shoulder.
I would argue Miami is more battle tested over the course of the year than OSU is too…I’m not convinced OSU starts the game as a well oiled machine either.
I think Miami has a chance to take OSU by surprise.