407cane
All-ACC
- Joined
- Jan 29, 2013
- Messages
- 14,527
Updated 10/17/18 through 7 games (LSU, SSU, @Toledo, FIU, UNC, FSU, UVA) (5-2) 1-2 away from home (LSU, UVA), 4-0 at home (FIU, UNC, FSU, SSU)
Takeaways
*As the season wears on we're seeing the offense creep back down to mediocrity. That could be due to the QB switch and being really conservative. Only 12 throws against UNC and you could tell the first three quarters Perry was struggling mightily. But it's still something to look on as we need a better offense if we're going to be elite. Hopefully Perry settles down early and performs well all 4 quarters
^wrote this before the UVA game...still holds true, now goes for Rosier as well going forward.
*Defense is best it's been since championship teams imo
^still holds true, officially #1 defense
*Offensive line is proving to be a problem. If it's talent then we need to find it quick, if coaching then Searles has to go
^still true, proving to be biggest problem imo. Sickening watching mahoney get pushed back 5 yards several plays into the running backs
*Biggest takeaway is that our team is the new michigan of college football. idc who the qb is honestly, we need improved playcalling, improved OL, and improved qb execution. it's not just one of those, it's all three and if they don't change we're gonna be 9-3/10-2 forever wasting away an elite Defense until someone snags manny away
*QB debate is biggest one on board as it should be along with playcalling, but I'll argue to the death of me that we won't be succesful until Searles is gone or gets rid of these scrubs up front. They are just miserable and rewatching the UVA game was depressing seeing them get owned every snap by an inferior DL @ UVA
*to win the ACC we need a game manager @ qb, that's it. Having a Tua type player would win the natty with this defense, but literally just need one of these two dudes to step up, not turn it over, and hit open reads for the love of god.
*take these however you want, it's just for those who like to see any outliers, not skewed in any way, these are the ones I find useful/telling of any weaknesses.
*I've included games vs ALL opponents, meaning all teams performances including FCS schools AND performances for all schools ONLY against FBS competition.
*We could drill it down to against power 5 however the sample size is smaller and many power 5 teams are worse than group of 5 (toledo > rutgers for example)
*anything you guys want added let me know
Defense
Opponent QB rating:
vs ALL --> #4 nationally (94.72 opponent QB rating) we're allowing 52% completion, 6 tds passing, we have 11 ints, and 130.9 yards per game
vs FBS -->#5 nationally (97.99 rating). We've allowed 52% completion, 6 tds, 9 interceptions, and 144 yards per game
**one of the instances where keeping FCS schools in the rankings hurts us as we beat up on Savannah state statistically a lot less than some other major programs did (outside of scoring)
Defensive Yards Per Play:
vs ALL --> #1 nationally @ 3.80 yards per play
vs FBS --> #3 nationally @ 4.17 yards per play
Sacks:
vs ALL --> #5 nationally at 3.43 per game (last year we finished #1 at 3.39 per game, so we've gotten better despite ranking down)
vs FBS --> #8 at 3.5 per game, weirdly enough savannah state game is hurting our average here
Tackles for Loss:
vs ALL --> #1 nationally at 11.57 per game (81 total). 8 against LSU, 14 Savannah State, 13 against Toledo, 11 against FIU, 14 UNC, 12 FSU, 9 UVA
vs FBS --> #1 nationally at 11.17 TFL per game (67 total)
**we're 20 ahead of any other team. ECU is 20 behind but only 6 games. we'll still be ahead by 11 if they hit their average this weekend
Total Defense:
vs ALL --> #1 nationally @ 236 yards per game
vs FBS --> #2 nationally @ 262 yards per game, Michigan has us by 24 ypg here, we cut the deficit by 15 yds per game after UVA
Opponent 3rd down %:
vs ALL --> #1 nationally at 20.83% (20 of 96 attempts)
vs FBS --> #2 nationally at 22.50%. (18 of 80 attempts)
*remains truly best stat each week. Kept us in the UVA game despite horrid offense
Turnover Margin:
vs ALL --> #17 nationally (+5)
vs FBS --> #30 (+3)
unfortunately we saw a ton of the chain against UVA, just didn't turn it into points
Scoring Defense:
vs ALL --> #21 nationally at 18.1 ppg.
vs FBS --> #28 nationally at 21.2 ppg
slightly moved up in rankings after allowing only 16 to UVA
Rushing Defense:
vs ALL --> #9 nationally @ 2.83 ypc and #11 nationally @ 105.57 ypg
vs FBS --> #17 nationally @ 3.30 ypc and #19 nationally @ 118.17 ypg
Passing Defense:
vs ALL --> #2 nationally @130.9 ypg, #4 in yards per attempt @ 5.1
vs FBS --> #4 nationally @144 ypg, #4 in yards per attempt @ 5.3
Offense
Scoring Offense:
vs ALL: #25 nationally at 37.4 ppg
vs FBS: #43 nationally at 30.8 ppg
Rushing offense:
vs ALL --> #46 nationally at 4.67 ypc
vs FBS --> #54 nationally at 4.40 ypc
Passing Offense: will use Rating metric here as it is most indicative of performance
vs FBS--> #58 @138 (down 9 rating points from last week) (Alabama duo at 233)
Sacks Allowed
vs ALL --> #76 nationally, 2.29 sacks per game
vs FBS --> #80 nationally, 2.5 sacks per game
Tackles for Loss Allowed
vs ALL --> #58 nationally, 5.71 TFL allowed per game, moved up after allowing 3 against UVA
vs FBS --> #59 nationally, 5.83 TFL allowed per game
Third Down %
vs ALL --> #38 nationally @ 43.01%, 40 for 93
vs FBS --> #51 nationally @ 40.74%, 33 for 81
**127th last year so still big jump but this number is evening out and dropping, i expect to finish middle of the pack here
^Still holds true, still creeping toward average, improvement none the less but need to be higher
Long Scrimmage Plays (over 30 yards)
vs ALL --> #8 nationally, 23 plays over 30 yards
vs FBS --> #10 nationally, 18 plays over 30 yards
Offensive Yards Per Play
vs ALL --> #57 nationally, 5.91 yards per play
vs FBS --> #57 nationally, 5.68 yards per play
Total Offensive Yardage
vs ALL --> #77 nationally @ 399 yards per game
vs FBS --> #80 nationally @ 383 yards per game
Takeaways
*As the season wears on we're seeing the offense creep back down to mediocrity. That could be due to the QB switch and being really conservative. Only 12 throws against UNC and you could tell the first three quarters Perry was struggling mightily. But it's still something to look on as we need a better offense if we're going to be elite. Hopefully Perry settles down early and performs well all 4 quarters
^wrote this before the UVA game...still holds true, now goes for Rosier as well going forward.
*Defense is best it's been since championship teams imo
^still holds true, officially #1 defense
*Offensive line is proving to be a problem. If it's talent then we need to find it quick, if coaching then Searles has to go
^still true, proving to be biggest problem imo. Sickening watching mahoney get pushed back 5 yards several plays into the running backs
*Biggest takeaway is that our team is the new michigan of college football. idc who the qb is honestly, we need improved playcalling, improved OL, and improved qb execution. it's not just one of those, it's all three and if they don't change we're gonna be 9-3/10-2 forever wasting away an elite Defense until someone snags manny away
*QB debate is biggest one on board as it should be along with playcalling, but I'll argue to the death of me that we won't be succesful until Searles is gone or gets rid of these scrubs up front. They are just miserable and rewatching the UVA game was depressing seeing them get owned every snap by an inferior DL @ UVA
*to win the ACC we need a game manager @ qb, that's it. Having a Tua type player would win the natty with this defense, but literally just need one of these two dudes to step up, not turn it over, and hit open reads for the love of god.
*take these however you want, it's just for those who like to see any outliers, not skewed in any way, these are the ones I find useful/telling of any weaknesses.
*I've included games vs ALL opponents, meaning all teams performances including FCS schools AND performances for all schools ONLY against FBS competition.
*We could drill it down to against power 5 however the sample size is smaller and many power 5 teams are worse than group of 5 (toledo > rutgers for example)
*anything you guys want added let me know
Defense
Opponent QB rating:
vs ALL --> #4 nationally (94.72 opponent QB rating) we're allowing 52% completion, 6 tds passing, we have 11 ints, and 130.9 yards per game
vs FBS -->#5 nationally (97.99 rating). We've allowed 52% completion, 6 tds, 9 interceptions, and 144 yards per game
**one of the instances where keeping FCS schools in the rankings hurts us as we beat up on Savannah state statistically a lot less than some other major programs did (outside of scoring)
Defensive Yards Per Play:
vs ALL --> #1 nationally @ 3.80 yards per play
vs FBS --> #3 nationally @ 4.17 yards per play
Sacks:
vs ALL --> #5 nationally at 3.43 per game (last year we finished #1 at 3.39 per game, so we've gotten better despite ranking down)
vs FBS --> #8 at 3.5 per game, weirdly enough savannah state game is hurting our average here
Tackles for Loss:
vs ALL --> #1 nationally at 11.57 per game (81 total). 8 against LSU, 14 Savannah State, 13 against Toledo, 11 against FIU, 14 UNC, 12 FSU, 9 UVA
vs FBS --> #1 nationally at 11.17 TFL per game (67 total)
**we're 20 ahead of any other team. ECU is 20 behind but only 6 games. we'll still be ahead by 11 if they hit their average this weekend
Total Defense:
vs ALL --> #1 nationally @ 236 yards per game
vs FBS --> #2 nationally @ 262 yards per game, Michigan has us by 24 ypg here, we cut the deficit by 15 yds per game after UVA
Opponent 3rd down %:
vs ALL --> #1 nationally at 20.83% (20 of 96 attempts)
vs FBS --> #2 nationally at 22.50%. (18 of 80 attempts)
*remains truly best stat each week. Kept us in the UVA game despite horrid offense
Turnover Margin:
vs ALL --> #17 nationally (+5)
vs FBS --> #30 (+3)
unfortunately we saw a ton of the chain against UVA, just didn't turn it into points
Scoring Defense:
vs ALL --> #21 nationally at 18.1 ppg.
vs FBS --> #28 nationally at 21.2 ppg
slightly moved up in rankings after allowing only 16 to UVA
Rushing Defense:
vs ALL --> #9 nationally @ 2.83 ypc and #11 nationally @ 105.57 ypg
vs FBS --> #17 nationally @ 3.30 ypc and #19 nationally @ 118.17 ypg
Passing Defense:
vs ALL --> #2 nationally @130.9 ypg, #4 in yards per attempt @ 5.1
vs FBS --> #4 nationally @144 ypg, #4 in yards per attempt @ 5.3
Offense
Scoring Offense:
vs ALL: #25 nationally at 37.4 ppg
vs FBS: #43 nationally at 30.8 ppg
Rushing offense:
vs ALL --> #46 nationally at 4.67 ypc
vs FBS --> #54 nationally at 4.40 ypc
Passing Offense: will use Rating metric here as it is most indicative of performance
vs FBS--> #58 @138 (down 9 rating points from last week) (Alabama duo at 233)
Sacks Allowed
vs ALL --> #76 nationally, 2.29 sacks per game
vs FBS --> #80 nationally, 2.5 sacks per game
Tackles for Loss Allowed
vs ALL --> #58 nationally, 5.71 TFL allowed per game, moved up after allowing 3 against UVA
vs FBS --> #59 nationally, 5.83 TFL allowed per game
Third Down %
vs ALL --> #38 nationally @ 43.01%, 40 for 93
vs FBS --> #51 nationally @ 40.74%, 33 for 81
**127th last year so still big jump but this number is evening out and dropping, i expect to finish middle of the pack here
^Still holds true, still creeping toward average, improvement none the less but need to be higher
Long Scrimmage Plays (over 30 yards)
vs ALL --> #8 nationally, 23 plays over 30 yards
vs FBS --> #10 nationally, 18 plays over 30 yards
Offensive Yards Per Play
vs ALL --> #57 nationally, 5.91 yards per play
vs FBS --> #57 nationally, 5.68 yards per play
Total Offensive Yardage
vs ALL --> #77 nationally @ 399 yards per game
vs FBS --> #80 nationally @ 383 yards per game
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