- Joined
- Dec 20, 2021
- Messages
- 5,484
Another poster put together a fantastic spreadsheet laying out all the possibilities. But with the high prevalance of ADHD not being able to follow all of that, I put together a guide to understanding exactly what we need to happen:
MUSTS:
We must win both games.
Pittsburgh must beat Georgia Tech.
THIS WEEKEND:
This one is tricky, because the Virginia-Va Tech game next weekend is actually more important.
Virginia winning that game only gives us 91 paths to the ACCCG (out of 512 possibilities). Va Tech winning gives us 187 paths. So we should want Va Tech.
However, since Virginia is likely to win that game, it changes what we should want this weekend.
If we think Virginia is going to win, Louisville beating SMU keeps 77 of those 91 paths open. SMU beating Louisville gives us just 14 paths.
So....if Virginia wins NEXT weekend, we want Louisville THIS weekend. If SMU beats Louisville this weekend, then we really need Virginia Tech to beat Virginia.
And we want North Carolina to beat Duke.
So root for Louisville and UNC. That's it.
MUSTS:
We must win both games.
Pittsburgh must beat Georgia Tech.
THIS WEEKEND:
This one is tricky, because the Virginia-Va Tech game next weekend is actually more important.
Virginia winning that game only gives us 91 paths to the ACCCG (out of 512 possibilities). Va Tech winning gives us 187 paths. So we should want Va Tech.
However, since Virginia is likely to win that game, it changes what we should want this weekend.
If we think Virginia is going to win, Louisville beating SMU keeps 77 of those 91 paths open. SMU beating Louisville gives us just 14 paths.
So....if Virginia wins NEXT weekend, we want Louisville THIS weekend. If SMU beats Louisville this weekend, then we really need Virginia Tech to beat Virginia.
And we want North Carolina to beat Duke.
So root for Louisville and UNC. That's it.