Summarizing our ACC needs

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Miami reaches ACC Championship Game if ...​

  1. Beats Virginia Tech and Pitt
  2. Virginia beats Virginia Tech
  3. Pitt beats Georgia Tech, Duke beats North Carolina, SMU beats Louisville
  4. Cal beats SMU, Wake Forest beats Duke
In this scenario, Virginia (7-1 in ACC) and Miami (6-2) go to Charlotte with four-way tiebreaker advantages over Georgia Tech/Pitt/SMU.
 

Miami reaches ACC Championship Game if ...​

  1. Beats Virginia Tech and Pitt
  2. Virginia beats Virginia Tech
  3. Pitt beats Georgia Tech, Duke beats North Carolina, SMU beats Louisville
  4. Cal beats SMU, Wake Forest beats Duke
In this scenario, Virginia (7-1 in ACC) and Miami (6-2) go to Charlotte with four-way tiebreaker advantages over Georgia Tech/Pitt/SMU.
Only real longshot is the Cal game.
 

Miami reaches ACC Championship Game if ...​

  1. Beats Virginia Tech and Pitt
  2. Virginia beats Virginia Tech
  3. Pitt beats Georgia Tech, Duke beats North Carolina, SMU beats Louisville
  4. Cal beats SMU, Wake Forest beats Duke
In this scenario, Virginia (7-1 in ACC) and Miami (6-2) go to Charlotte with four-way tiebreaker advantages over Georgia Tech/Pitt/SMU.
Is there a path to play SMU?
 

Miami reaches ACC Championship Game if ...​

  1. Beats Virginia Tech and Pitt
  2. Virginia beats Virginia Tech
  3. Pitt beats Georgia Tech, Duke beats North Carolina, SMU beats Louisville
  4. Cal beats SMU, Wake Forest beats Duke
In this scenario, Virginia (7-1 in ACC) and Miami (6-2) go to Charlotte with four-way tiebreaker advantages over Georgia Tech/Pitt/SMU.

Trumpycane wants to the other scenario if VT beats UVA

There would be tie with us, Pitt, UVA, GT, Duke
 
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Miami reaches ACC Championship Game if ...​

  1. Beats Virginia Tech and Pitt
  2. Virginia beats Virginia Tech
  3. Pitt beats Georgia Tech, Duke beats North Carolina, SMU beats Louisville
  4. Cal beats SMU, Wake Forest beats Duke
In this scenario, Virginia (7-1 in ACC) and Miami (6-2) go to Charlotte with four-way tiebreaker advantages over Georgia Tech/Pitt/SMU.

Not as impossible as some make it out.
 
IDGAF about the ACCCG any more. Taint didn't play in the BiG conference championship and won it all. That's what matter.

We're 13th in the CFP rankings and need to get to at least 11th to be confident we'll make the playoffs. That should happen if we have dominant wins against VT and Pitt.
I agree with you 100% I could give two ***** about being in the ACC championship game
 
Another poster put together a fantastic spreadsheet laying out all the possibilities. But with the high prevalance of ADHD not being able to follow all of that, I put together a guide to understanding exactly what we need to happen:

MUSTS:
We must win both games.
Pittsburgh must beat Georgia Tech.

THIS WEEKEND:
This one is tricky, because the Virginia-Va Tech game next weekend is actually more important.
Virginia winning that game only gives us 91 paths to the ACCCG (out of 512 possibilities). Va Tech winning gives us 187 paths. So we should want Va Tech.
However, since Virginia is likely to win that game, it changes what we should want this weekend.
If we think Virginia is going to win, Louisville beating SMU keeps 77 of those 91 paths open. SMU beating Louisville gives us just 14 paths.
So....if Virginia wins NEXT weekend, we want Louisville THIS weekend. If SMU beats Louisville this weekend, then we really need Virginia Tech to beat Virginia.
And we want North Carolina to beat Duke.

So root for Louisville and UNC. That's it.
Well, what now?
 
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Why do we care about Duke? They already have 2 conference losses and we're ranked ahead of them.
Conference opponent win %.
If Duke wins, we need NS St. to beat UNC.

We caught a break when Stanford beat Cal.
If Cal won, we would have needed Duke to lose next weekend.
 
My guess is this is going to be the last year the committee takes the 5 conference champions. They’ll start doing the 12 best teams, which is just going to be an SEC/b10 show
 
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