Off-Topic Stock Market & Crypto Discussion

MULN - Mullen Automotive -- Releases Prelim Results Q2

Positive Cash on Hand from share issuance - $65 million cash on hand now
Reduced Debt
Increased Assets - Over $100 million now
Reduced Tax Liabilities - Down from $4.2M to $2.8M

Reservations for MULLEN FIVE have more than doubled.



 
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Stocks are hurt by rate hikes.
Cash is hurt by inflation.
Real Estate may be slowing but still growing.
I paid down most of my ARM on an investment condo in Jan with stock selling.
Rent is still a promising source of income.

I am assuming about 2 years of Fed meetings before they stop raising rates.

Assume 1/4 percentage point hike being good news as opposed to the 1/2 percentage point hike we saw. May see a bounce up for stocks if the Fed is more doveish than predicted. Sell the dead cat bounce. Put in buy orders after the panic sell.
 
Stocks are hurt by rate hikes.
Cash is hurt by inflation.
Real Estate may be slowing but still growing.
I paid down most of my ARM on an investment condo in Jan with stock selling.
Rent is still a promising source of income.

I am assuming about 2 years of Fed meetings before they stop raising rates.

Assume 1/4 percentage point hike being good news as opposed to the 1/2 percentage point hike we saw. May see a bounce up for stocks if the Fed is more doveish than predicted. Sell the dead cat bounce. Put in buy orders after the panic sell.
I'm looking at a 70k profit off of a house I bought and lived in for three years. The housing market is insane and there is no way it can sustain itself at these current prices. This is a house in Alabama mind you, not some large metropolis area.
 
I'm looking at a 70k profit off of a house I bought and lived in for three years. The housing market is insane and there is no way it can sustain itself at these current prices. This is a house in Alabama mind you, not some large metropolis area.
I built a house in Punta Gorda last year for $312,500, and moved in in December. Granted, I have added a pool now, but I could list my home for at least $650,000, and likely $700,000. My neighbor is putting their on the market for $550,000, 1 less bedroom, 20 years old, and 700 sq ft smaller. The real estate market here is absurd.

Where in Alabama? I had a home in Prattville for a couple years.
 
I built a house in Punta Gorda last year for $312,500, and moved in in December. Granted, I have added a pool now, but I could list my home for at least $650,000, and likely $700,000. My neighbor is putting their on the market for $550,000, 1 less bedroom, 20 years old, and 700 sq ft smaller. The real estate market here is absurd.

Where in Alabama? I had a home in Prattville for a couple years.
Over in Phenix City near Ft. Benning. I am moving to San Bernadino county for my next duty station, but I wont be buying in this market. I have a feeling that it will all come down soon and I dont want to be caught on the wrong side of it.
 
Over in Phenix City near Ft. Benning. I am moving to San Bernadino county for my next duty station, but I wont be buying in this market. I have a feeling that it will all come down soon and I dont want to be caught on the wrong side of it.
I think it is best to buy when mortgage rates rise above 7%. Pay down the mortgage early or possibly refinance if the rates drop. These low rates are still way below historic average.
I don’t expect a housing collapse, but the rising prices have plateaued a bit. Some asking prices are dropping from the original listing.
Again, don’t expect a bubble pop here, but the air’s being slowly let out of the balloon.
 
I'm looking at a 70k profit off of a house I bought and lived in for three years. The housing market is insane and there is no way it can sustain itself at these current prices. This is a house in Alabama mind you, not some large metropolis area.
I had a 120% profit on my home in 5 years in East Tennessee. This market experiences very low fluctuations normally, but this time it’s even reached the outlying areas here. Bonkers.
 
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But calm that down. I hope to move there in 5 years or so.
Fast And Furious Mia GIF by The Fast Saga
 
Oh absolutely. They’ve almost single handedly destroyed the market. locals can’t compete with a cash offer that’s 30k over asking.
Was in Chattanooga with some friends last weekend. They were complaining about this exact thing. Even a big market like Atlanta has felt this, with buyers from
CA, DC, NY, MA, etc.
 
Stocks are hurt by rate hikes.
Cash is hurt by inflation.
Real Estate may be slowing but still growing.
I paid down most of my ARM on an investment condo in Jan with stock selling.
Rent is still a promising source of income.

I am assuming about 2 years of Fed meetings before they stop raising rates.

Assume 1/4 percentage point hike being good news as opposed to the 1/2 percentage point hike we saw. May see a bounce up for stocks if the Fed is more doveish than predicted. Sell the dead cat bounce. Put in buy orders after the panic sell.

We generally agree, except that I think that with the Fed at 1% and inflation at 8%, they need to raise a full point now,
 
Was in Chattanooga with some friends last weekend. They were complaining about this exact thing. Even a big market like Atlanta has felt this, with buyers from
CA, DC, NY, MA, etc.

You have heard me on this topic before. The core issues are: folks dont want to live in cold climates/high tax states/anti business states, and we have chronically underbuilt residential housing ever since the Great Recession. Since those two megatrends arent changing any time soon.......

On a related topic, most Class B and higher rental buildings in the sun belt are running in the upper 90's in occupancy, which is why rents have risen so much, there is no place to move to. The reason for the run on houses is that builders for many years have built studios and 1-2 bedroom apts. So if someone has a large family and doesnt want to buy, they are forced to either rent two apartments or rent a house.
 
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I wonder if that has to do with the mass exodus of homesteaders from Cali. I know a bunch that moved to eastern Tennessee.

Californians are moving mostly to nearby states, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, etc. Some are moving to the southeast. The allure of Tennessee is no state income tax, so they save 13.3% on both active and passive income.
 
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We generally agree, except that I think that with the Fed at 1% and inflation at 8%, they need to raise a full point now,
I think fear of the Fed and inflation is going to help. .5 may be enough for the next meeting.
 
You have heard me on this topic before. The core issues are: folks dont want to live in cold climates/high tax states/anti business states, and we have chronically underbuilt residential housing ever since the Great Recession. Since those two megatrends arent changing any time soon.......

On a related topic, most Class B and higher rental buildings in the sun belt are running in the upper 90's in occupancy, which is why rents have risen so much, there is no place to move to. The reason for the run on houses is that builders for many years have built studios and 1-2 bedroom apts. So if someone has a large family and doesnt want to buy, they are forced to either rent two apartments or rent a house.
Remote working has helped fuel it but also SO many companies either moved their headquarters or are building second campuses in the city. Apple in Austin and Amazon HQ2 got the headlines but Microsoft bought 90 acres to build a campus. Airbnb, Visa, Google, Norfolk Southern and others have done the same.
 
Remote working has helped fuel it but also SO many companies either moved their headquarters or are building second campuses in the city. Apple in Austin and Amazon HQ2 got the headlines but Microsoft bought 90 acres to build a campus. Airbnb, Visa, Google, Norfolk Southern and others have done the same.
I agree on remote working, but what that did is accelerate long term mega trends. I have a client in Cali who moved to Nevada to work remotely during the pandemic and refuses to go back. BTW, the scuttlebutt in Austin is that more Cali companies will be moving there to escape the 13.3%. That might be the single most overheated market in the country (Miami?).

Downtown Atlanta is also undergoing a renaissance, jump started by the new Google headquarters. The huge rental residential complex across from their HQ recently changed hands, as did the American Hotel.
 
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