Off-Topic Stock Market & Crypto Discussion

When the Fed raises rates, they harm the economy a large majority of the time, causing a recession. Add to that QT, the government still spending non stop, the lockdowns in China, the war, the growing shortages in housing, commodities, etc., I dont see how we avoid one. My fear is stagflation.
the fed wants a soft landing by saying rate increases will not be above 50 basis points, which is basically .5%
To have stagflation we would have to have high unemployment. So far we have the lowest unemployment in decades.
We are seeing massive selling by institutions, because they have to. Unless you are holding garbage stocks, then why sell ?
just saying..
 
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@Cryptical Envelopment i have to admit, this one has me a bit shook…mainly because my luna bag is staked so I don’t have any choice but to wait and see what happens since there is a waiting period if I choose to unstake.

Ugh

We're all shook. The markets are broken... **** the world is broken. Tough environment for Terra to make a comeback in. It was just a perfect storm of a fragile environment and bad actors, while some safeguards were still being installed. UST was vulnerable off-chain. A lot of trust has been lost. Being staked is good, it means you didn't use leverage like many who got liquidated. You still have your Luna, fwiw. Me too. So many don't right now.

There is no easy way to put this. It was a horrific event that hurts a lot. Sorry for your hit, and for mine.

 
We're all shook. The markets are broken... **** the world is broken. Tough environment for Terra to make a comeback in. It was just a perfect storm of a fragile environment and bad actors, while some safeguards were still being installed. UST was vulnerable off-chain. A lot of trust has been lost. Being staked is good, it means you didn't use leverage like many who got liquidated. You still have your Luna, fwiw. Me too. So many don't right now.

There is no easy way to put this. It was a horrific event that hurts a lot. Sorry for your hit, and for mine.


Agreed brother, brutal for sure - but fortunately I am a resilient type, not easily panic stricken. I imagine you are much the same.

I still love the ecosystem. And yes you’re right I steer clear of using leverage under all circumstances. That’s a big **** no from me LOL.

Fortunately we all have each other in the thread to share bro hugs and tell each other it will all be OK, and also talk about how TVD is going to drag his nuts across the ACC’s face this year
 
the fed wants a soft landing. By saying rate increases will not be above 50 basis points, which is basically .5%
To have stagflation we would have to have high unemployment. So far we the lowest unemployment in decades.
We are seeing massive selling by institutions, because they have to. Unless you are holding garbage stocks, then why sell ?
just saying..
What the Fed wants and what the Fed gets are two different things. Highly unlikely we get a soft landing. And stagflation is only indirectly related to employment, it means we have a recession AND inflation at the same time.
 
We're all shook. The markets are broken... **** the world is broken. Tough environment for Terra to make a comeback in. It was just a perfect storm of a fragile environment and bad actors, while some safeguards were still being installed. UST was vulnerable off-chain. A lot of trust has been lost. Being staked is good, it means you didn't use leverage like many who got liquidated. You still have your Luna, fwiw. Me too. So many don't right now.

There is no easy way to put this. It was a horrific event that hurts a lot. Sorry for your hit, and for mine.



I dont follow luna or crypto in general closely anymore, but didnt tether suffer several similar depeg attacks in 2017-2018? And there was that whole bitfinex fiasco as well.
 
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BAML has had two probable economic scenarios on the table for a while; a soft landing so we are off to the races again, and a hard landing. Here is their new language on the latter:

2) New (higher rate) paradigm is here, Fed behind on inflation but Fed put effectively gone, bond vigilantes back, 10y yield up to 4%-5%, credit spreads widen further, recession on the horizon

FWIW, they keep moving up the probability of a hard landing. It now has a 40% chance according to them, and RISING.
 
My plan is to take 50% of my money and put it in the blue chips - Transatlantic Zeppelin, Amalgamated Spats, Congreve's lnflammable Powders, U.S. Hay...and sink the rest into that up-and-coming Baltimore opera hat company.

You should consider diversifying into the CAGs and LWs of the world. Take potato hunting to the market.
 
BAML has had two probable economic scenarios on the table for a while; a soft landing so we are off to the races again, and a hard landing. Here is their new language on the latter:

2) New (higher rate) paradigm is here, Fed behind on inflation but Fed put effectively gone, bond vigilantes back, 10y yield up to 4%-5%, credit spreads widen further, recession on the horizon

FWIW, they keep moving up the probability of a hard landing. It now has a 40% chance according to them, and RISING.
We are just going through the economic cycles. On a good note I’ll be buying 5% CD,s….🍷
 
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We're all shook. The markets are broken... **** the world is broken. Tough environment for Terra to make a comeback in. It was just a perfect storm of a fragile environment and bad actors, while some safeguards were still being installed. UST was vulnerable off-chain. A lot of trust has been lost. Being staked is good, it means you didn't use leverage like many who got liquidated. You still have your Luna, fwiw. Me too. So many don't right now.

There is no easy way to put this. It was a horrific event that hurts a lot. Sorry for your hit, and for mine.


Even still, this is yet another algorithm stablecoin that has collapsed. It may yet recover, i'd still be wary though.
 
Even still, this is yet another algorithm stablecoin that has collapsed. It may yet recover, i'd still be wary though.

Not just algos all stables have struggled. Tether has de-pegged big too, etc. I think Terra was close. They may get there. But you know what really sucks? When 3rd party freezes your coins and they "de-peg" to zero. Forever. This has to be solved. We need this. We need decentralized money.
 
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Not just algos all stables have struggled. Tether has de-pegged big too, etc. I think Terra was close. They may get there. But you know what really sucks? When 3rd party freezes your coins and they "de-peg" to zero. Forever. This has to be solved. We need this. We need decentralized money.
Never de-pegged like this though. It is a scary prospect for sure. Both are
 
@Cryptical Envelopment @YUMU @Bird4um @Tdvv @AutoCANE , i'm sure i forgot someone.

I hope you're still hanging in there with me boys. The three offset wells 5/6/7 just came back @ an average of 3.511%. Massive news and well over triples the output of well 4 significantly increasing processing plant #1's projected revenue.


Desert Mountain Energy Corp. (DME) is pleased to announce that Helium concentrations in Offset Wells #5, #6 & #7 were higher than originally found in Discovery Well #4. The average Helium percentage makeup using combined starting flow rates from the offsets was 3.511%. CO2 averaged 0.0201% with the balance of the gas being Nitrogen. These zones were perforated to be combined with Well #4 to create the most balanced level and mixtures of gas to initiate production from the McCauley Helium Processing Facility. "We are thrilled that these wells increase the Helium average significantly above Discovery Well #4's results," says Robert Rohlfing, CEO of Desert Mountain Energy Corp. "This will make the wells much more profitable."

The average Helium spot tests on the offsets were more than almost three times those of Well #4. A pay zone with over 4% Helium in Well #5 located in the Rohlfing Helium Field will also be processed in the same processing facility. These overall levels of increased Helium combined with below minimal levels for CO2 are confirmation of our geologic modelling.

DME is building the first solar-powered Helium processing facility using Hydrogen as a backup power source in North America. The Company's goal is to produce as near to zero carbon footprint, from our operations as possible.




Here's an adjusted projection with 2 diff MCF prices. (Remember this is after the 3 month optimization/pressure leveling phase, during that phase pressures and grades will be lower). They did not specify flow pressures in this news release but we'll get that soon. I'm using well 4 as the baseline since we have that pressure and 4/5/6 were offsets of that well. Currently everything is still on schedule to turn the plant on next month.





Flow Rate MCFGPDHelium %Daily RecoveryAnnual MCFSale Price Per MCFAnnual Rev Year 1
Well #21,2514.0904%51.1718,677$1,200$22,412,856
Well #41,5871.1370%18.046,586$1,200$7,903,355
Well #51,5873.5110%55.7220,338$1,200$24,405,172
Well #61,5873.5110%55.7220,338$1,200$24,405,172
Well #71,5873.5110%55.7220,338$1,200$24,405,172
7,5993.1521%236.3786,276$103,531,726
Flow Rate MCFGPDHelium %Daily RecoveryAnnual MCFSale Price Per MCFAnnual Rev Year 1
Well #21,2514.0904%51.1718,677$2,000$37,354,760
Well #41,5871.1370%18.046,586$2,000$13,172,259
Well #51,5873.5110%55.7220,338$2,000$40,675,286
Well #61,5873.5110%55.7220,338$2,000$40,675,286
Well #71,5873.5110%55.7220,338$2,000$40,675,286
7,5993.1521%236.3786,276$172,552,877
 

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I think stablecoins are totally dead after what is happening with the Terra ecosystem. The amount of money lost will never be forgotten.

Completely sick to my stomach.

Delegating Luna was a scam from the jump - terrible idea and completely trapped everyone from escaping before the undelegation period ended.
 
@Cryptical Envelopment @YUMU @Bird4um @Tdvv @AutoCANE , i'm sure i forgot someone.

I hope you're still hanging in there with me boys. The three offset wells 5/6/7 just came back @ an average of 3.511%. Massive news and well over triples the output of well 4 significantly increasing processing plant #1's projected revenue.


Desert Mountain Energy Corp. (DME) is pleased to announce that Helium concentrations in Offset Wells #5, #6 & #7 were higher than originally found in Discovery Well #4. The average Helium percentage makeup using combined starting flow rates from the offsets was 3.511%. CO2 averaged 0.0201% with the balance of the gas being Nitrogen. These zones were perforated to be combined with Well #4 to create the most balanced level and mixtures of gas to initiate production from the McCauley Helium Processing Facility. "We are thrilled that these wells increase the Helium average significantly above Discovery Well #4's results," says Robert Rohlfing, CEO of Desert Mountain Energy Corp. "This will make the wells much more profitable."

The average Helium spot tests on the offsets were more than almost three times those of Well #4. A pay zone with over 4% Helium in Well #5 located in the Rohlfing Helium Field will also be processed in the same processing facility. These overall levels of increased Helium combined with below minimal levels for CO2 are confirmation of our geologic modelling.

DME is building the first solar-powered Helium processing facility using Hydrogen as a backup power source in North America. The Company's goal is to produce as near to zero carbon footprint, from our operations as possible.




Here's an adjusted projection with 2 diff MCF prices. (Remember this is after the 3 month optimization/pressure leveling phase, during that phase pressures and grades will be lower). They did not specify flow pressures in this news release but we'll get that soon. I'm using well 4 as the baseline since we have that pressure and 4/5/6 were offsets of that well. Currently everything is still on schedule to turn the plant on next month.





Flow Rate MCFGPDHelium %Daily RecoveryAnnual MCFSale Price Per MCFAnnual Rev Year 1
Well #21,2514.0904%51.1718,677$1,200$22,412,856
Well #41,5871.1370%18.046,586$1,200$7,903,355
Well #51,5873.5110%55.7220,338$1,200$24,405,172
Well #61,5873.5110%55.7220,338$1,200$24,405,172
Well #71,5873.5110%55.7220,338$1,200$24,405,172
7,5993.1521%236.3786,276$103,531,726
Flow Rate MCFGPDHelium %Daily RecoveryAnnual MCFSale Price Per MCFAnnual Rev Year 1
Well #21,2514.0904%51.1718,677$2,000$37,354,760
Well #41,5871.1370%18.046,586$2,000$13,172,259
Well #51,5873.5110%55.7220,338$2,000$40,675,286
Well #61,5873.5110%55.7220,338$2,000$40,675,286
Well #71,5873.5110%55.7220,338$2,000$40,675,286
7,5993.1521%236.3786,276$172,552,877
I doubled down in the 1.40 range 🙌
 
I think stablecoins are totally dead after what is happening with the Terra ecosystem. The amount of money lost will never be forgotten.

Completely sick to my stomach.

Delegating Luna was a scam from the jump - terrible idea and completely trapped everyone from escaping before the undelegation period ended.
No doubt, this is a brutal example of what can happen. I think the undelegation period was intended to prevent this exact death spiral scenario from taking place, but people were apparently over-leveraged...

A terrible lesson learned for me. Fortunately my cost basis was quite low, so I am nursing mostly hurt pride and thinking of "what could have been" from a profit standpoint - others are in much worse situations than I, and I feel for anyone that got crushed by this.

I have no choice but to hold and see what happens based on the status of my tokens. And I'm as OK with that as I can be, I guess.
 
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