What’s going on with Musk, Duffy & NASA?
Duffy wants to lead NASA to take all the credit as it looks good on your record/resume to be the leader of NASA because you can take credit for all it's accomplishments. And Duffy clearly just wants to continue building his political resume. But he literally knows jack **** about NASA. And his idea to move NASA into the DoT is ******* retarded, and was his hopeful hail mary attempt to make it so that the person that would accept the job would be someone loyal to him that he can take all the credit for but not actually do any of the work for. literally the entire past decade has shown us precisely why NASA ISN'T in the Tranportation business any longer!!! NASA is all about science, doing long-term R&D that isn't profitable for private companies (this can be the "transportation" aspect they work on - nuclear engines), and having moonshot exploration missions.
The transportation aspect was pivotal back when there was no one capable of building a rocket. Today we have SpaceX who literally delivers 90% of all earths payload to orbit with Falcon. And obviously is trying to kill its own workhorse with Starship development, which I'd expect with V3 beginning to launch next year to start delivering real payloads to orbit (starlink) and likely launch more then even the next closest SpaceX competitor. Blue Origin who is on the brink of reusable rockets and delivered a dummy payload to orbit on the first test mission, RocketLab who has proven themselves extremely capable at small-lift and is developing Neutron as medium-lift (Falcon 9 competitor) which should be making its maiden flight in a few months. So SpaceX will have the most launches in the world with Falcon in 2026 >125, then China will be 2nd >70, then Starship will be 3rd in 2026 > 20, then it'll be close but probably go RocketLab >15, Blue Origin ~15, then Russia ~12.... Meanwhile it is costing NASA like $2B+ per year for SLS which at best would have a launch cadence of once ever 2 years.... Yeah what a ******* transportation company they are! ******* dumb. (Oh btw, SpaceX's entire HLS (moon lander) contract from NASA is worth <$3B). That's how much NASA is spending per ******* launch on SLS. Utter insanity. I fully 100% agree with Musk that the most likely outcome at the end of the day is for SpaceX to perform 100% of the Moon landing mission (and 100% of the mars landing missions), because SLS is such a waster. It just seems obvious. Blue Origin will perform 100% of their own moon landing mission around 2033 I'd bet.
And lately there had been a lot of momentum for Isaacman to get the NASA nomination back after he was backstabbed by Sergio Gor (who I believe was given a different job as an ambassador somewhere, so he's outside the white house now). So what Duffy has been doing is basically trying to throw SpaceX under the bus and make SpaceX seem like the problem, which would also taint chances of Isaacmans nomination if successful due to the relationship. Duffy is literally just trying to make the case to Trump that SpaceX has failed on delivering the timeline to get to the moon before you are out of office, and that he has the plan to get it done.... What is that plan you may be asking? Oh only the ******* dumbest possible idea in the universe! Giving a Cost+ contract to Lockheed Martin is one option. Which would of course be the biggest ******* joke of all time. Or B) Award Blue Origina another HLS contract (they currently already have a lander contract for early 2030s) to change their non-human lander into a human lander as basically a min-viable option that can just do the bare minimum to get humans on the moon asap. This isn't the WORST idea, but it's also pretty pointless imo, and is unlikely to succeed at beating SpaceX. Blue Origin has literally launched one payload to orbit ever and was founded at the same time as SpaceX (actually earlier). And you trust them to operate faster than SpaceX?... Oh and btw the ACTUAL time limiting factor for Artemis III funnily enough isn't even the lander even though it is delayed, its the ******* space suits currently lmao.
However all that doesn't JUST have the effect of trying to win over Trump, what Duffy is also doing is he's basically throwing SpaceX under the bus and telling all the other Aerospace companies "Support me to lead NASA, and I'll stand up to SpaceX for you and award you guys rich cost+ contracts" .... Like literally thats whats happening. And we all know Lockheel/Boeing/ULA/BlueOrigin spend a lot on lobbying congress.... **** one of the reaasons Starship HLS is delayed actually has to do with Blue Origin lobbying/lawsuits. Blue Origin sued over the HLS award to SpaceX and that delayed HLS development 7 months where NASA wasn't allowed to discuss or pay for anything regarding HLS development with SpaceX! So you sue to get something that was already awarded late as **** to be delayed then ***** **** is delayed.....