Awsi Dooger
Junior
- Joined
- Jan 20, 2012
- Messages
- 2,662
BTW, check the power ratings to understand why Pittsburgh is favored by that amount. Betting odds are solely related to real-time blend of the most reputable power rating sources, and amended by the home field advantage, if any.
That's all it is. Nothing else. Las Vegas doesn't know a **** thing and doesn't care about a **** thing. They steal power ratings and use them to stick numbers on the board. They do that robotically in every sport all year long. It doesn't have to be precise to the power rating. They might shade a point one way or the other depending on some recent trend or variable. Then the bettors might choose to shift a little bit either way. That is base normalcy. But power ratings are the engine behind everything.
There was one genius in particular here who loved to mock the notion that betting odds were solely related to power ratings. He was making a fool of himself every time. Whenever someone raves about how close Las Vegas came to the outcome, they are raving about Jeff Sagarin and Ken Massey, etc. Their mathematical formulas gauge team strength over time and slowly adjusted by recent results.
Power rankings like first to last are entirely different than power ratings.. Power rankings are subjective garbage and invariably overreact to recent results. That Andrea Adelson creation today was a classic example of fluff subjective power rankings.
That's all it is. Nothing else. Las Vegas doesn't know a **** thing and doesn't care about a **** thing. They steal power ratings and use them to stick numbers on the board. They do that robotically in every sport all year long. It doesn't have to be precise to the power rating. They might shade a point one way or the other depending on some recent trend or variable. Then the bettors might choose to shift a little bit either way. That is base normalcy. But power ratings are the engine behind everything.
There was one genius in particular here who loved to mock the notion that betting odds were solely related to power ratings. He was making a fool of himself every time. Whenever someone raves about how close Las Vegas came to the outcome, they are raving about Jeff Sagarin and Ken Massey, etc. Their mathematical formulas gauge team strength over time and slowly adjusted by recent results.
Power rankings like first to last are entirely different than power ratings.. Power rankings are subjective garbage and invariably overreact to recent results. That Andrea Adelson creation today was a classic example of fluff subjective power rankings.