Ivins is dopey.
The math will not work out.
Let's say that you sign 20 HS kids per year for 5 years. Let's say you sign 5 transfers per year for 5 years.
Under the old system, you signed 25 over 5 years, that was 125 initial counters, and you could have 85 total counters, so that left you with a leeway of 40 guys, or 8 per year for 5 years, who could leave school, go to the NFL early, transfer, be kicked off the team, etc.
And, obviously, schools that would sign 125 per 5 years and stayed close to 85 counters were, effectively, losing 8 per year.
Now let's say that you sign 20 HS kids per year for 5 years. That puts you at 100. YOU ARE STILL GOING TO HAVE THE ATTRITION FOR KIDS WHO LEAVE SCHOOL, GO TO THE NFL EARLY, TRANSFER, KICKED OFF TEAM, ETC. Which would put you at 60 kids at the end of the 5-year cycle. Then you add in 25 transfers over 5 years, but they usually have 2 years to play, so that would give you 10 kids at the end of the 5-year cycle.
And that would put you at a roster of 70 recruited scholarship players (not counting walk-ons, so that we can make Midlo happy).
So, yeah, the math is not going to work out if they keep the ICs at 25 and you only take 20 HS kids per year. Also, over 120 Division I-A schools, which means 600 fewer HS kids get scholarships every year, because those ICs are going to transfer kids instead of HS kids. And, sure, someone will argue "but schools have always used some ICs for transfers". Yes. But not 600 ICs. Not every school has taken 5 transfers per year for 5 years in a row.
The NCAA needs to do something, and soon.