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*** Official Beat Joe Green Thread ***

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imurcane said:
imurcane said:
Kevin Brown said:
take the away and home stats of the two teams

Knicks away stats: 101 points for, 97.8 points against
Nets home stats: 98.4 points for, 95.6 points against

add up points for and points against

101+98.4= 199.4
97.8+95.6=193.4

divide offensive by defensive
199.4/193.4=1.031023

call this a factor if below 1 then multiply by defensive points
If above one like it is multiply by offensive numbers

1.031023*199.4= 205.586= my line

vegas line is 195.5 so pick over.
Click to expand...

Bumping to get info together.
Click to expand...

Kevin do I have this correct? I reworked the numbers above!
Click to expand...


yes that is correct
 
Kevin Brown said:
imurcane said:
imurcane said:
Kevin Brown said:
take the away and home stats of the two teams

Knicks away stats: 101 points for, 97.8 points against
Nets home stats: 98.4 points for, 95.6 points against

add up points for and points against

101+98.4= 199.4
97.8+95.6=193.4

divide offensive by defensive
199.4/193.4=1.031023

call this a factor if below 1 then multiply by defensive points
If above one like it is multiply by offensive numbers

1.031023*199.4= 205.586= my line

vegas line is 195.5 so pick over.
Click to expand...

Bumping to get info together.
Click to expand...

Kevin do I have this correct? I reworked the numbers above!
Click to expand...


yes that is correct
Click to expand...

you need a big second half the way this is going.
 
Kevin Brown is a phucking genius!!

Every game ive looked at where number has moved like this game has won. Line opened @ 204. Thats only about 4-5 games but still.

Somwething worth monitoring.
 
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hawks number is 190.9 and total is 194. When teams have played as many games as these two teams have in the last week, do they tend to go over or under?
 
Number has moved to 192. Kinda interesting. Whats funny is i was leaning under but now that the munknee has gone under, i want to go over.
 
Down to 191.5. Im going to wait till right before tip off and go over. Im not sure i oove the over, but given the choice between siding with Vegas or public the choice is easy for me.
 
Up 1 unit

Hawks over 190.5 1 unit
Eagles over 22.5 first half 1 unit

Again i just did the opposite of what i thought was likely/fading perception. Get it.
 
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1&3 on 3 and u cant punch it in? Wtf? I hope andy reid gets fired. He should be ay seasons end if not before.
 
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