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*** Official Beat Joe Green Thread ***

Only thing that scares me about 49 under is with all those injuries 49 seems virtually unattainable which usually sends me taking the over.
 
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Over 24.5 first half lions 1 unit.

I was close to going under with the hook added on. But it just feels like a punt fest is coming, so why all those points. Eh i am a betting man. But i tgink my its too many points no way, oh let me go over gets me first half. Eh.
 
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total bets are 50/50 on the sides but spread has gone from 4.5 to 5.5 - more $ on Pats

total bets are 69/31 on the over but spread has gone down from 53 to 50.5 - significantly more $ on under

just FYI
 
Well **** that was easy if you have the over.
What sucks even more is now i cant go over second half and get double ****ed er triple ****ed. It does seem when i go against rolltide i do not emerge victorious. Note to self lol.
 
Kevin Brown said:
take the away and home stats of the two teams

Orlando away stats: 90 points for, 94 points against
Utah home stats: 102.4 points for, 94.6 points against

add up points for and points against

102.4+90= 192.4
94+94.6=188.6

divide offensive by defensive
192.4/188.6=1.020148

call this a factor if below 1 then multiply by defensive points
If above one like it is multiply by offensive numbers

1.020148*192.4= 196.27= my line

vegas line is 197 so pick under.
Click to expand...

Bumping to get info together.
 
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imurcane said:
Kevin Brown said:
take the away and home stats of the two teams

Knicks away stats: 101 points for, 97.8 points against
Nets home stats: 98.4 points for, 95.6 points against

add up points for and points against

101+98.4= 199.4
97.8+95.6=193.4

divide offensive by defensive
199.4/193.4=1.031023

call this a factor if below 1 then multiply by defensive points
If above one like it is multiply by offensive numbers

1.031023*199.4= 205.586= my line

vegas line is 195.5 so pick over.
Click to expand...

Bumping to get info together.
Click to expand...

Kevin do I have this correct? I reworked the numbers above!
 
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