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*** Official Beat Joe Green Thread ***

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heythisisrobbie said:
Refs take 14 points off the board. Barely on pace for my over.

Obama has Florida and Ohio in the bag. GG.
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This is a game i would love the second half over. Tie game lots of scoring and OT a real shot. I wish i had gone over 70.5 now. But whatever.
 
Glad i didnt play this one. Cant buy a win right now. Was going to play th under but OT looks very likely.
 
Any college games jumping out at you guys for Saturday? I've already loaded up on the Canes. I like VT a LOT at +14.5...looking for at least one more game to add for a parlay with those two.
 
heythisisrobbie said:
Going to need a big play or OT to hit this over here. 13 more points for a push.

You could middle, right Imur?
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No middling for me. I lost the juice. I am perplexed with the final score. If you look at the game in retrospect, other than the final score the right play was the over. At the end of the day all i care about is the money. I will gladly take lucky as **** if ya know what i mean. However, over the kong haul, right plays is where i want to be. Im also okay with fading myself at different times. But bottom line is this game last night should have gone over, and so i believe the right play was the over.
 
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I have to agree only reason I faded myself(wanted the over) is because I won last 3 games and knew I was gonna trip up sooner then later. Very surprised I won that with the under. 4-0 last 4 games may have to fade myself all weekend hahaha
 
Total tonite is very interesting. First of all, BGSU has had a few extra days off. They appear to pmay solid defense. They are off next week. Ohio has scored a bunch this year. I havent looked at weather yet. Firat glance 48.5 seems to scream please take over but that .5 seems to say sure ya want to go over?

Initial thoughts are game wont be like last night. Either crushing that 48 or a defensive slugfest. Yeah i know i went out on a limb there. Im curious if my analysis is back on? Initial like is over, alot. But i now have all day to dislike it. Lol
 
I'm seeing a MAC trend where the coaches are playing super conservative on both sides of the ball.

On offense they would much rather methodically drive 80 yards in 8 minutes than score on a big play. This gives their defenses time to rest.

On defense they are more than willing to accommodate the above, playing soft zones and tackling everything in front of them.

If you hit an over, the offenses were efficient in the red zone. If its under, they weren't. Last night the refs took 8 points off the board, the difference in a win or a loss.

I'm done this year with MAC totals because of all of the above. After the crazy games last year it's almost like the coaches put their minds together to see what they could do to return to normalcy.
 
lots of interesting #s on the board

Knowing Vegas took a beating on the NFL last weekend makes it no plays for me at all on the NFL, but if I did, I'd be on all the dogs

Some early leans:

Ohio -2.5
Miami FL ML
Penn St +7.5 (really like this)
Oregon -28 (really like this, they'll keep the pedal to the metal the rest of the season)
Marshall -3
UCLA -14.5 (fade on Washington St)
Arizona -30.5 (fade on Colorado)
LT -20

Totals plays:
ULM/Ark St O59
Wisconsin/Indiana O55
Baylor/OU O77
 
RLM game

76% bets on Ohio U but spread has dropped from -3.5 to -2.5
54% bets on Over but total has dropped from 49 to 47.5
 
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AllAmeriCANE said:
RLM game

76% bets on Ohio U but spread has dropped from -3.5 to -2.5
54% bets on Over but total has dropped from 49 to 47.5
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and now down to -2 with 74% of bets on Ohio...
but the total on the other hand has come all the way back to 49 with now 50/50 action on both sides. all the late money on the Over it seems.

I'll be betting with the sharps tonight. BGSU

edit: and 15 minutes later it's down to -1.5.......**** a LOT of sharp money and/or late public money on BGSU.
 
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I'm gonna be a square and ride with Ohio. They're the home team and have more talent. I'll wait to see how much further it drops. Hoping for a pick 'em
 
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