The biggest questions as to who would win now are: why did ND lose to UM the first time and how has that changed so that they are better now?
The biggest reason why we won the first time is both trenches and that has not changed. We get Blay back, Moten and Scott have really come on, and our O scheme is far superior to what it was back then, making our OL advantage even more noticeable.
They see Miami lose those games and they permanently cement in their minds that this is Miami and they can't get any better, but we are actually a superior team to the one that dominated ND. And again, the reasons why we beat them last time have not changed and we are better than we were.