
: Analytical Reply
May I share some revelatory news w/ this fan base? This might come as a shock since it’s “Blame Mario Month.”
Since 2016, The University of Miami have ranked:
3rd, 2nd, 2nd, 4th, 2nd, 2nd, 1st (Mario’s transition class) in ACC recruiting.
Since 2016, The University of Miami have signed:
3 - 5* recruits
71 - 4* (HS) recruits
1 - 4* (JUCO) recruit
Out of these blue chip recruits, since 2016 Miami have signed:
28 young men who ranked top 10 at their position, nationally.
That’s looks good on paper; but let’s see why we’re failing.
Pls note:
-
Solid/Decent Career is defined by those who were starters, steady contributors, but not drafted
-
Other is defined by those who medically retired early, missed significant time yearly from injuries, or haven’t seen the field much.
2016: 4* (9 signed)
*
Bust Ratio: 44.4%
*
Transfer/Left Early Ratio: 0%
*
Draft Ratio: 33.3%
*
Solid/Decent Career Ratio: 11.1%
*
Other Ratio: 11.1%
2017: 4* (10 signed)
*
Bust Ratio: 30%
*
Transfer/Left Early Ratio: 40%
*
Draft Ratio: 20%
*
Solid/ Decent Career Ratio: 10%
*
Other Ratio: 0%
2018: 4* (14 signed) / 5*(1 signed)
*
Bust Ratio: 7.1% (only 1 remains on team)
*
Transfer/Left Early Ratio: 50%
*
Draft Ratio: 7.1%
*
Solid/Decent Career Ratio: 28.5%
*
Other Ratio: 7.1%
2019: 4* (7 signed)
*
Bust Ratio: 14.3%
*
Transfer/Left Early Ratio: 28.5%
*
Draft Ratio: 0% (thus far)
*
Solid/Decent Career Ratio: 42.9%
*
Other Ratio: 14.3%
2020: 4* (10 signed)
*
Bust Ratio: 10%
*
Transfer/Left Early Ratio: 0%
*
Draft Ratio: NA (not draft eligible)
*
Solid/Decent Career Ratio: 30%
*
Other Ratio: 60%
2021: 4* (12 signed) / 5* (2 signed)
2022: 4* (10 signed)
For both the class of ‘21 & ‘22, they’ve been given the benefit of the doubt & classified as TBD, b/c many have not seen the field yet, & are either TFr, RS-Fr, or TSo.
But looking at the “suppose veteran leadership that were to be established from the classes of ‘16 - ‘20:
*Only 11.8%, or 1 out of 8.5 of these recruits have been drafted thus far (w/ none coming in the 1st 3 rounds)
*44% on average, or 1 out of 2.3 of these recruits have had a negative impact on the team either by being a bust or transferred
*25% on average, or 1 out of 5 of these recruits have had a solid career, without being NFL draft worthy
*19.2% on average, or 1 out of 5.2 of these recruits have had a negative impact on the team from early retirement or managing health issues (no fault of their own, but still apart of the equation)
So basically our “star board” has been troublesome. When 64% of the upper class blue chip players we’ve recruited have either been bust, bust & transfers, transfers, battled health issues either causing limiting playing time or early retirement, it doesn’t help any coach.
We can blame it on lack of coaching & development, sure, but almost all of our blue chip transfers either were bust at another P5 program, bust at a G5 program, or had to drop to the FCS level. That’s not on coaching, that’s evaluations.
So moving fwd, these threads r cool, but as I’ve said before, we’ve had bigger issues than just x’s & o’s.