Miami -14.5 vs Louisville

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An excellent test for Hetherman and his D. Lookin forward to how he deals with a pocket passer. Surely Miami Vice can rattle him early. Fitzgerald gonna house one?
 
I just think if we are 11-0 going into that game one of two things will happen.

1. ACC title berth locked Mario feeling zero pressure to win it chooses to put some guys on a pitch count or rest them outright if they need it. We possibly lose the game.

2. Title game not clinched and/or Mario wants 12-0, we come in totally focused on the undefeated season and smoke Pitt

I don't think we'd rest players even if we already clinched the ACC championship game. Unlike last year, conference champions don't get automatic byes.

If we were one of the top 4 seeds, we'd play in the Orange Bowl in the quarterfinals, essentially a home game.
 
I don't think we'd rest players even if we already clinched the ACC championship game. Unlike last year, conference champions don't get automatic byes.

If we were one of the top 4 seeds, we'd play in the Orange Bowl in the quarterfinals, essentially a home game.
we also need to start running up the score on teams since we likely wont have a ranked team on our schedule the rest of the way. this committee will forget about September as quick as they remember OSU beating a top ranked Texas team that is trash
 
This is why the spread is what it



anchorman will GIF
 
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I just think if we are 11-0 going into that game one of two things will happen.

1. ACC title berth locked Mario feeling zero pressure to win it chooses to put some guys on a pitch count or rest them outright if they need it. We possibly lose the game.

2. Title game not clinched and/or Mario wants 12-0, we come in totally focused on the undefeated season and smoke Pitt
I’d just keep rolling everyone. If we win out, we’d get a real bye.
 
I don't think we'd rest players even if we already clinched the ACC championship game. Unlike last year, conference champions don't get automatic byes.

If we were one of the top 4 seeds, we'd play in the Orange Bowl in the quarterfinals, essentially a home game.
For the record I have zero belief Mario would ever rest players in that game against Pitt.

That’s just the only scenario I could envision losing that game if we enter 11-0 barring injuries to pivotal players of course
 
On paper this is a very favorable matchup. Should win by 2+ scores.

L'Ville's path to victory is pretty narrow. On offense their OL will have to play much better than they have. They will have to be able to the run the ball at us, and pop some explosives on the outside. Eliminate their turnovers too. On defense, they need to pressure Beck into turnovers, while limiting our run game.

I think Lyle and Lofton have big games, and I hope a 3rd WR does too.
 
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Likely lower based on points scored by each team with the outcome.

E. Kentucky 51-17 W
James Madison 28-14 W
Bowling Green 40-17 W
Pitt 34-27 W
Virginia 30-27 L
It's not that different. 4.56 yards per play allowed against JMU and BGSU and 4.88 ypp allowed in the 2 ACC games. Their defense has played really well, especially against UVA. UVA's defense scored 14 points. UVA drove 11 yards in 5 plays for a FG, and they got a TD in OT. UVA only had one drive that they gained more than 30 yards on. L'Ville's defense will be the best we have played against this year.
 
This team overall is much better than 2024, but this is basically the same exact script as we had against VT.

Last year, we won the first 4 games easily, we were humming, and we went into a Friday night home game as a massive favorite. I think we were -19 in that game? And we all know how it went.

Here we go again, rolling along, 2 TD favorite, home game on a Friday night. What could go wrong?

I will say, last year, neither team had a bye before that game. We both played on 6 days rest/prep. This year, we should be more prepared for them, having 13 days. But they had a bye too.

Also, it's Year 3 there for Brohm. He's coached in 32 games there, this will be game #33 for him.

In the first 32, they've lost exactly *one* by more than 14 points. Year 1, at Pitt, 38-21. That's it. Every other game has been 14 or less.

And if you look at just the last 2 years, he's 13-5, and the 5 losses are by:

7 to ND
7 to SMU
7 to Miami
3 to Stanford
3 to UVA

If we do cover this game, IMO it'll likely be our most impressive performance to date.
 
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