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Max Johnson to start per 247?

CaneMutiny06 said:
The thread about Jimbo vs Steele during Steele’s time at Auburn inspired me to do a deeper dive on the scoring in their matchups going back to 2007. I omitted non-offensive scores. Here’s what I found:

Points allowed by Steele vs Jimbo in bold. Scoring averages of Jimbo’s offense and Steele’s defense for that year in parentheses.

2007: 21 (fsu 23.3 ppg avg, Bama 22 ppg allowed )
2.3 points below FSU’s scoring O avg, 1 pt below Bama’s scoring defense avg

2009: 17 (fsu 30.1 ppg, Clemson 20.4 ppg allowed)

13.1 points below FSU scoring O avg
3.4 points above Clemson scoring D avg

2010: 16. (Fsu 31.4 ppg, Clemson 18.8 ppg allowed)

15.4 points below FSU scoring O avg
2.8 points below Clemson scoring D avg

2011: 23. (Fsu 30.6 ppg, Clemson 29.3 ppg allowed)

7.6 points below fsu scoring O avg
6 points below Clemson scoring D avg

2018: 24. (A&M 36 ppg, Aub 19.2 ppg allowed)

12 points below A&M scoring O avg
5.2 points above Auburn scoring D avg

2019: 20. (A&M 29.5 ppg, Aub 19.5 ppg allowed )

9.5 points below A&M scoring avg
0.5 point above Auburn scoring D avg

2020: 31. (A&m 32.6 ppg , Aub 24.7 points allowed )

1.6 points below A&M scoring O avg
6.3 points above Auburn. Scoring D avg



21.7 average ppg allowed by Steele vs Jimbo in 7 matchups where the talent was largely close given the context of the time.
Steele held Jimbo below their scoring average in each of their 7 matchups.

5 of the 7 times he held Jimbo to more than 7 points below their scoring avg

3 of the 7 times Jimbo’s offense scored below the average points per game yielded by Steele’s defense that year.

It’s reasonable to see why Steele should be confident planning to face Jimbo’s offense


Also worth noting:
LSU offense averaged 24.3 ppg against power 5 defenses in 2021 in games Johnson started (not including Arkansas game he only attempted a couple passes in)

And 21 ppg in games he started in 2020

Based on these numbers, I now think it’s very unlikely A&M’s offense scores more than 21 points against us.

The question is, Can we break 20 against them and avoid a non-offensive score by A&M?
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This was a GREAT post, probably deserved its own thread really. Good stuff man. Thank gawd this game is today
 
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TheProf said:
Not sure how many here have actually ever watched the guy play. He likes to check down, is often throwing high on anything down the field. Does not really possess precision accuracy. Keep aTm's skill players in front of you and don't let them get chunk yards after the catch.


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First play is the one that worries me the most, roll out to the left side and dump the ball to the rb.
 
Andrew said:
Max Johnson is the greatest name for a QB ever.
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Johnson is slow and has a weak arm which means he will look like Tua tonight.

Slants, pass to RB, 10 yard outs, 1 attempt at a bomb.

He won’t take the top off and will also make 2-3 complete bonehead plays. Miami must capitalize when he does this. Have to catch the INT when he throws a duck or into coverage.

Contain the pocket and should have 3+ sacks simply off effort and collapsing the pocket. Tackle tackle tackle. They will be looking to hit their big gains from YAC yards not actually throwing deep.

Stop the run and Miami should be in good shape to get the W
 
CaneMutiny06 said:
The thread about Jimbo vs Steele during Steele’s time at Auburn inspired me to do a deeper dive on the scoring in their matchups going back to 2007. I omitted non-offensive scores. Here’s what I found:

Points allowed by Steele vs Jimbo in bold. Scoring averages of Jimbo’s offense and Steele’s defense for that year in parentheses.

2007: 21 (fsu 23.3 ppg avg, Bama 22 ppg allowed )
2.3 points below FSU’s scoring O avg, 1 pt below Bama’s scoring defense avg

2009: 17 (fsu 30.1 ppg, Clemson 20.4 ppg allowed)

13.1 points below FSU scoring O avg
3.4 points above Clemson scoring D avg

2010: 16. (Fsu 31.4 ppg, Clemson 18.8 ppg allowed)

15.4 points below FSU scoring O avg
2.8 points below Clemson scoring D avg

2011: 23. (Fsu 30.6 ppg, Clemson 29.3 ppg allowed)

7.6 points below fsu scoring O avg
6 points below Clemson scoring D avg

2018: 24. (A&M 36 ppg, Aub 19.2 ppg allowed)

12 points below A&M scoring O avg
5.2 points above Auburn scoring D avg

2019: 20. (A&M 29.5 ppg, Aub 19.5 ppg allowed )

9.5 points below A&M scoring avg
0.5 point above Auburn scoring D avg

2020: 31. (A&m 32.6 ppg , Aub 24.7 points allowed )

1.6 points below A&M scoring O avg
6.3 points above Auburn. Scoring D avg



21.7 average ppg allowed by Steele vs Jimbo in 7 matchups where the talent was largely close given the context of the time.
Steele held Jimbo below their scoring average in each of their 7 matchups.

5 of the 7 times he held Jimbo to more than 7 points below their scoring avg

3 of the 7 times Jimbo’s offense scored below the average points per game yielded by Steele’s defense that year.

It’s reasonable to see why Steele should be confident planning to face Jimbo’s offense


Also worth noting:
LSU offense averaged 24.3 ppg against power 5 defenses in 2021 in games Johnson started (not including Arkansas game he only attempted a couple passes in)

And 21 ppg in games he started in 2020

Based on these numbers, I now think it’s very unlikely A&M’s offense scores more than 21 points against us.

The question is, Can we break 20 against them and avoid a non-offensive score by A&M?
Click to expand...
We need to score in the thirties to win this game, we can do that.
 
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