I think some of these similarities are valid, particularly on UF's QB situation. Franks padded a lot of his stats last year against some really mediocre teams. For example, 10 out of 24 of his TD passes were against Charleston Southern, Colorado State, and Idaho. Another 6 of his TD's came against a mediocre FSU and Tennessee team. Overall, 16/24 (67% of his TD's) came against these horrible teams. Against teams with solid defenses, he was absolutely abysmal (except the Mississippi State game). UF had some solid wins against LSU and Miss St. but got curb stomped by UGA and a subpar Missouri team, along with a more lopsided than expected loss against UK.
Also, we've got to remember that UF was two lucky wins away from a 7-5 record last year. They pulled out a last minute win against South Carolina (SCAR was leading 31-21 going into the 4th), and outlasted Vandy in a much closer than expected game. While I do think UF is the better team right now, a lot can change over the spring. It is to our benefit that they won't have much film on our offense, which will give us a brief advantage at the start of our game. Also, they're replacing a lot of guys on their OL, which will force Mullen to significantly change up his gameplan. For us, our offense is going to be facing a really good and physical UF defense. We're going to need some big plays on offense to get things going. To win, we're going to need exemplary QB play and for the Turnover Chain to come out a few times. I see a game a lot like the one in 2013, except slightly more high scoring.