Cuban-Cane
Recruit
- Joined
- Feb 7, 2018
- Messages
- 6,095
Id kill myself
This actually makes a lot more sense than most are willing or able to acknowledge, especially if a groundbreaking streaming rights deal was included as part of the deal. We could also probably (if we had an AD with a room temperature IQ and a set of balls, but we all know we don't) strongarm the AAC into a greater share of conference revenue, whereas the ACC is communist in their revenue sharing.
All of that being said, you didn't factor in the grant of rights. As I understand it, the soonest we could theoretically leave the ACC and take our media rights with us is something like 2026.
As much as I am not fond of the ACC, we're best off working to improve our position within it rather than talking about leaving it.
Just win the **** games.
From Sports Business Journal:
"Another potential trigger for (conference realignment) is the ACC Network, which is scheduled to launch in August in an environment rife with cord cutters and dwindling subscriber bases. ESPN fully owns the channel and was able to secure the right to launch it on Altice’s New York-area systems and nationally on at least one digital multichannel video provider.
If the channel is successful in signing more carriage deals, the conference’s makeup will remain the same. If not, some of the ACC’s stronger programs — Florida State, Clemson — could become targets for the SEC and Big Ten. Sources say success in terms of revenue falls somewhere between the thriving Big Ten Network and struggling Pac-12 Networks."
In my opinion, since networks don't seem to give a **** about picking up the ACC, there's no way it will hit these targets. Of course, I'm not Houdini and I can't foretell the future. But that's my sense.
Look, I realize that Bezos is richer than God. And he went to NMB High.
But he also has to answer to shareholders.
And there is no way that there will be a "groundbreaking streaming rights deal" for the 6th best college sports conference. Not even if mid-ACC-pack Miami joins up.
Have you ever read one of the CIS threads on how to beat/cheat the cable companies out of money, or cut the cord, or how to get illegal content for free? If Amazon is going to give more money for streaming rights than what existing networks pay for broadcast rights, they are going to need to collect more money for Amazon Prime. The money has to come from somewhere.
Oh, you put up a decent post finally. My hopes are high for you.
From Sports Business Journal:
"Another potential trigger for (conference realignment) is the ACC Network, which is scheduled to launch in August in an environment rife with cord cutters and dwindling subscriber bases. ESPN fully owns the channel and was able to secure the right to launch it on Altice’s New York-area systems and nationally on at least one digital multichannel video provider.
If the channel is successful in signing more carriage deals, the conference’s makeup will remain the same. If not, some of the ACC’s stronger programs — Florida State, Clemson — could become targets for the SEC and Big Ten. Sources say success in terms of revenue falls somewhere between the thriving Big Ten Network and struggling Pac-12 Networks."
In my opinion, since networks don't seem to give a **** about picking up the ACC, there's no way it will hit these targets. Of course, I'm not Houdini and I can't foretell the future. But that's my sense.
I see where you’re coming from and I debate you point for point, but the numbers speak for themselves. Visionaries don’t just rely on the now, they use their imagination to create new realities in the future. If you look at this a a fan, you hate the might dislike the optics, sure... right now. But the AAC is playing the long game, whose in a better position when realignment demands super conferences and an 8 team playoff? The ACC seems better now but if 1 or 2 decent teams leave it becomes a has been.OK, look, let's have an honest conversation here. I'm not going to criticize your bona fides and I'm sure you do good work in the real world. But this entire analysis is insanely flawed. Insanely. I'll be as brief as possible, but allow me to logically destroy the foundation upon which your delusional conclusions are built.
1. You included UConn in the AAC. Right there, you are slipping. UConn is being kicked out of the AAC.
2. You completely ignore reality by hyper-focusing on the physical location of the schools, rather than where the alumni actually live. For example, the SEC is not freaked out about the TV-market area for, say, Gainesville, because they know that Gaytor alums live all over the state of Florida, including all the major cities. Thus, you completely ignore, say, Charlotte, NC (which is filled with UNC, NC State, Duke, and Wake graduates). You completely ignore DMV area (DC-Maryland-Virginia), which has plenty of UVa and VaTech grads. Similarly, there are plenty of F$U grads in all the major Florida cities. And worst of all, you minimize the impact of Notre Dame, based upon its college-town TV market, while not even considering that they have such a powerful NATIONWIDE following that they are able to play (largely) as a football independent and they have negotiated THEIR OWN television deal with NBC.
3. Similarly, you act as if certain massive AAC television markets would deliver upon the promise of their population, without ever taking into account whether those massive populations truly support the "home team". Sure, SMU is in Dallas and Houston is (obviously) in Houston, but there is no way in **** that people in those cities would watch the "home team" over, say, TEXAS. Or Texas A&M. And even Baylor and TCU games would be more compelling, based upon recent success. You act as if Tulane "delivers" New Orleans when nearly everyone there roots for LSU. Same with Memphis, when Tennessee rules the state. And if you think anyone in Philly roots for Temple football, you have another thing coming. And don't even get me started on how "Georgia State" would miraculously deliver the Atlanta market over UGa and GaTech.
4. Your geographic argument is silly. Sure, we would trade 1 Florida school (F$U) for 2 (UCF, USF). But we would swap out NY, MA, SC, KY, IN, VA (and possibly GA) for...OH, OK, TN, LA, MD, TX (and, hey, I didn't hold your CT idiocy against you on this point)...I don't see any major advantages. Sure, the two biggest outliers are Syracuse (NY) and Boston College (MA), but we rarely face Syracuse, and when we do, they have a domed stadium. So, sure, we'd shift more to the west than the northeast, but OH-TN-MD are fairly similar to SC-KY-IN-VA when it comes to proximity and climate. More importantly, you don't address the issue of whether any of the AAC fanbases (outside of UCF and USF) would travel to Miami in large numbers to support their teams (hint, the answer is "highly unlikely"). Miami is ALWAYS going to be a geographic outlier, we are at the peehole end of the Florida *****.
5. No conference wants to be represented by Miami. We are only tolerated due to our past success and our massive TV market. I am tired of people romanticizing the "love affair" we had with the Big East. Here's the reality. They all hated us. We had to dump the Big East because every issue that Miami tried to raise with Tranghese was ignored. The AAC is NOT the Big East. The AAC does NOT "miss Miami". The only team on that AAC list (and, again, I'm not going to hold your CT idiocy against you on this point) that was ever a part of the Big East is Temple. And right now, I don't think Temple is very happy with Miami.
6. WE HAVE NO BUILT-IN RIVAL IN THE ACC? Seriously, are you insane? We play both F$U (longtime in-state rivals from the independent days) and VaTech (independent, BE, and ACC rivals) on an annual basis. So what if F$U plays the Gaytors during rivalry week, or VaTech plays UVa during rivalry week. For THIS we are going to switch to the AAC to play manufactured rivalries against "hated in-state opponents" UCF and USF, or longtime rival Temple?
7. Why do you think that UM would suddenly get more "high-profile" OOC games? Ask UCF how that's going. What happens when the Gaytors offer us a 2-for-1? ****, the idiot fringe of our fanbase thinks we should only schedule one Power 5 OOC game per year, along with 3 cupcakes. You think we are going to get 4 Power 5 OOC games each year, particularly with our poor-negotiating idiot AD? Jesus Lord, in one of your most idiotic delusions, you talked about us playing FIVE Florida teams that would, presumably, all be OOC games (UF, F$U, FIU, FAU, and FAMU). Please tell me you had taken some really good drugs before you screwed up THAT math. You had a 14 team conference (before your CT idiocy), five OOC games, thus we would have, what, 7 conference games, yet you are giving us all of this "media market" exposure benefit for markets we would rarely play in, because I'm assuming you would have to have 2 divisions for a 13 or 14 team league, right?
8. How does adding Miami to the AAC make the AAC "better" (your words, not mine) than the ACC in football? Did Clemson cease to exist? By results only, adding Miami to the ACC doesn't even make the ACC better in football, as we have finished mid-pack most years, and have only won the Coastal ONCE since we joined.
And none of the above even addresses the real realities of leaving the ACC for the AAC. A MASSIVE conference buyout. A MASSIVE drop in conference revenues. An IMMEDIATE lack of credibility and access to the playoff system (****, UCF can't even get an invite with an undefeated season). And, hey, you can say the word "Amazon" three times in a row, but if the ONLY thing preventing Amazon from signing a deal with the AAC tomorrow is the lack of Miami's presence, then there IS NO impending Amazon deal. Because Miami, while historically successful, does not exactly deliver stellar ratings when we are 0-2. MAYBE someday the AAC revenues will increase. MAYBE someday the AAC champ would seriously be considered for the playoffs. But those pipe-dreams are not yet reality, and while we wait for them to become so, we will be relegated to the shadows, we will lose recruits, and we will (eventually) lose the merchandising and adidas revenue that we currently enjoy.
So, if anyone has any UM connections, PLEASE DO NOT submit this for "real analysis". The proposal is insane.
Dude I was a consultant in the 90s when I was young and trying to climb the corporate ladder. I’ve been on the claims side of the insurance industry for the past 5 years. People are allowed to be and do more than one thing in life you know.@The Franchise wasn’t this dude a weather expert a couple weeks ago?
Fair enough. But just for the record, I never said the word Amazon in my post, that was someone else. There are lots of potential streamers who might buy conference rights, and we are at the beginning of a streaming content war, with Apple getting in to the business, Disney, Netflix, Hulu, etc, etc. And OP has a semi-valid point in the media markets of AAC vs. ACC teams. What he doesn't factor in is alumni base size, brand recognition/value, those sorts of things. Just because Houston is a huge media market, that doesn't mean that everyone in Houston cares about UH, for example.
Where I would add something to the discussion, and while my final conclusion is that this is a pointless discussion as we're simply not leaving the ACC anytime "soon" (depending on what view you take of time), it's worth pointing out that many/most posters are viewing the original post as idiotic because they have a somewhat myopic view that CFB as it exists today will always be this way. That is simply not true. It wasn't that long ago that conference affiliation simply wasn't that important and then not that long after that major conferences such as the Big12 and ACC were at serious risk of becoming irrelevant as the landscape shifted and mega-conferences formed.
Just as the pendulum swung in one direction and today it seems that everything is about being in a mega-conference, or else you are irrelevant... Just as it seems today that the landscape of college football is super stable, you can always count on the black swan events to come down the pike.
What is, will not always be.
Miami did not become the team of the 80's by trying to be better at being Nebraska than Nebraska was. It took a vision and a visionary who saw the future and made it before anyone else did.
Miami will not reach greatness by trying to beat Baga and clem$on at their own game. We will have to find our edge in new territory.
Firstly, let me say that I was a Managing Consultant for Fortune 500 companies in the past but I always took a different approach to considering whether a project was profitable or not. My time in the entertainment industry taught me that every successful project should tell an impactful story and I applied this knowledge to consulting. So I would always prepare a clear, concise, one-page treatment to any MC project just like a producer would; the difference being that I would present a spreadsheet instead of a synopsis of the script. No matter what, I would always let the numbers tell the story.
Thus I present several reasons as to why Miami should move to the AAC:
Miami is not a cultural fit for the ACC.
Miami is also an outlier geographically.
- The ACC is primarily a wannabe Ivy League conglomerate that emphasizes basketball.
- They only tolerate Miami for access to a primary market.
The ACC does not want to be represented by a school like Miami.
- The bulk of the ACC is located in or near the Carolinas.
The ACC does not promote Miami, the most recognized brand in college football.
- Therefore we will always get treated unfairly
- Whether it’s biased officiating or out right racism which is documentable.
The locations of ACC are not in ideal marketing locations.
- The ACCN is a clear example of of where the marketing priorities of the ACC lie, and it’s not UM.
Miami is the largest metropolitan area and only primary market in the ACC but has no leverage.
- The only rapidly growing areas outside of Miami are the research triangle and Tallahassee.
- Both of these areas are negligible due to school loyalty and the meaningful population that impacts growth being transient students.
The ACC only has 1 consistently ranked playoff team (Clemson) and is just as weak as the AAC.
- The conference alignment is not set up correctly and the championship game is in Charlotte.
- Neither of these are favorable for Miami.
We have no built in rival in the ACC. Why are we traveling to Pitt or Duke on rivalry week?
- The ACC is weaker now than its ever been on every level.
- The national perception of the ACC is just as bad or worse than the ACC.
The marketing value of cities in the ACC is far less than the AAC.
- The ACC didn’t provide any advantages in football or basketball.
On the contrary:
The AAC misses Miami, the former Big East appreciated and celebrated Miami.
Miami is a much better cultural fit in AAC.
- Miami instantly legitimizes the AAC as a Power conference.
- UCF is consistently ranked and needs another high profile opponent.
The AAC presents new marketing and greater opportunities for networks and sponsors.
- The AAC has has much better metropolitan locations.
- If you look at the states that produce the most NFL talent.
- The AAC provides a much better recruiting advantage and marketing exposure.
- Tampa, Orlando, Houston, Dallas, New Orleans, DMV, Philly, Ohio, Memphis, Ohio & Connecticut.
Because of weaker teams in the AAC, UM could schedule more high profile out of conference games.
- Conference realignment could have UM playing in Florida or warm climates most of the season.
- AAC locations would increase fan support due to ease of accessibility and desirable locations.
We could add an up and coming Georgia State team and retain the ATL/GA market.
- AAC have several primary markets in cities that are thriving and growing.
- We have built in rivals in the AAC.
- We could possibly play FSU, UF, UCF, USF, FIU, FAU & FAMU In one season. True state champs.
We need our own conference.
- Adding Miami would make the AAC better than the ACC in football and closer in basketball.
It’s time - if you have UM connections, please submit this for real analysis. Thank you.
It’s always all about The U
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I see where you’re coming from and I debate you point for point, but the numbers speak for themselves. Visionaries don’t just rely on the now, they use their imagination to create new realities in the future. If you look at this a a fan, you hate the might dislike the optics, sure... right now. But the AAC is playing the long game, whose in a better position when realignment demands super conferences and an 8 team playoff? The ACC seems better now but if 1 or 2 decent teams leave it becomes a has been.
Now your opinion of fan base loyalty I have to disagree with. For example, Texas has over 27 million people and every school has its own loyal fan base. UT is huge in Austin but in Dallas not so much. That’s the advantage of being in large markets for a team like Miami. Sure the Walmart approach works for SEC schools because they are mostly in rural areas.
Let me put like this, I’m talking about creating opportunities for the future. I worked on marketing campaign once that I later regretted. It was for a large tobacco company and they wanted to target ‘future’ smokers. Long story short, they went away from the shelf space concept and went for a ‘candy for a baby’ approach. It wasn’t my idea, but in the end they started putting flavored tobacco products right at the checkout just like the candy/snack companies do. It was a game changer.
5-10 years from now some people are going to say we shoulda, coulda, woulda when the telecom industry was transforming.
Most visionaries are thought to be crazy at first, then everybody wants a phuckin iPhone later.
Nahhh, you never take an L when you point out the truth. Like I said, you're headed in the right direction. Don't regress into personal attacks.Oh you still butt hurt for looking like an idiot the other day. Get over it ****boi.