Invest 90L forms in the W Caribbean....

BiltmoreCANE

Freshman
Joined
Nov 3, 2011
Messages
625
All global models and ensembles bring this to the N Gulf coast by the weekend with varying degrees of strength. Hurricane hunters scheduled to fly recon tomorrow if necessary. Still early and a lot of variables to hash out but keep your eyes on this system.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

Dan Sileo JR

Band
Banned
Joined
Aug 2, 2017
Messages
870
We've been keeping an eye on it here from the NWS office. It's worth noting that it's much too early to assume anything. If your concern is the game, very few model runs bring tropical storm winds to tallahassee. The operational 12z Euro run doesn't have any landfall until monday anyway. The american model hints closer to a Louisiana threat.

For now, we'll stay vigilant and see what happens over the next 48 hours.
 
D

Deleted member 13422

Guest
Damn Dan since when did you become Jim Cantore??? Holy **** bro you have a career in meterology if radio doesn't work out.
 

Gables Canes

Freshman
Joined
Jan 10, 2017
Messages
1,271
We've been keeping an eye on it here from the NWS office. It's worth noting that it's much too early to assume anything. If your concern is the game, very few model runs bring tropical storm winds to tallahassee. The operational 12z Euro run doesn't have any landfall until monday anyway. The american model hints closer to a Louisiana threat.

For now, we'll stay vigilant and see what happens over the next 48 hours.
What's the piece of **** GFS saying?
 

Dan Sileo JR

Band
Banned
Joined
Aug 2, 2017
Messages
870
We've been keeping an eye on it here from the NWS office. It's worth noting that it's much too early to assume anything. If your concern is the game, very few model runs bring tropical storm winds to tallahassee. The operational 12z Euro run doesn't have any landfall until monday anyway. The american model hints closer to a Louisiana threat.

For now, we'll stay vigilant and see what happens over the next 48 hours.
What's the piece of **** GFS saying?
The american model is the GFS, latest run with a tropical storm in Louisiana on sunday. Can't stress enough how early this is. Things will change throughout the week, it could potentially not even develop into a tropical cyclone in the first place.
 

brcane1

Sophomore
Joined
Nov 5, 2011
Messages
1,221
[video=youtube;IYuUmRxGaaw]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IYuUmRxGaaw[/video]
 
D

Deleted member 13422

Guest
What does the Euro model show? The Euro model seems to the the most accurate one this season.
 

SpikeUM

Senior
Joined
Nov 3, 2011
Messages
4,776
We've been keeping an eye on it here from the NWS office. It's worth noting that it's much too early to assume anything. If your concern is the game, very few model runs bring tropical storm winds to tallahassee. The operational 12z Euro run doesn't have any landfall until monday anyway. The american model hints closer to a Louisiana threat.

For now, we'll stay vigilant and see what happens over the next 48 hours.
Thanks for the info. Is the ECMWF the Euro model? It has it hitting Panama City on Sunday.
 

BiltmoreCANE

Freshman
Joined
Nov 3, 2011
Messages
625
Would totally agree with Dan, it's way to early to assume anything. Models shift & flip flop quite a bit. They're used for guidance. Don't focus on one run but run after run and so on for trends. My main concern is with all the tropical activity this year we may see some overreaction.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

ajkreider

Sophomore
Joined
Dec 3, 2012
Messages
1,397
We've been keeping an eye on it here from the NWS office. It's worth noting that it's much too early to assume anything. If your concern is the game, very few model runs bring tropical storm winds to tallahassee. The operational 12z Euro run doesn't have any landfall until monday anyway. The american model hints closer to a Louisiana threat.

For now, we'll stay vigilant and see what happens over the next 48 hours.
What's the piece of **** GFS saying?
Love me some red, white and blue - but the GFS is trash. Euro model all the way.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf
 

WR Cane

Junior
Joined
Aug 4, 2014
Messages
2,786
All this **** is doing is giving the home insurance companies a reason to jack up the premiums. Homeowners beware, it's comin'.
 

Dan Sileo JR

Band
Banned
Joined
Aug 2, 2017
Messages
870
We've been keeping an eye on it here from the NWS office. It's worth noting that it's much too early to assume anything. If your concern is the game, very few model runs bring tropical storm winds to tallahassee. The operational 12z Euro run doesn't have any landfall until monday anyway. The american model hints closer to a Louisiana threat.

For now, we'll stay vigilant and see what happens over the next 48 hours.
Thanks for the info. Is the ECMWF the Euro model? It has it hitting Panama City on Sunday.
Yes, ECMWF stands for European centre for medium range weather forecasts. I'd like to remind you all that this tropical disturbance is just crappy weather near nicaragua right now. Way too soon to be predicting a "hit" on Panama City. IF it develops, we'll know more about a possible trajectory on thursday.
 
Top