How Many Regular Season Wins in 2025 - July 2025 Edition

[RVACane]

All this foreclosure talk on the recruiting board has me wanting to see where ye all stand where it counts. How many regular season wins are we looking at come season’s end?

My vote can be found, I suspect with @bdcane4eva and the 8’s.

Now vote away!!!



Oh, I almost forgot…

Spoiler: For Calinative Only

 

[cway313]

I went with 9 even though I believe we will be 8-4. I'll reassess after 8/31.

 

[RVACane]

I went with 9 even though I believe we will be 8-4. I'll reassess after 8/31.

That’s like me, I was at 7-8 wins and I’m trying not to be a mope so I’ve gone with the higher number

 

[mihirtak]

vegas line is 8.5 with some juice to the over, Im sure Mario will blow 2 games and we will lose to ND/UF as well, so I say we finish 8-4

 

[DemCanes10]

UNDEFEATED!!!!!

8 home games for the first time ever!!!

Another 1st round QB!!!

Another Top 10 offense!!

A defense with a pulse is all we need and Heathermen will eat baby goats on the sideline before we allow multiple explosive plays again!!!!

I been lying for 3 months!!!!

 

[bdcane4eva]

 

[Bender]

Undefeated based on the schedule we have and the improvements we've made.

 

[MovingZen]

Could be anywhere from 6-6 to 11-1. Beck is 27-3.. let's hope Mario doesn't double his loss count in one year. Mario doesn't deserve anymore staff changes that aren't because of coaches being poached. The next time there's a staff change due to failure it needs to be at the top. acccg or gtfo

 

[The U is back to work]

8.

 

[Schnelly'sPipe]

 

[Josh]

Gonna say 10 wins and we sneak into the ACCCG

 

[Page305]

We're not winning more than 10.... and we better not win less than 9(with a healthy Beck). So yeah.

 

[TheOriginalCane]

All this foreclosure talk on the recruiting board has me wanting to see where ye all stand where it counts. How many regular season wins are we looking at come season’s end?

My vote can be found, I suspect with @bdcane4eva and the 8’s.

Now vote away!!!



Oh, I almost forgot…

My vote is for what we absolutely need.

11 or more.

I'm not some pusillanimous soft-shouldered un-rugged UM fan who will spout nonsense about "oh, I'm gonna keep it real, I only see 9 wins". **** those pussies.

We need 11 or 12 regular season wins this year. Anything less, and the rest of the HS recruiting season suffers.

Whether we get to 11 or not, I don't care about the "not". We need 11 or more, and Mario **** well better get them.

 

[RVACane]

My vote is for what we absolutely need.

11 or more.

I'm not some pusillanimous soft-shouldered un-rugged UM fan who will spout nonsense about "oh, I'm gonna keep it real, I only see 9 wins". **** those pussies.

We need 11 or 12 regular season wins this year. Anything less, and the rest of the HS recruiting season suffers.

Whether we get to 11 or not, I don't care about the "not". We need 11 or more, and Mario **** well better get them.

I understand how important this season is but you know what we need is not necessarily where we will get to. The question is where will we get to so what do you think our regular season win total will be? You should vote what you believe will happen not what you want to happen.

 

[OrangeBowlMagic]

A guy I respect a lot who does this for a living took a nice chunk on over 8.5 wins with some significant juice. I think it was -130.

Obviously doesn't mean anything for certain, the best in the business lose almost as many as they win, but I found that encouraging.

I think it's a 9 or 10 win team. Probably depending on the ND result. Lose that game, it's probably 9-3 or maybe 10-2. Win that one, and I think it's 10 or 11.

 

[MikeCane18]

I went optimistic with CFP and ACCCG champs. I expect the defense to level up this year, play smarter ball, and get back to instinctual downhill fast play. Trust your eyes and go. I want to see some turnovers and defensive TDs with this team again. That can really be a shot in the veins to the entire team.

I'm not as down on the offense as some have been. We won't be as explosive, but I think/hope we will be a highly successful 3rd down percentage team and stay on schedule. Beck is a smart QB and our OL should slow the game down for him again. I think he was sped up a lot last year and the receivers didnt help him much. I don't think he will have to force the ball downfield to keep the chains moving.

Special teams however. Gigantic wild card, especially in the FG kicking game.

 

[JHallCanes]

Good enough roster to threaten the playoffs

I’ll say 9 wins even though I really wanna hit 10
2 more brutal losses in November

Lots of comments from Mario about “reflecting” “needing to get better” “trajectory”

We play too many close games again so there will be lots of “we could have won 11 games” posts

I know the mantra of the fanbase is we will be more balanced as a team. I can understand it but my question is will the improvements on defense balance out the losses on offense?

That’s a big ask. Quite literally the best offense in the history of our program just took their talents to the NFL.

All that said guys like Carson Beck, Xavier Lucas, JoJo Trader, Jordan Lyle can have me lying to every single one of you if we beat Notre Dame

We beat ND and you won’t hear a word from me about how we started great last year too and “I’ll believe it when I see it”. I’m not that fan. It’ll be 15-0 from me.

 

[JamesQuall]

My vote is for what we absolutely need.

11 or more.

I'm not some pusillanimous soft-shouldered un-rugged UM fan who will spout nonsense about "oh, I'm gonna keep it real, I only see 9 wins". **** those pussies.

We need 11 or 12 regular season wins this year. Anything less, and the rest of the HS recruiting season suffers.

Whether we get to 11 or not, I don't care about the "not". We need 11 or more, and Mario **** well better get them.

If we're going by what need... I mean what we need is another ring and out of this conference, however, that wasn't the question.

11 or more is probably the most unlikely scenario. Impossible? No. Highly improbable? Very much so.

 

[OrangeBowlMagic]

If we're going by what need... I mean what we need is another ring and out of this conference, however, that wasn't the question.

11 or more is probably the most unlikely scenario. Impossible? No. Highly improbable? Very much so.

Again, just odds here, which don't mean anything in the grand scheme. We all know Miami has been underperforming relative to market for a long-time (but not last year, FWIW).

But Vegas has lines on EXACT wins. The "MOST UNLIKELY" scenario is 5 wins or fewer. That's +1600 right now. Exactly 6 wins is next "most unlikely", at +1200. And then 12 wins is +900.

So, Vegas thinks it's most unlikely is winning 6 or less. Here's how they have it at the moment:

5 wins or fewer +1600
6 wins +1200
7 wins +650
8 wins +400
9 wins +310
10 wins +300
11 wins +450
12 wins +900

So they think it's "most likely" we win 10, then 9, then 8, then 11, then 7, then 12, then 6, then fewer than 6.

 

[JamesQuall]

Again, just odds here, which don't mean anything in the grand scheme. We all know Miami has been underperforming relative to market for a long-time (but not last year, FWIW).

But Vegas has lines on EXACT wins. The "MOST UNLIKELY" scenario is 5 wins or fewer. That's +1600 right now. Exactly 6 wins is next "most unlikely", at +1200. And then 12 wins is +900.

So, Vegas thinks it's most unlikely is winning 6 or less. Here's how they have it at the moment:

5 wins or fewer +1600
6 wins +1200
7 wins +650
8 wins +400
9 wins +310
10 wins +300
11 wins +450
12 wins +900

So they think it's "most likely" we win 10, then 9, then 8, then 11, then 7, then 12, then 6, then fewer than 6.

I didn't realize our odds have improved. I thought they were at 8.5. That looks like they've improved to 9.5, no? Which odds sites have us there?