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Gameday

Spindrift said:
It was the Micheal Irvin show.
It was on YouTube and I am so happy I found it!!!
Sorry guys I’m pumped and drinking Patron with beer chasers.
Check it out if you haven’t already seen it yet.
YouTube.
Let’s ******* go boys. Let’s go home to finish the season. Win this Mother ******.
Oh. Steven Smith is a d-i-c-k!!!!!!
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You'll be lucky to make it through the first quarter. Lay off the Patron and see more! 😂
 
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scrantoncane said:
A little late money on ole miss. 3.5 down to -3 most places.

Not too worrisome. Just don’t show me -2.5

@Poptimus
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Yeah, not ideal but I like that Pinnacle has the ML at -165 for Miami as of now. Earlier today it had fallen from a high (that I saw) of -181 Saturday morning after opening at -154. So it’s zigzagged, but it was -152 this morning and now it’s -165.

Basically, I can’t read the tea leaves based on the line move, unlike our Ohio State game or SMU game. But there’s still time to see a spike in the line one way or another.
 
Poptimus said:
Yeah, not ideal but I like that Pinnacle has the ML at -165 for Miami as of now. Earlier today it had fallen from a high (that I saw) of -181 Saturday morning after opening at -154. So it’s zigzagged, but it was -152 this morning and now it’s -165.

Basically, I can’t read the tea leaves based on the line move, unlike our Ohio State game or SMU game. But there’s still time to see a spike in the line one way or another.
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Can you see bookmaker and circa?
 
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scrantoncane said:
Can you see bookmaker and circa?
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I don’t use a line service these days, so I take screenshots of the line from pretty much when it comes out until kickoff and chart it. Pinnacle is far and away the gold standard IMO and I’ve discussed this with oddsmakers who agree. It’s why South Point in Vegas and many online shops merely copy Pinnacle’s lines with higher vig, moving them within seconds of when Pinnacle moves them.

I could write a thesis debating the merits of the totality of the line move (e.g., it’s good that our line of -165 is higher than its -152 open) versus the late money moves (e.g. it’s bad that it was -181 and is now -165), and which wins more. Suffice it to say, once a line starts zigzagging, good luck figuring out the winner based on just the line.
 
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Nervous Ted Striker GIF by filmeditor
 
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