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Game 1 predictions: @ Louisville

  • Thread starter Thread starter PalmBeachCane
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I can see UL running crossing routes on our poor coached defense all night. no way we win this game..
 
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I can't predict a final score bc I have no idea what our offense looks like.
But I will predict over 500 yards by Louisville since I know exactly what dorito defenses look like

We have talent to win this by rooflessness

If our defense gets their doors blown off in this game, Blake James needs to act immediately w the next 2 games before Nebraska. Promote someone inside to acting HC and hire Butch or Schiano as defensive "consultant."
 
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Before I pick, does Petrino come down with the AIDS before the game? If so, that will change my prediction.
 
You soft shouldered punks. Ohh Petrino is so amazing we could never beat a team of his... What exactly has this fuggin guy ever won that makes him so amazing? Let alone so amazing that your willing to pick against you own 'team'. If you so fuggin enamored with his greatness then go root for the fuggin Cards...

Canes by two Tds

38-24

Duke M0TERFVCKIN Johnson is all you need to know on this one fellas!
 
DJWilliams55 said:
Miami will have a very conservative game plan on offense. They'll try to get Duke 20 carries and Gus/Joe 10-12 carries combined.

The Dropback game will be all high percentage, short stuff....only downfield stuff on play action. More 3 step than 7 step stuff, cause they prolly can't protect the deep drops....especially with the right side of the OL.

Regardless of Granthams usual coverage tendencies, Miami will see a lot of Cover 1 and Cover 3 in connection with eight man fronts or seven man fronts that are over shifted to the left side to force Miami to run against 8 man fronts or run to the right side of the OL. Kaaya or Heaps will have to consistently beat Cov 1 and 3 with some blitzes mixed in, especially if Kaaya starts.

I don't see Duke having a big game because the UL game plan will start and end with Duke. It will have to be won in the air unless we can run consistently on an eight man front.

You can only play keep away and conservative if it's close. So the D needs to sack up. If UL builds a lead, the whole offensive game plan is out of the window.

A lot of things have to go right for Miami to win....to be honest.

Basically, Miami has to possess somewhere around 35 minutes and win the turnover margin.
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Good post, nice info on Grantham. I agree with you on the conservative game plan but I think that's going to be predicated on how hot L'ville comes out on offense. Watch for play action off of outside zone on the first or second play.

I hope they play cover 1. How are they gonna cover Dorsett, Coley and Duke in cover 1? Are they using a SS or a nickel on Duke? Once they start doing that, we will gash them with the run. Pryor is not there any longer so that new FS is gonna have to pick his poison. Attacking with 4 Verts and throwing the ball toward the hashes is the easiest throw to make for a young guy, there is no read other than looking off the safety and I'll take Dorsett and Coley one on one ALL DAY LONG.

As for C3,Now that we have QBs (from practice film) who are willing to throw over the middle and into flats we should be able to exploit C3 all day if we can protect our QB. Roll outs using smash concepts are another C3 beater so I wold imagine that's why you see our QBs rolling out every other highlight. It's an easy read (maybe not on the road) and they don't have the CBs to press which can make C3 tough to beat. Kaaya looks good throwing 8's and if that CB is late or gets caught squatting, our slot guys will have field days. Also, 4 verticals can kill cover 3 as well, we just need to keep our QB upright.

Easier said than done but I have a good feeling about this game.
 
Dear fellow Cane fans,

Butch Davis will never be on staff with Miami again.

Signed,
Anyone who remembers the UNC scandals.
 
kccanefan said:
Game is at their place.
Still don't believe we are being trained right strength wise.
Game is won at the line of scrimmage.
We'll lose the battle there

Louisville 31 Miami 17
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Game is won at the line of scrimmage..true. Even Louisville fans and sports writers point out that L'ville has major weaknesses on BOTH lines. Not sure I understand the view that L'ville is going to be some sort of power. They lost a number of their best players, on both sides of the ball. We got better players, with QB being the only uncertainty as to whether we have upgraded or downgraded (and most likely it will be at least a draw on that one given Morris' play throughout the latter part of last season).
 
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Get Petrino's *** on a motorcycle before the game and maybe we have a shot, if not 31-17 Louisville
 
Cane18 said:
streetja said:
why are people here so confident for this season?

Nothing has changed on defense, and although Morris was a completely **** QB, we are going forward with a complete unknown at QB.

D'Onofrio is still here, and Coley has yet to prove himself as a competent play caller.

This will be a continuation of last year, every W will be a struggle, most losses will be the defense continuing to amaze us with how bad/ stubborn D'Onofrio is.

hope I'm wrong...
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Sadly you are the only sane poster on this board, the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result.
As long as Dorito is coach and continues to use the same scheme there is not going to be any difference in the results, even worse with the weakness at defensive tackle this year, I'm even dreading the GA Tech game, a loss to them and this board will have a total melt down.
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Weakness at D-tackle this year? True, to an extent. But are you implying that D-Tackle was better last year? Because there is little to no reason to believe so.
 
TheU1984 said:
This board, and its predecessors, have been doing the same thing the last ten seasons. This isn't 2002 nor is it 1992.

Do you all enjoy torturing yourself?

Why should we think we are going to come out and be some world beater? There's a reason we are unranked in every poll. We are an average team. We are playing the same team in their house that smoked us just 9 months ago on a neutral field. Use some common sense here.
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You don't have to be a world beater to beat UL, so your argument is false from the get go. Many of the voters admit that their ranking of UM is based largely on the unknown of the QB situation and the D line. As for "playing the same team", no, we are not. We are playing a different team, one that lost it's best offensive player (by far) and some of its best defensive players. We are also not the same team as last year either, as we have more depth, and our best player, Duke, will play this year vs. not playing last year. Far from the same team on either side.
 
Louisville lost a lot of talent and unlike many posters I'd take Charlie Strong over Petrino any day. Petrino defenses are not far from D'no so I'll take our talent on that side of the ball. Last year our offense was depleted for the bowl game. We had very few WR's left and our running game severely injured. This is not the Russell Athletic Bowl. We won't see a team as good as they were on the bowl game but they will see a team that is much healthier with some new playmakers. Petrino is no Nick Saban
 
As usual, the truth lies somewhere in the middle.

If we win, it won't be because Loserville has a "scrub QB" or "lost too much on D". Will Gardner isn't a scrub, and they replaced Pryor with James Sample, a JUCO AA that was a former 4* prospect in HS. Their DL and OL are suspect, though...but they still have aggressive guys like James Burgess that will make plays no matter what the system is.

If we lose, it won't be because "this is the same Loserville team as the RAB" or "Petrino is an offensive mastermind". It's not the same Loserville team that we played in January, and we're not the same team either. The extent to which we've improved/regressed or they've gotten worse/better is up for debate. And, Petrino has had an awesome offense everywhere he's coached, but that doesn't mean that they will be unstoppable and crisp in Game 1 under him.

It's going to come down to if we can limit mistakes on D to an absolute minimum, and get off the field on 3rd downs...and on O, if we can control the ball while still putting points on the board, limit turnovers, and if we can up our 3rd down %.

We do all of those things, we have a great shot to win. We do some of those things, it's going to be tough due to being on the road. We do none of those things, it's the RAB all over again.

I have no prediction, really, because I have no idea what to expect. I want to believe that the D is better, but I'll believe it when I see it, as we still have issues (namely lack of LB depth, and no true answer to our major question mark at DT). I want to believe that Heaps/Kaaya will be capable, and I still think we have the OL and skill position guys to put up points on anybody, but when you have instability at the QB spot...all bets are off.

I dunno what will happen, but I'll be there to watch and root our guys on to (hopefully) a major victory to start this season off the right way.
 
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BWCD said:
As usual, the truth lies somewhere in the middle.

If we win, it won't be because Loserville has a "scrub QB" or "lost too much on D". Will Gardner isn't a scrub, and they replaced Pryor with James Sample, a JUCO AA that was a former 4* prospect in HS. Their DL and OL are suspect, though...but they still have aggressive guys like James Burgess that will make plays no matter what the system is.

If we lose, it won't be because "this is the same Loserville team as the RAB" or "Petrino is an offensive mastermind". It's not the same Loserville team that we played in January, and we're not the same team either. The extent to which we've improved/regressed or they've gotten worse/better is up for debate. And, Petrino has had an awesome offense everywhere he's coached, but that doesn't mean that they will be unstoppable and crisp in Game 1 under him.

It's going to come down to if we can limit mistakes on D to an absolute minimum, and get off the field on 3rd downs...and on O, if we can control the ball while still putting points on the board, limit turnovers, and if we can up our 3rd down %.

We do all of those things, we have a great shot to win. We do some of those things, it's going to be tough due to being on the road. We do none of those things, it's the RAB all over again.

I have no prediction, really, because I have no idea what to expect. I want to believe that the D is better, but I'll believe it when I see it, as we still have issues (namely lack of LB depth, and no true answer to our major question mark at DT). I want to believe that Heaps/Kaaya will be capable, and I still think we have the OL and skill position guys to put up points on anybody, but when you have instability at the QB spot...all bets are off.

I dunno what will happen, but I'll be there to watch and root our guys on to (hopefully) a major victory to start this season off the right way.
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Fair assessment.

I'll add we need to run from different formations. Stick with what is working and not be predictable on what we do. No run-run-pass scenarios all game. Mix it up. I'd like to see a 60/40 split on running the rock. On D be aggressive. Unleash the dogs.

Petrino is a very good to great coach on halftime adjustments, we need to be prepared for that in this game.

If our D sits back like it has the last 3 years, this will be a very long night.
 
UknowWhat said:
Miami 24-13 the running game will help QB(s) and Def
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Agree about the running game helping the QBs and Defense. However, I see the score being higher for both teams given the weapons both offenses have (and potential defensive scores) and the questions both teams have on defense. I do see a Miami win, 34-24.
 
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