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Gamblers- Week 1 and Futures

All the casinos in Miss. now have sports books so it’s nice to drive over on a Saturday or a Sunday and be able to catch all the games at once.

Only made one little play of 200 on the Canes but will be heading back Saturday.

Might take Saturday winnings ( hopefully there’s winnings) and put it with another 500 on the Canes.Really like this game.
 
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Poptimus said:
@Cribby OK, so just as I say the line should marinate at -3 for a while, it moves. But it moved in our favor and is now -3.5 at most outs so I'm happy. That's usually a great sign, but from a pure gambling perspective the move coincided with the official announcement that Burrow is starting at QB for LSU. Perhaps the sharps were hoping it'd be Brennan. So this 1/2 point move may be an informational adjustment by the lines makers, not sharp $ on the Canes. We did see a drop on the O/U from 48.5 to 48 which I expected. What is very interesting is that the spread rose, but the money line dropped a bit and usually those are correlated. Look at how there was a 10 cent drop on the ML while just a 4 cent drop on the spread, right off a major move off the 3. What does it mean? I think it's a good sign it moved to -3.5, but the fact the timing coincided with the announcement Burrow is starting could be an adjustment much like if there was a key injury, not sharp $ moving the number.

View attachment 63064
Click to expand...

ML looking like -180 now so moving in line with the points @Poptimus
 
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Going to the Beau Thursday thinking of this parlay:
Northwestern +1
Wake Forest -6
Colorado -7 1/2
Duke -13 1/2
Syracuse -6
UCF vs UConn under 75 total points.
Moneyline
Colorado
Stanford
Duke
Syracuse
Wake Forest

Play $3 win 1159.67
Worth a shot in the dark
 
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jakobbee said:
Going to the Beau Thursday thinking of this parlay:
Northwestern +1
Wake Forest -6
Colorado -7 1/2
Duke -13 1/2
Syracuse -6
UCF vs UConn under 75 total points.
Moneyline
Colorado
Stanford
Duke
Syracuse
Wake Forest

Play $3 win 1159.67
Worth a shot in the dark
Click to expand...

Wow, lol, actually not too crazy if this hits
 
Where do you guys bet ? I’ve been out for awhile , last places i bet was Carib sports and betus.
 
Solid write up from a good follow on Covers.com....

"Using Phil Steele’s “Career Returning O-line Starts,” I compiled what we really need from it: Who has the advantage based on a given matchup. I charted all 46 games. For example, Wisconsin has 150 returning starts and Western Kentucky has just 18, so the Badgers are +132 starts. The team that has the starts advantage is listed first.

I absolutely love this stat for handicapping games the first couple of weeks of the season, because it gives me a good idea of who will control the line of scrimmage. There are some powerhouse teams that are immune from such stats, because they are so talented, they will dominate the line of scrimmage regardless. But for the most part, this stat proves itself year in, and year out. Let’s see how all the +40 or better teams fare versus the spread in week one. I bet they hit at least 70%.

I really use it more to eliminate games, or to confirm games that I already have an interest in. This year I’m going to bet one game soley off this stat, and that is Wisconsin -34. They’re going to smash WKU in the trenches. This one should get ugly.

My favorite game of the week checks in at #3 on the list with a +74. No way he Bulldogs don’t win this by at least two TDs.

These stats don’t include such things as injuries or suspensions, etc., so feel free to adjust as necessary.

Another special circumstance is that a few teams play twice. So are you going to credit NMSU an extra +5 for their matchup against Minnesota?

I will be posting plays in the next few days."

1. +132 Wisconsin vs. Western Kentucky

2. +75 Wyoming vs. Washington St.

3. +74 Louisiana Tech @ South Alabama

4. +71 Boston College vs. UMass

5. +68 Northern Illinois @ Iowa

6. +67 Houston @ Rice

7. +62 Arizona St. vs. UTSA

8. +57 Washington vs. Auburn

9. +57 Cal vs. North Carolina

10. +48 Oregon vs. Bowling Green

11. +43 Wyoming @ New Mexico St.

12. +40 Wake Forest @ Tulane

13. +39 Florida St. vs. Virginia Tech

14. +38 Stanford vs. San Diego St.

15. +34 UCLA vs. Cincinnati

16. +33 North Texas vs. SMU

17. +29 Penn St. vs. Appalachian St.

18. +29 Oklahoma vs. Florida Atlantic

19. +27 Illinois vs. Kent St.

20. +24 Kentucky vs. Central Michigan

21. +24 Alabama vs. Louisville

22. +23 Troy vs. Boise State

23. +23 Colorado vs. Colorado St.

25. +20 New Mexico St. @ Minnesota

26. +20 Old Dominion @ Liberty

27. +20 Miami vs. LSU

28. +19 Hawaii @ Colorado St.

29. +17 Purdue vs. Northwestern

30. +17 Arizona vs. BYU

31. +14 Syracuse @ Western Michigan

32. +14 Oregon St. @ Ohio St.

33. +14 West Virginia vs. Tennessee

34. +12 USC vs. UNLV

35. +11 Notre Dame vs. Michigan

36. +10 Vanderbilt vs. MTSU

37. +9 Ole Miss @ Texas Tech

38. +5 South Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina

39. +4 Nebraska vs. Akron

40. +3 Duke vs. Army

41. +3 Utah St. @ Michigan St.

42. +3 Texas St. @ Rutgers

43. +3 Maryland vs. Texas

44. +3 FIU vs. Indiana

45. +2 Navy @ Hawaii

46. +1 Marshall @ Miami-Ohio"


As you can see with the WYM -NMST (+43)...Wyoming had a decisive advantage in the trenches which cashed for the few peeps who jumped on them. Wisc. for this reason is a bet for me this weekend for sure (got em at 34.5 last wknd when i saw this stat). Will prob. also jump on La Tech, BC and a few others once I get into some more research the next few days.

Gluck fellas!
 
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Captain Uberpants said:
Let’s all try and make some money together.

Who are you putting some $$ on for future bets and week 1. So far I like (I use SBG Global):

Miami over 9.5 wins
Florida under 8 wins
Miami -3 vs LSU (most sites are -3.5 by now)
Auburn -2.5 vs Washington (game in Atlanta)
Click to expand...

Cashed in on Auburn nicely. That was a game I had circled since lines came out.
 
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