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Florida Big 3 Predictions

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Number1CanesFan said:
Did you watch last year's game? We ran up and down on those guys. We just didn't put it in the endzone.

I love how you project with them but don't project with our massive OL and stellar RB room as well as QB.

Drink their Kool-aide, but not our own. Both teams have much to prove. So, NO we are no underdog.
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We couldnt pass on them and they blanked their WRs. Our ribs have talent but alll unproven. Not sure I can say stellar till I see it in person. I need to see them play. Our ol looks to be good and expected it to be. Their d is good and they had a ton of guys missing. I didn’t say we can’t win and even said we should win but you went all out we can’t win. We are an underdog imo but it’s a beatable team. It’ll be a fight tho. Anyways you predicted 11 ******* wins for a team who hadn’t won 11 20 plus years.
 
Cribby said:
UF will need a bunch of breaks to get to 6-6. I think 5 wins is the ceiling.
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As an update I won all three bets with the Gator fan thst works at one of my accounts.

1. Miami would win more games (100)
2. UF doesn’t win over five games (100)
3. He tripled down and bet they win another road game when they had LSU and Missouri left (50)

250 total
 
Cribby said:
As an update I won all three bets with the Gator fan thst works at one of my accounts.

1. Miami would win more games (100)
2. UF doesn’t win over five games (100)
3. He tripled down and bet they win another road game when they had LSU and Missouri left (50)

250 total
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congrats! a good season's work!
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
There is literally no scenario where the gator goes 8-4. I'll gladly be back here in December to be tarred and feathered if that even remotely comes true.

They will be an underdog in at least 7 games this year, maybe 8. They're not winning 4 of those outright.

IMO their best case is 7-5 and that would take an incredible stroke of luck. I think they go 4-8 or 3-9 this year. There are literally 2 games on their schedule that I feel they should relatively comfortably win. That is it.

Also, tell me I'm a dumbass all you want, but best case for FSU is 12-0. They'll be favored in 10 games. Do I think they go 12-0? Of course not. But they're a 2.5 point dog vs LSU. They'll likely be around a field goal dog to Clemson. They'll be favored in every other game. So if you're favored in 10 games and you're a FG dog in the other 2, 12-0 is on the table. Let's just hope that dream dies quickly this sunday.

As far as Miami, I think you have it right, but if we beat A&M, 10-2 should be on the table. We'll need a lot of injury luck, hence the "best-case" caveat, but if we win that game and go into UNC at 5-0, there's no reason to think we can't go 5-2 against UNC, Clemson, FSU, NC State, UVA, Louisville, and Boston College. Again, do I think it's likely? No. But this is the ACC and a disappointing A&M team, I wouldn't be jaw on floor shocked if somehow we only lost 2 games. I do think 8-4 is MOST likely, though.
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Not bad.
 
Cribby said:
As an update I won all three bets with the Gator fan thst works at one of my accounts.

1. Miami would win more games (100)
2. UF doesn’t win over five games (100)
3. He tripled down and bet they win another road game when they had LSU and Missouri left (50)

250 total
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I had 100 with a gator fan that took over 5.5 wins.

I also know another gator fan who is the biggest homer ever and he bet me 100 on over 7.5 (!!!) wins 😂 I begged him to bet more he wouldn’t go higher than 100.

I’ll take it.
 
FL Cane said:
With the season a few days away, I thought it'd be interesting to look at where the Florida Big 3 schools will end up this year (with best case scenarios, worst case scenarios, and what we'd predict would actually happen). Here's how I see it:

Florida

  • Best Case Scenario: 8-4 (5-3)
  • Worst Case Scenario: 4-8 (2-6)
  • Season Prediction: 6-6 (4-4)

    • How it Plays Out --> With only 54% of its production from 2022 returning in 2023 (No. 107 out of 133 FBS Teams), the Gators will be a much changed team. Add in one of the Top 10 hardest schedules in the country, and that Gators are staring a season that'll either be a surprising success or expected failure. Graham Mertz is the new guy under center, and he's had an up and down career to say the least. Florida has a stable of solid RB's lead by Trevor Etienne, some solid guys on the OL, and a number of high ceiling yet unproven guys on defense. All in all, Florida ends up at 6-6 (4-4).

      Florida just lost too much production from last year from a team that wasn't very good to begin with, lost a much better QB in Anthony Richardson, and lost some key guys on defense. Add in a brutal schedule and it'll be too much for the Gators to overcome with the game manager QB and young but unproven talent. Nevertheless, Florida will get to bowl eligibility, as they have enough talent to do it. Add in some luck to win a game they probably shouldn't have, and there'll be enough for 6 wins. Whether Billy Napier survives is TBD.
Florida State

  • Best Case Scenario: 11-1 (8-0)
  • Worst Case Scenario: 8-4 (5-3)
  • Season Prediction: 9-3 (6-2)

    • How it Plays Out --> With 87% of its production from 2022 returning in 2023 (No. 1 out of 133 FBS Teams), Florida State will come into the 2023 season as the top to bottom most experienced team in the country. Florida State is being lauded by many CFB analysts as a CFP contender in 2023, and as one of the most dangerous teams in the country. With guys like Jordan Travis, Jared Verse, Johnny Wilson, Keon Coleman, Trey Benson, and Akeem Dent, this FSU team has the potential to be very good. Having gone 10-3 (5-3) last year, the Noles have momentum going into 2023.

      Nevertheless, though the Noles went 10-3, they were a few bounces and calls away from going 7-5 regular season, and losing their bowl game against a depleted 6-6 Oklahoma team. Of FSU's 10 wins, 7 wins were against teams that finished the season .500 or below (Boston College, Duquesne, Florida, Georgia Tech, Miami, Oklahoma, and Louisiana-Monroe), whereas 3 wins were against teams that finished the season above .500 (Louisville, LSU, and Syracuse). If you do the math, FSU's W's were against opponents with a combined record of 60-66 (0.476) and their L's were to opponents with a combined record of 27-13 (0.675). Additionally, the Noles also had good injury luck, with none of its key players going down for any extended period of time (to FSU's credit, Jordan Travis did go down for a half in a very close game against Louisville, and they were able to close out that W).

      Ultimately, FSU will go 9-3 (6-2), with losses to LSU, Clemson, and one of Duke/Miami/Pitt/WF. This will be a very good team, and one that will play for an ACC Championship rematch against Clemson. However, FSU is a top heavy team, with a stellar starting 22, but major question marks beyond that. Additionally, 1-2 injuries on offense (particularly to Jordan Travis) would change the entire trajectory of this team, and I doubt the Noles will get the injury luck they had last year. Moreover, the Noles won't be catching anyone by surprise this year. 8-4 is possible if the Noles are 2-2 heading into the bye, and a number of players being prioritizing their NFL prospects over diminished CFP hopes.
Miami
  • Best Case Scenario: 9-3 (6-2)
  • Worst Case Scenario: 6-6 (3-5)
  • Prediction: 8-4 (4-4)

    • How it Plays Out --> With 70% of its 2022 production returning in 2023 (No. 35 out of 133 FBS teams; Top 20 in production returning on defense) and more than 40 new players on its roster, Miami will be a much changed team in 2023. Mario Cristobal's debut as Miami's HC was an unmitigated disaster, with a 5-7 final record and humiliating losses to Florida State and Middle Tennessee State University, among others. To say that Cristobal misjudged his 2022 squad and misfired on his initial coaching hires would be an understatement. Add in a number of crucial injuries, most important being those to starting QB TVD, and Miami was a recipe for disaster.

      With seemingly good hires at OC and DC, the return of TVD (who showed flashes in 2021), a stacked RB Room, a much better OL (by way of recruiting and the portal), and some solid talent, this Miami team looks to be much better. Much has been said on this board about how we'll do. All in all, I believe that this team will look much like the 2016 Miami Hurricanes, a team that was lead by an experienced QB, had talent, and flashed at points throughout the year. At 8-4, Miami will have shown good progress and have the potential for a 9-win season via their bowl matchup. Additionally, Miami will steal a win against one of Clemson/FSU/Texas A&M/UNC. Nevertheless, a few injuries can change the trajectory of this season as Miami is still not where it needs to be in terms of depth or experience, so Miami must stay healthy to get to 8-wins.
Let me know what y'all think, but I think these are some reasonable predictions. I definitely think we can get to 9-3 regular season, but betting the under on Miami is the smart thing to do until they show us otherwise.
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God ****. This dude *****.
 
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