Best Case: 10-2 if we do better than that I'll be ******* ecstatic
Personal Expectation: 9-3
Most Likely: 8-4
Worst Case: 7-5
If we're 6-6 or worse this year, I'll be really disappointed. 7-5 would be pretty concerning. I just don't see how you can justify more than 5 losses on that schedule, and that's being generous.
This is how I see it:
Miami (OH), Bethune-Cookman, Temple, Georgia Tech, Virginia, and Boston College should be Miami W's all day
Louisville and NC State lean Miami W's, although you could make a case for NC State being a tossup
North Carolina and Texas A&M are tossups
Florida State and Clemson would be Miami L's
Miami(OH) - W
Texas A&M - W/L
Bethune-Cookman - W
Temple - W
Georgia Tech - W
North Carolina - W/L
Clemson - L
Virginia - W
NC State - W/L
Florida State - L
Louisville - W/L
Boston College - W
8-4 or 9-3 while winning one/two of the tossups/Miami L games, and giving away one against NC State or Louisville seems fair
I expect us to win all 6 of those Miami W games, though. No excuse to lose to one of those teams. Mario has to beat the teams we're supposed to beat this year. I can forgive a Louisville loss as long as they're better than. 500 when we play. I think Brohm will do well at Louisville, but might have a first year like Mario did.
At worst, 1-5 against the other 6 teams, and that's not really promising, but it's progress nonetheless. 2-4 is solid as long as we win one against tossup/Miami L games. 3-3 and I have a Kool-Aid smile looking at Miami's future. 4-2 or better, The U is back!