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- Sep 4, 2012
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I think that we need to keep hysteria and emotion out of the equation. My thoughts on football and young people are pretty simple. Whether there's football or not, football players will catch COVID. And even if they cancel football, there's a statistical chance that a college player will die from COVID. I say to keep emotion out of it because we have to look at how kids will comport themselves with football or without and if cancelling football will actually reduce the risk of the player catching it and dying from it.What do you think happens if a player (even 1 single player) gets seriously ill or dies? Curious to hear your opinion, because I know you've taken the virus more seriously than some others have.
For the sake of example, let's say a player dies. And let's say he is from an FCS school (bc they don't get the big television revenues). Surely that school has to cancel the season, especially considering football isn't as big of an income producer as it is at the FBS level. Would other schools keep playing in spite of a player dying at another school? I would think liability concerns, public opinion, etc., would at least make other schools consider shutting it down.
I get that the calculus is different for P5 teams. There is too much money involved, so they are going to at least start the season, unless something catastrophic happens between now and late August (which very well may happen). Whether they finish the season is an entirely different story. I was having this conversation last weekend, and I put it at 90% that the season would start, and 65% that it would finish in some capacity. Those numbers might be on the optimistic side.
The other secondary issues have been discussed (what happens if a team has to quarantine and misses conference games, etc.), so I will leave those out of the picture. I am just not as optimistic as others in this thread, especially the way the virus is spreading through the south.
Kids will not stay in the house until a vaccine is developed because they know they're not going to die, and they already have that youthful invincibility. So they're going to catch COVID regardless of whether football is canceled.
Based on my experience, it'll be impossible to keep emotion and hysteria out of the equation. Unfortunately, if a player catches it and dies they'll probably cancel the season even though they shouldn't because players will catch it regardless of football.