Boise got within USF's 40 yard line five times and within their 20 three times. They had zero points to show for all those trips. Three fumbles and two TO on downs. They gave up a fake punt TD on a 40 yard pass by the punter.
Florida got within USF's 30 three times and within their 20 twice. One of those had two TDs called back. Those trips yielded 9 points. USF scored a TD on a substitution error by UF. UF committed a safety on a punt that was the difference between losing and going to OT. USF drove down the field for the game winning FG led by 30 yards in penalties by UF.
-It's possible that USF's defense was the cause of all this trouble that both Boise and UF had. It's possible on Saturday Miami stalls out in the redzone and, with Miami focusing on the ground game, it turns into a low scoring affair.
-It's possible Miami turns the ball over a bunch and keeps USF in the game.
-It's possible Miami gets caught off guard by trick plays that lead to scoring drives for USF.
I think USF is a good football team that's benefited from a lot of mistakes their opponents have made. Credit to them for not making their own mistakes. But the things that USF have benefited from have a lot of randomness to them. USF can argue they were a catalyst to some of these but there is still a lot of luck involved. If Miami plays the way they've been playing and USF plays the way they've been playing then I think Miami wins comfortably.
Miami 31 - USF 14
