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Official Crystal Ball With Finger Smudges All Over It

Empirical Cane

Empirical Cane

We are what we repeatedly do.
Joined
Sep 3, 2018
Messages
45,038
2021 accuracy*: 9-3 (75%)
2022 accuracy*: 11-1 (92%)
2023 accuracy*,**: 9-4 (69%)
2024 accuracy*,**: 10-2 (83%)
2025 accuracy*,**: 6-2 (75%)
CIS Lifetime*,**: 45-12 (79%); toss ups: 4-3 (57%)


2021 accuracy*: 9-3 (75%)
Bama - likely loss ✅
App State - toss up (lean Miami) ✅
Mich St - likely loss ✅
Central Conn - likely win ✅
UVA - toss up - leaning likely loss - likely loss ✅
UNC - likely loss ✅
NC State - likely loss ❌
Pitt - toss up - likely loss ❌
GT - toss up - leaning likely win - likely win ✅
FSU - toss up ✅
VT - likely loss - toss up - leaning likely loss - likely loss ❌
Duke - likely win - toss up - leaning likely win - toss up - likely win ✅


2022 accuracy*,**: 11-1 (92%); toss ups 1-2 (50%)
Bethune-Cookman - likely win ✅
Southern Miss - likely win ✅
@aTm - likely loss ✅
Middle Tenn - likely win ❌️
UNC - toss up likely loss ✅
@VT - likely win likely loss likely win ✅
Duke - likely win toss up likely loss ✅
@UVA - likely win toss up leaning likely loss toss up with likely win ✅ (predicted toss up ✅)
FSU - toss up likely loss ✅
@GT - likely win toss up leaning likely loss likely win toss up with likely win ✅ (predicted toss up ❌️)
@Clemson - toss up likely loss more to follow J Brown new data points likely loss ✅
Pitt - likely win likely loss more to follow J Brown new data points likely loss ✅

*blind drunk monkey throwing darts is benchmark
**Toss ups indicate expected scoring differential of 10 pts or less


2023 accuracy*,**: 9-4 (69%); toss ups*** 0-1 (0%)
Miami (OH) - likely win ✅
aTm - toss up (lean aTm) ❌
Bethune Cookman - likely win ✅
@Temple - likely win ✅
GT - likely win ❌
@UNC - toss up likely loss ✅
Clemson - toss up likely loss ❌
UVA - likely win ✅
@NC St - likely win likely loss toss up w/ lean Miami ❌
@FSU - toss up likely loss ✅
Louie - likely win likely loss ✅
@TheFightingBlakeJameses - likely win ✅
Rutger - likely loss ✅

*Blind drunk monkey throwing darts is benchmark
**Toss ups indicate expected scoring differential of 10 pts or less
***Started tracking 2022

2024 accuracy*,**: 10-2 (83%); toss ups*** 1-0 (100%)
@UF - likely win ✅
FAMU - likely win ✅
Ball State - likely win ✅
@South Florida - likely win ✅
VT - likely win ✅
@Cal - likely win ✅
@Louie - toss up ✅
FSU - likely win ✅
Duke - likely win ✅
@GT - likely win ❌
WF - likely win ✅
@Cuse - lkely win ❌

2025 accuracy*,**: 6-2 (75%); toss ups*** 2-0 (100%)
Notre Lame – lean win; toss up ✅; ✅
Bethune-Cookman – likey win ✅
USF – likely win ✅
UF – likely win ✅
@ FSU – likely win ✅
Louie Louie – likely win ❌
Stanford – likely win ✅
@SMU –likely win; toss up ❌; ✅
Cuse – likely win
NC St – likely win - likely loss
VT – likely win
Pitt – likely win - likey loss

*Blind drunk monkey throwing darts is benchmark
**Toss ups indicate expected scoring differential of 10 pts or less
***Started tracking 2022
 
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2022 accuracy*: 2-0 (100%)

Bethune-Cookman - likely win ✅
Southern Miss - likely win ✅
@aTm - likely loss
Middle Tenn - likely win
UNC - toss up
@VT - likely win
Duke - likely win
@UVA - likely win
FSU -
@GT - likely win
@Clemson -
Pitt - likely win

*blind drunk monkey throwing darts is benchmark
**scored correct if either team wins by 10 or less, scored incorrect if greater than 10
 
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Empirical Cane said:
2022 accuracy*: TBD

Bethune-Cookman - likely win
Southern Miss - likely win
aTm - likely loss
Middle Tenn - likely win
UNC -
VT -
Duke - likely win
UVA -
FSU -
GT -
Clemson -
Pitt - likely win

*blind drunk monkey throwing darts is benchmark
**scored correct if either team wins by 10 or less, scored incorrect if greater than 10
Click to expand...
Please place guaranteed win next to FSU
 
Damiencane86 said:
Please place guaranteed win next to FSU
Click to expand...
3o7TKJBTMtRfSgY3yo.gif
 
Empirical Cane said:
2022 accuracy*: TBD

Bethune-Cookman - likely win
Southern Miss - likely win
aTm - likely loss
Middle Tenn - likely win
UNC - 65% chance we win
VT - likley win
Duke - likely win
UVA - toss up
FSU - likely win
GT - likely win
Clemson - likely loss
Pitt - likely win

*blind drunk monkey throwing darts is benchmark
**scored correct if either team wins by 10 or less, scored incorrect if greater than 10
Click to expand...
Fixed it 🙌🏿
 
2022 accuracy*: TBD

Bethune-Cookman - likely win
Southern Miss - likely win
aTm - likely loss
Middle Tenn - likely win
UNC - likely win
VT - likely win
Duke - likely win
UVA - likely win
FSU - likely win
GT - likely win
Clemson - likely loss
Pitt - likely win
 
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Pearson704 said:
2022 accuracy*: TBD

Bethune-Cookman - likely win
Southern Miss - likely win
aTm - likely loss
Middle Tenn - likely win
UNC - likely win
VT - likely win
Duke - likely win
UVA - likely win
FSU - likely win
GT - likely win
Clemson - likely loss
Pitt - likely win
Click to expand...

Gotta agree with this 10-2 prediction. And if we get a lucky bounce of the ball or a couple key turnovers, it could be 11-1. But no reason we should lose more than 2 games this year.
 
My thoughts

Bethune-Cookman - win
Southern Miss - win
@ aTm - toss up to likely loss
Middle Tenn - win
UNC - likely win
@ VT - toss up to likely loss
Duke - win
@ UVA - toss up to likely loss
FSU - win
@ GT - win
@ Clemson - very likely loss
Pitt - likely win

From this, 9-3 seems like it should be the mark of a "good" season. Six games we should NOT lose, give games that we will be in a DOG FIGHT to win, 1 game we have a puncher's chance and nothing more

0 games that we should look uncompetitive in. Zero

That said, 10-2 is what I'm looking for with 9-3 being the lowest "acceptable" year. 8-4 is underperforming.. IDC, IDC, IDC 😑

**Edit: It would be a disappointment because we'd be 2-3 or worse in games that are being played against good teams and/or adverse situations. I want us to be better than that
 
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Bethune-Cookman - 100% win
Southern Miss - 100% win
aTm - 100% win
Middle Tenn - 100% win
UNC - 100% win
VT - 100% win
Duke - 100% win
UVA - 100% win
FSU - 100% win
GT - 100% win
Clemson - 100% win
Pitt - 100% win
 
2021 accuracy*: 9-3 (75%)


2022 accuracy*: 3-0 (100%)

Bethune-Cookman - likely win ✅
Southern Miss - likely win ✅
@aTm - likely loss ✅
Middle Tenn - likely win
UNC - toss up
@VT - likely win
Duke - likely win
@UVA - likely win
FSU - toss up
@GT - likely win
@Clemson - toss up
Pitt - likely win

*blind drunk monkey throwing darts is benchmark
**scored correct if either team wins by 10 or less, scored incorrect if greater than 10
 
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2021 accuracy*: 9-3 (75%)


2022 accuracy*: 3-1 (75%%)

Bethune-Cookman - likely win ✅
Southern Miss - likely win ✅
@aTm - likely loss ✅
Middle Tenn - likely win ❌️
UNC - toss up likely loss
@VT - likely win likely loss
Duke - likely win toss up
@UVA - likely win toss up
FSU - toss up likely loss
@GT - likely win toss up
@Clemson - toss up likely loss
Pitt - likely win likely loss

*blind drunk monkey throwing darts is benchmark
**scored correct if either team wins by 10 or less, scored incorrect if greater than 10
 
2021 accuracy*: 9-3 (75%)


2022 accuracy*: 4-1 (80%)

Bethune-Cookman - likely win ✅
Southern Miss - likely win ✅
@aTm - likely loss ✅
Middle Tenn - likely win ❌️
UNC - toss up likely loss ✅
@VT - likely win likely loss
Duke - likely win toss up
@UVA - likely win toss up leaning likely loss
FSU - toss up likely loss
@GT - likely win toss up leaning likely loss
@Clemson - toss up likely loss
Pitt - likely win likely loss

*blind drunk monkey throwing darts is benchmark
**scored correct if either team wins by 10 or less, scored incorrect if greater than 10
 
Empirical Cane said:
2021 accuracy*: 9-3 (75%)


2022 accuracy*: 4-1 (80%)

Bethune-Cookman - likely win ✅
Southern Miss - likely win ✅
@aTm - likely loss ✅
Middle Tenn - likely win ❌️
UNC - toss up likely loss ✅
@VT - likely win likely loss
Duke - likely win toss up
@UVA - likely win toss up leaning likely loss
FSU - toss up likely loss
@GT - likely win toss up leaning likely loss
@Clemson - toss up likely loss
Pitt - likely win likely loss

*blind drunk monkey throwing darts is benchmark
**scored correct if either team wins by 10 or less, scored incorrect if greater than 10
Click to expand...

I don't think UM is making it to a bowl game. I thought Diaz's first season was rock bottom, but silly me to believe that things could only get better from there. All that really matters now is the recruiting class.
 
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