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Complete Week 14 Rooting Guide

Calinative

Calinative

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As far as I can tell this is our Complete Rooting Guide sorted by time. Legit any game that possibly helps us in any minor way I listed. How many ">" designates Importance though:

Thursday:
- Memphis > Navy *** Helps USF make the AmericanCCG *** = Navy Win by 11

Friday Slate:
- Mississippi St >>> Ole Miss *** A loss here legit can/will knock Ole Miss out of CFP. Bad schedule, AND Kiffin leaving *** = Ole Miss Win by 19
- Kansas > Utah *** Weaken BYUs Best win *** = Utah Win by 10
- GTech >> UGA *** Increases ACCs Strength relative to SEC, and weakens Bamas Best Win, UGA still a CFP lock **** = UGA win by 7
- Temple > North Texas *** Helps USF make AmericanCCG *** = North Texas Win by 27
- Utah St > Boise St *** Weakens NDs SOR *** = Boise St Win
- Texas A&M >> Texas *** A&M Is locked in to the CFP no matter what. Don't want Texas to have an argument to get in *** = Texas Win
- ASU > Arizona *** Weaken BYUs 2nd best win *** = Arizona Win by 16

Saturday Early:
- Miami >>>>>> Pitt *** Ideally we absolutely Murder them *** = Miami win by 31
- Ohio St >> Michigan *** Ohio St is locked in the CFP no matter what. Don't want Michigan to have an argument to get in *** = Ohio St Win by 18
- TTU > WVU *** TTU is locked in the CFP no matter what. Also just pre-emptively we NEED them to beat BYU in the B12 Champ game too *** = TTU Win by 49
- Louisville >> Kentucky *** Strengthens our Loss, and Increases ACCs Strength relative to SEC *** = Louisville Win by 41
- Clemson > South Carolina *** Increases ACCs strength relative to SEC *** = Clemson Win by 14
- FAU > East Carolina *** Helps USF make American CCG and Weakens BYUs SOR *** = East Carolina Win by 39
- UCF >>>> BYU *** This would be Very Big for Miami At-Large consideration *** = BYU Win by 20

Saturday Late:
- Syracuse >> Boston College *** Some ACCCG Tie Breakers for us require Cuse to beat BC *** = Boston College Win by 22
- Washington >> Oregon *** I think Oregon / B1G is solidified to have 3 teams. But there's hope at least *** = Oregon Win by 12
- LSU >>>>> OU *** NEED someone ranked within 5 spots ahead of us to lose *** = OU Win by 4
- UTenn >> Vandy *** Vanderbilt is ranked closer to us, so better for them to lose *** = Vandy Win by 21
- Wake Forest >>>> Duke *** Big Miami ACCCG Tie Breaker Game *** = Duke Win by 17
- FSU > UF *** Increases ACCs Strength relative to SEC *** = UF Win by 19
- Vech >>>>> UVA *** CRITICAL Miami ACCCG Tie Breaker Game *** = UVA win by 20
- USF >> Rice *** USF must win this to make AmericanCCG, then they need tie-breakers *** = USF Win by 49
- Auburn >>>>> Alabama *** NEED someone ranked within 5 spots ahead of us to lose *** = Alabama Win by 7
- UCLA >>> USC *** SIGNIFICANTLY weakens Notre Dames AND Oregons BEST Win / SOR *** = USC Win by 19
- NCSt >>> UNC *** Some ACCCG Tie Breakers for us NCSt to beat UNC *** = NCSt Win by 23
- Cal >>> SMU *** This become 10x more critical IF UVA wins Earlier *** = Cal Win by 3
- Stanford >>>> Notre Dame *** Not Happening But would be Insane *** =
 
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I would make Ole Miss vs MSU just as important as OU/LSU and Bama/Auburn
Ole Miss is #7. Losing to a very bad and unranked MSU that's 1-6 in the SEC guarantees they fall behind us. They only need to fall 5 spots to do that.
Ole Miss would be out with a loss to MSU.
 
Yoyo423 said:
I would make Ole Miss vs MSU just as important as OU/LSU and Bama/Auburn
Ole Miss is #7. Losing to a very bad and unranked MSU that's 1-6 in the SEC guarantees they fall behind us. They only need to fall 5 spots to do that.
Ole Miss would be out with a loss to MSU.
Click to expand...
Also, if Lane is actually serious about the LSU or Florida job, he should take it Sunday or Monday. Signing day is in a week, the portal window is coming up(this needs to get fixed). These schools are going to want to get their coach hired soon. If Lane is gone, the committee will likely knock them out of the playoffs. They did it to FSU when Travis got hurt, so they should use the same logic here
 
Calinative said:
As far as I can tell this is our Complete Rooting Guide sorted by time. Legit any game that possibly helps us in any minor way I listed. How many ">" designates Importance though:

Thursday:
- Memphis > Navy *** Helps USF make the AmericanCCG ***

Friday Slate:
- Mississippi St >>> Ole Miss *** A loss here legit can/will knock Ole Miss out of CFP. Bad schedule, AND Kiffin leaving ***
- Kansas > Utah *** Weaken BYUs Best win ***
- GTech >> UGA *** Increases ACCs Strength relative to SEC, and weakens Bamas Best Win, UGA still a CFP lock ****
- Temple > North Texas *** Helps USF make AmericanCCG ***
- Utah St > Boise St *** Weakens NDs SOR ***
- Texas A&M >> Texas *** A&M Is locked in to the CFP no matter what. Don't want Texas to have an argument to get in ***
- ASU > Arizona *** Weaken BYUs 2nd best win ***

Saturday Early:
- Miami >>>>>> Pitt *** Ideally we absolutely Murder them ***
- Ohio St >> Michigan *** Ohio St is locked in the CFP no matter what. Don't want Michigan to have an argument to get in ***
- TTU > WVU *** TTU is locked in the CFP no matter what. Also just pre-emptively we NEED them to beat BYU in the B12 Champ game too ***
- Louisville >> Kentucky *** Strengthens our Loss, and Increases ACCs Strength relative to SEC ***
- Clemson > South Carolina *** Increases ACCs strength relative to SEC ***
- FAU > East Carolina *** Helps USF make American CCG and Weakens BYUs SOR ***
- UCF >>>> BYU *** This would be Very Big for Miami At-Large consideration ***

Saturday Late:
- Syracuse >> Boston College *** Some ACCCG Tie Breakers for us require Cuse to beat BC ***
- Washington >> Oregon *** I think Oregon / B1G is solidified to have 3 teams. But there's hope at least ***
- LSU >>>>> OU *** NEED someone ranked within 5 spots ahead of us to lose ***
- UTenn >> Vandy *** Vanderbilt is ranked closer to us, so better for them to lose ***
- Wake Forest >>>> Duke *** Big Miami ACCCG Tie Breaker Game ***
- FSU > UF *** Increases ACCs Strength relative to SEC ***
- Vech >>>>> UVA *** CRITICAL Miami ACCCG Tie Breaker Game ***
- USF >> Rice *** USF must win this to make AmericanCCG, then they need tie-breakers ***
- Auburn >>>>> Alabama *** NEED someone ranked within 5 spots ahead of us to lose ***
- UCLA >>> USC *** SIGNIFICANTLY weakens Notre Dames AND Oregons BEST Win / SOR ***
- NCSt >>> UNC *** Some ACCCG Tie Breakers for us NCSt to beat UNC ***
- Cal >>> SMU *** This become 10x more critical IF UVA wins Earlier ***
- Stanford >>>> Notre Dame *** Not Happening But would be Insane ***
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Well done sir!!!
 
Yoyo423 said:
I would make Ole Miss vs MSU just as important as OU/LSU and Bama/Auburn
Ole Miss is #7. Losing to a very bad and unranked MSU that's 1-6 in the SEC guarantees they fall behind us. They only need to fall 5 spots to do that.
Ole Miss would be out with a loss to MSU.
Click to expand...
I mean possibly. But it's also just a fact that there is FAR MORE certainty in us getting in over a Bama or OU team that loses in the final week than there is an Ole Miss team that does.

Do I think we SHOULD get in over Ole Miss if that happens? Yes. But mostly I think the committee would do that if Lane announces he's taking the LSU job.

I don't think it is as much of a for sure lock they'd pick us over the 2 loss SEC school as you do.

I also think it's just more likely that Bama or OU lose than it is Ole Miss. Miss St has really collapsed after losing the OT game to UTenn ...
 
Calinative said:
I mean possibly. But it's also just a fact that there is FAR MORE certainty in us getting in over a Bama or OU team that loses in the final week than there is an Ole Miss team that does.

Do I think we SHOULD get in over Ole Miss if that happens? Yes. But mostly I think the committee would do that if Lane announces he's taking the LSU job.

I don't think it is as much of a for sure lock they'd pick us over the 2 loss SEC school as you do.

I also think it's just more likely that Bama or OU lose than it is Ole Miss. Miss St has really collapsed after losing the OT game to UTenn ...
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It would be pure chaos if Bama, OU, and Ole Miss all lost. And I'm here for it.
 
CreativeCane said:
It would be pure chaos if Bama, OU, and Ole Miss all lost. And I'm here for it.
Click to expand...
The most underrated Chaos creator may actually be if USC loses to UCLA and Oregon loses to Washington.

Bot Oregon and Notre Dame best wins are USC. If they fall out of the top 25, and Oregon and Notre Dame have the dog **** resume they have neither should be in over us. Legit Oregon's best win is then a 4 loss USC and a 4or5 loss Iowa lmao.

Oregons SOS is literally almost in the 100s. BYU and Us should be in over them if they lose Ngl.

Also I said it was a lock but there is a VERY SMALL chance that TTU loses this weekend. They COULD be out of playoff if that happens and they lost B12 champ game. I just don't see it as likely. And obviously the Major Negative (for us) chaos creator is if BYU at 1 loss beats a 1 loss TTU in the B12 title game. Then they both get in, we assuredly out, and the committee is deciding between ND and a Sec Champ game appearing Bama lol. ND is 100% out in that scenario imo. But the positive? I'm almost 100% sure we would then jump ND to finish 11th in the rankings cause no way they have us right next to each other and not have us over them lmao
 
Assuming we're not making it to the ACCCG, I'd like to see SMU beat Cal, and SMU then win the ACC. That probably takes them up to the 15/16 range, and really makes that a "good loss" for us (road, OT, etc.). If hairs are being split amongst a bunch 2-loss teams, it could help
 
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Thinking Math GIF
 
4th-and-14 said:
Assuming we're not making it to the ACCCG, I'd like to see SMU beat Cal, and SMU then win the ACC. That probably takes them up to the 15/16 range, and really makes that a "good loss" for us (road, OT, etc.). If hairs are being split amongst a bunch 2-loss teams, it could help
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I agree. We just want VTech to Beat UVA to maximize our ACC and At Large odds, and I’ve been saying that for over a week now
 
SaiyaMan305 said:
Im sorry that happened to you or congratulations, I aint reading all that.

True Rooting guide
Miss St. >>> Ole Miss
LSU>>> OU
Auburn>>> Bama

ACC Championship:
VT>>>>UVA
Cal>>> SMU
NC State>>>UNC
Click to expand...
if you're gonna discount a well thought out post at least make sure yours is right

you left out duke losing to wake as a necessity
 
Calinative said:
As far as I can tell this is our Complete Rooting Guide sorted by time. Legit any game that possibly helps us in any minor way I listed. How many ">" designates Importance though:

Thursday:
- Memphis > Navy *** Helps USF make the AmericanCCG ***

Friday Slate:
- Mississippi St >>> Ole Miss *** A loss here legit can/will knock Ole Miss out of CFP. Bad schedule, AND Kiffin leaving ***
- Kansas > Utah *** Weaken BYUs Best win ***
- GTech >> UGA *** Increases ACCs Strength relative to SEC, and weakens Bamas Best Win, UGA still a CFP lock ****
- Temple > North Texas *** Helps USF make AmericanCCG ***
- Utah St > Boise St *** Weakens NDs SOR ***
- Texas A&M >> Texas *** A&M Is locked in to the CFP no matter what. Don't want Texas to have an argument to get in ***
- ASU > Arizona *** Weaken BYUs 2nd best win ***

Saturday Early:
- Miami >>>>>> Pitt *** Ideally we absolutely Murder them ***
- Ohio St >> Michigan *** Ohio St is locked in the CFP no matter what. Don't want Michigan to have an argument to get in ***
- TTU > WVU *** TTU is locked in the CFP no matter what. Also just pre-emptively we NEED them to beat BYU in the B12 Champ game too ***
- Louisville >> Kentucky *** Strengthens our Loss, and Increases ACCs Strength relative to SEC ***
- Clemson > South Carolina *** Increases ACCs strength relative to SEC ***
- FAU > East Carolina *** Helps USF make American CCG and Weakens BYUs SOR ***
- UCF >>>> BYU *** This would be Very Big for Miami At-Large consideration ***

Saturday Late:
- Syracuse >> Boston College *** Some ACCCG Tie Breakers for us require Cuse to beat BC ***
- Washington >> Oregon *** I think Oregon / B1G is solidified to have 3 teams. But there's hope at least ***
- LSU >>>>> OU *** NEED someone ranked within 5 spots ahead of us to lose ***
- UTenn >> Vandy *** Vanderbilt is ranked closer to us, so better for them to lose ***
- Wake Forest >>>> Duke *** Big Miami ACCCG Tie Breaker Game ***
- FSU > UF *** Increases ACCs Strength relative to SEC ***
- Vech >>>>> UVA *** CRITICAL Miami ACCCG Tie Breaker Game ***
- USF >> Rice *** USF must win this to make AmericanCCG, then they need tie-breakers ***
- Auburn >>>>> Alabama *** NEED someone ranked within 5 spots ahead of us to lose ***
- UCLA >>> USC *** SIGNIFICANTLY weakens Notre Dames AND Oregons BEST Win / SOR ***
- NCSt >>> UNC *** Some ACCCG Tie Breakers for us NCSt to beat UNC ***
- Cal >>> SMU *** This become 10x more critical IF UVA wins Earlier ***
- Stanford >>>> Notre Dame *** Not Happening But would be Insane ***
Click to expand...
Ok I’m going to do a parlay w them all
Whose with me😂

Also, if VT wins are we switching to rooting for SMU????
 
ST26 said:
Also, if Lane is actually serious about the LSU or Florida job, he should take it Sunday or Monday. Signing day is in a week, the portal window is coming up(this needs to get fixed). These schools are going to want to get their coach hired soon. If Lane is gone, the committee will likely knock them out of the playoffs. They did it to FSU when Travis got hurt, so they should use the same logic here
Click to expand...
Lane is likely gone Saturday AM
 
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@Calinative you really think TTU is in if they lose to WVU? ASU & WVU would be worse losses than ours. I will root for Rich Rod, they're playing pretty well recently now that they have a QB who can complete a forward pass.
 
flips said:
@Calinative you really think TTU is in if they lose to WVU? ASU & WVU would be worse losses than ours. I will root for Rich Rod, they're playing pretty well recently now that they have a QB who can complete a forward pass.
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I mean. It necessarily, it’s just not happening, cause either way they’re not losing to both WVU and BYU. It WOULD guarantee that only one B12 team is in CFP…
 
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