Coaching salaries are going to drop or plateau

As a retired professor, I have always maintained that college loans are the greatest contributor to tuition inflation. Your kid can't wait for his financial aid package before picking a school. It includes $20,000 in loans. It is like your bank telling you they are going to give you a home purchasing package. The first thing they offer,"We will lend you your down payment>"

Your logic is suffering from cart and horse fallacy. The tuition doesn't increase after someone gets a financial aid package. It's much more likely professor salaries and capital improvements.
 
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Or many, many school elect not to play the game at all. And college football contacts to 30-40 teams. If that.
And honestly, I wouldn't have a problem with that. For a lot of these schools, college football is a net negative. In order to win at a high level, you have to do a lot of things that run contrary to the concept of higher education. The sport is, and will always be a cesspool of corruption, because there's no interest by the Alabamas and Clemsons of the world to have an equal playing field. They like the dysfunction, because it directly benefits them.
 
now the value of the degree is watered down because universities will take more and more people while increasing tuition to cartoonish levels

This is just outright incorrect. Enrollment levels at prestigious, established schools is not markedly increasing. Campuses are finite and good schools focus on class size.
 
Your logic is suffering from cart and horse fallacy. The tuition doesn't increase after someone gets a financial aid package. It's much more likely professor salaries and capital improvements.

Tuition increases because students are choosing $50,000 per year colleges when they can only afford $30,000 a year. The $20,000 from the government in the form of a loan is free money to the college. As long as students continue to accept huge loans as part of "financial aid", colleges will continue to spend that money.
 
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Name a pro or college sport that has seen salaries in any facet fundamentally decrease in the last 30 years. Perhaps it happened in the NHL for like a season or two due to league mismanagement and cap issues but it by and large just hasn't happened and it certainly won't happen in the cash cow that is college football.
 
OP is literally wrong about everything.

He’s wrong about the facts, he’s wrong about the consequences, and he’s wrong in his logic.

Universities do not currently pay athletes, nor will they pay athletes due to NIL.

OP also has a fundamental misunderstanding of NIL.

Finally, coaches salaries will continue to go up, not down.
 
This is just outright incorrect. Enrollment levels at prestigious, established schools is not markedly increasing. Campuses are finite and good schools focus on class size.
That cannot continue in its current form. It will ultimately lead to one or both political parties adopting full or partial debt relief for college students.

Balor tuition
1990: 9K
2018: $60K

You can’t have kids taking out that sort of crippling debt. It will adversely effect the economy for decades to come, as they’ll be putting serious resources towards paying off an ever higher tuition debt that will leave increasingly less purchasing power post graduation.
 
OP is literally wrong about everything.

He’s wrong about the facts, he’s wrong about the consequences, and he’s wrong in his logic.

Universities do not currently pay athletes, nor will they pay athletes due to NIL.

OP also has a fundamental misunderstanding of NIL.

Finally, coaches salaries will continue to go up, not down.
Yes, colleges won’t be paying with NIL. But if they do start paying in the future...that spells the end of athletics for most colleges.
 
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That cannot continue in its current form. It will ultimately lead to one or both political parties adopting full or partial debt relief for college students.

Balor tuition
1990: 9K
2018: $60K

You can’t have kids taking out that sort of crippling debt. It will adversely effect the economy for decades to come, as they’ll be putting serious resources towards paying off an ever higher tuition debt that will leave increasingly less purchasing power post graduation.

Totally agreed. And that's not even getting into grad/med/law school, which is more expensive and probably suffering worse inflation.

Just like college football, it's an arm's race. Trustees of major universities have an obligation to alumni/enrolled students to maximize the value of their degrees. That means more money on professors and facilities to drive greater selectivity of applicant pool. That spending is in turn compensated for by tuition increases.

There needs to be a renewed focus on community colleges and trade schools. I have zero idea how you even start to approach tuition inflation.
 
Yes, colleges won’t be paying with NIL. But if they do start paying in the future...that spells the end of athletics for most colleges.

I'm not sure HOW a college could pay students given Title IX. If all sports got equal resources, there's not an athletic department on earth that could survive that. The vast majority barely break even as is.
 
That cannot continue in its current form. It will ultimately lead to one or both political parties adopting full or partial debt relief for college students.

Balor tuition
1990: 9K
2018: $60K

You can’t have kids taking out that sort of crippling debt. It will adversely effect the economy for decades to come, as they’ll be putting serious resources towards paying off an ever higher tuition debt that will leave increasingly less purchasing power post graduation.
We're continuing to get OT here but your example of Baylor is a good one. It's the middle echelons type of universities that have these upper echelon tuition rates that are fueling a lot of this.

A middle class kid or below that gets into an actual elite university (Stanford types) can often go there for cheaper than a state university because of the massive amount of financial aid they're willing/able to provide. A middle class kid or lower that gets into Baylor (or even UM for that matter) is probably going to have to go into massive student loan debt.
 
Totally agreed. And that's not even getting into grad/med/law school, which is more expensive and probably suffering worse inflation...

Not only are grad schools, Med/Phcy schools significantly more, they generally seem to be more stingy with their scholarships and grants. So students are paying a higher percentage of their tuition as far as post graduate work, at least that’s been my observation and experience
 
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A middle class kid or below that gets into an actual elite university (Stanford types) can often go there for cheaper than a state university because of the massive amount of financial aid they're willing/able to provide.

This is a fair point. Typically if you can get into Stanford/Harvard/Princeton, et al, they'll find a way to ensure you can enroll and pay.
 
Totally agreed. And that's not even getting into grad/med/law school, which is more expensive and probably suffering worse inflation.

Just like college football, it's an arm's race. Trustees of major universities have an obligation to alumni/enrolled students to maximize the value of their degrees. That means more money on professors and facilities to drive greater selectivity of applicant pool. That spending is in turn compensated for by tuition increases.

There needs to be a renewed focus on community colleges and trade schools. I have zero idea how you even start to approach tuition inflation.
If college becomes free to all, price controls would ultimately need to put into place. Like Social Security, the cost of tuition would need to be set at something akin to the rate of inflation. Otherwise there is no incentive for a University of Florida for instance to just raise their tuition in $50K increments each year, knowing that the overall taxpayers are paying for it.

A byproduct of that might be that the escalating cost of athletics might decrease. It might also invite outright sponsorship by major corporations, the NBA, MLB, and the National Football League.
 
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If college becomes free to all, price controls would ultimately need to put into place. Like Social Security, the cost of tuition would need to be set at something akin to the rate of inflation. Otherwise there is no incentive for a University of Florida for instance to just raise their tuition in $50K increments each year, knowing that the overall taxpayers are paying for it.

A byproduct of that might be that the escalating cost of athletics might decrease. It might also invite outright sponsorship by major corporations, the NBA, MLB, and the National Football League.

Unless the federal government outright sponsors it (not happening), college will never be free to all. The federal government cannot dictate what a private institution does within the confines of the law, and no one is making charging tuition illegal anytime soon.

I could maybe see a law capping tuition increases year over year, but even that is a very slippery slope.
 
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